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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Fire Marshal” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #10 of 702. Estimated risk: 0.4%

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AI Exposure Risk

50%

“Fire Marshal” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 50% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

57%

“Fire Marshal” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate activities of workers engaged in firefighting and fire prevention and control.

Avg. Annual Salary $97,030
Avg. Hourly Wage $46.65
Available Jobs (US) 93,680
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers #33-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Perform administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports, or composing correspondence.

  • Communicate fire details to superiors, subordinates, or interagency dispatch centers, using two-way radios.

  • Recommend equipment modifications or new equipment purchases.

  • Maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure that it is ready for use.

  • Recommend personnel actions related to disciplinary procedures, performance, leaves of absence, and grievances.

  • Monitor fire suppression expenditures to ensure that they are necessary and reasonable.

  • Assess nature and extent of fire, condition of building, danger to adjacent buildings, and water supply status to determine crew or company requirements.

  • Supervise and participate in the inspection of properties to ensure that they are in compliance with applicable fire codes, ordinances, laws, regulations, and standards.

  • Direct the training of firefighters, assigning of instructors to training classes, and providing of supervisors with reports on training progress and status.

  • Maintain knowledge of fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics.

  • Direct investigation of cases of suspected arson, hazards, and false alarms and submit reports outlining findings.

  • Inspect stations, uniforms, equipment, or recreation areas to ensure compliance with safety standards, taking corrective action as necessary.

  • Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities.

  • Plan, direct, and supervise prescribed burn projects.

  • Maintain required maps and records.

  • Direct firefighters in station maintenance duties, and participate in these duties.

  • Study and interpret fire safety codes to establish procedures for issuing permits to handle hazardous or flammable substances.

  • Evaluate fire station procedures to ensure efficiency and enforcement of departmental regulations.

  • Evaluate size, location, and condition of fires.

  • Serve as a working leader of an engine, hand, helicopter, or prescribed fire crew of three or more firefighters.

  • Participate in creating fire safety guidelines and evacuation schemes for nonresidential buildings.

  • Evaluate the performance of assigned firefighting personnel.

  • Drive crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites.

  • Provide emergency medical services as required, and perform light to heavy rescue functions at emergencies.

  • Assign firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents.

  • Recruit or hire firefighting personnel.

  • Perform maintenance and minor repairs on firefighting equipment, including vehicles, and write and submit proposals to modify, replace, and repair equipment.

  • Instruct and drill fire department personnel in assigned duties, including firefighting, medical care, hazardous materials response, fire prevention, and related subjects.

  • Analyze burn conditions and results, and prepare postburn reports.

  • Inspect and test new and existing fire protection systems, fire detection systems, and fire safety equipment to ensure that they are operating properly.

Technologies & Software

  • Resource Ordering and Statusing System ROSS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Palantir AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • BehavePlus
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • DeepSeek
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Plume modeling software
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Mapping software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Computer aided dispatch software
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • FARSITE
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Wildland Fire Assessment System WFAS
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Email software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Web browser software
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • BIO-key FireRMS
  • Axon AI
  • FlamMap
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Air chisels
  • Pulaski tools
  • Desktop computers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Ambu bags
  • Life throw rings
  • Mobile data computers
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Ladder trucks
  • Lug wrenches
  • Two way radios
  • Hand saws
  • Circular saws
  • Protective fire coats
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Water rescue boats
  • K-12 fire rescue saws
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Safety glasses
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Fuel trucks
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Power saws
  • Backboards
  • Portable diaphragm pumps
  • Passenger vans
  • Listening devices
  • Portable low-pressure pumps
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Wind gauges
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Fire axes
  • Crew transport buses
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Pinch bars
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Fire shelters
  • Power pumps
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Extension ladders
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Navigation compasses
  • Hard hats
  • Falling saws
  • First aid kits
  • Shovels
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Water tenders
  • Foam pumps
  • Ventilation saws
  • Backpack pumps
  • Drip torches
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Marsh rigs
  • Laptop computers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Surface thermometers
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Life vests
  • Pry bars
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Personal computers
  • McLeod tools
  • Portable pumps
  • Pike poles
  • Halligan bars
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Laryngoscopes
  • Safety goggles
  • Fire engines
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Utility knives
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Wrecking bars
  • Hux bars
  • Search cameras
  • Glucometers
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Hydraulic extrication equipment
  • Safety helmets
  • Fire hoses
  • Chain saws
  • Ventilation fans
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Bolt cutters
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Claw hammers
  • Psychrometers
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Portable centrifugual pumps
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Stokes baskets
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Body harnesses
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Farm tractors
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Backfiring fusees