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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Orchard Sprayer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #654 of 702. Estimated risk: 97.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Orchard Sprayer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Orchard Sprayer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Mix or apply pesticides, herbicides, fungicides, or insecticides through sprays, dusts, vapors, soil incorporation, or chemical application on trees, shrubs, lawns, or crops. Usually requires specific training and state or federal certification.

Avg. Annual Salary $45,960
Avg. Hourly Wage $22.10
Available Jobs (US) 25,200
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation #37-3012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Fill sprayer tanks with water and chemicals, according to formulas.

  • Identify lawn or plant diseases to determine the appropriate course of treatment.

  • Cover areas to specified depths with pesticides, applying knowledge of weather conditions, droplet sizes, elevation-to-distance ratios, and obstructions.

  • Mix pesticides, herbicides, or fungicides for application to trees, shrubs, lawns, or botanical crops.

  • Clean or service machinery to ensure operating efficiency, using water, gasoline, lubricants, or hand tools.

  • Connect hoses and nozzles selected according to terrain, distribution pattern requirements, types of infestations, and velocities.

  • Lift, push, and swing nozzles, hoses, and tubes to direct spray over designated areas.

  • Provide driving instructions to truck drivers to ensure complete coverage of designated areas, using hand and horn signals.

  • Start motors and engage machinery, such as sprayer agitators or pumps or portable spray equipment.

  • Plant grass with seed spreaders, and operate straw blowers to cover seeded areas with mixtures of asphalt and straw.

Technologies & Software

  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Materials inventory software
  • Facebook
  • Google Android
  • Lionsbot AI
  • Avidbots (Cleaning Robots)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Rate calculation software
  • Customer database software
  • iRobot
  • Unit conversion software
  • Protective face shields
  • Tablet computers
  • Truck mounted sprayers
  • Mechanical aerosol generators
  • Seed spreaders
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Chemical-resistant suits
  • Safety goggles
  • Handheld pump sprayers
  • Measuring tapes
  • Power sprayers
  • Broadcast boom sprayers
  • Cold foggers
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Digital stopwatches
  • Thermal foggers
  • Electrostatic spray guns
  • Protective safety glasses
  • Boom sprayers
  • Chemical-resistant footwear
  • Measuring containers
  • Laptop computers
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Face masks
  • Digital flowmeters
  • Personal computers