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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Christmas Tree Farm Manager” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #318 of 702. Estimated risk: 57.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Christmas Tree Farm Manager” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Christmas Tree Farm Manager” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of agricultural, forestry, aquacultural, and related workers.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,360
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.46
Available Jobs (US) 29,530
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers #45-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate the selection and movement of logs from storage areas, according to transportation schedules or production requirements.

  • Calculate or monitor budgets for maintenance or development of collections, grounds, or infrastructure.

  • Direct or assist with the adjustment or repair of equipment or machinery.

  • Train workers in techniques such as planting, harvesting, weeding, or insect identification and in the use of safety measures.

  • Assign tasks such as feeding and treatment of animals, and cleaning and maintenance of animal quarters.

  • Issue equipment, such as farm implements, machinery, ladders, or containers to workers, and collect equipment when work is complete.

  • Inspect crops, fields, or plant stock to determine conditions and need for cultivating, spraying, weeding, or harvesting.

  • Train workers in spawning, rearing, cultivating, and harvesting methods, and in the use of equipment.

  • Coordinate dismantling, moving, and setting up equipment at new work sites.

  • Inspect facilities to determine maintenance needs.

  • Observe animals for signs of illness, injury, or unusual behavior, notifying veterinarians or managers as warranted.

  • Prepare and maintain time or payroll reports, as well as details of personnel actions, such as performance evaluations, hires, promotions, or disciplinary actions.

  • Plan work schedules according to personnel and equipment availability.

  • Requisition or purchase supplies, such as insecticides, machine parts or lubricants, or tools.

  • Observe fish and beds or ponds to detect diseases, monitor fish growth, determine quality of fish, or determine completeness of harvesting.

  • Confer with managers to determine production requirements, conditions of equipment and supplies, and work schedules.

  • Perform both supervisory and management functions, such as accounting, marketing, and personnel work.

  • Transport or arrange for transport of animals, equipment, food, animal feed, and other supplies to and from work sites.

  • Read inventory records, customer orders, or shipping schedules to determine required activities.

  • Record the numbers and types of fish or shellfish reared, harvested, released, sold, and shipped.

  • Inspect buildings, fences, fields or ranges, supplies, and equipment to determine work to be performed.

  • Treat animal illnesses or injuries, following experience or instructions of veterinarians.

  • Monitor operations to identify and solve problems, improve work methods, and ensure compliance with safety, company, and government regulations.

  • Confer with managers to evaluate weather or soil conditions, to develop plans or procedures, or to discuss issues such as changes in fertilizers, herbicides, or cultivating techniques.

  • Drive or operate farm machinery, such as trucks, tractors, or self-propelled harvesters, to transport workers or supplies or to cultivate or harvest fields.

  • Monitor or oversee construction projects, such as horticultural buildings or irrigation systems.

  • Schedule work crews, equipment, or transportation for several different work locations.

  • Monitor workers to ensure that safety regulations are followed, warning or disciplining those who violate safety regulations.

  • Train workers in tree felling or bucking, operation of tractors or loading machines, yarding or loading techniques, or safety regulations.

  • Communicate with forestry personnel regarding forest harvesting or forest management plans, procedures, or schedules.

Technologies & Software

  • Landmark Sales LOG-istics
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • TradeTec Computer Systems TallyWorks Logs
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mapping software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Web browser software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Word processing software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Database software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Atlassian Confluence
  • DeepSeek
  • Blue River Technology AI
  • Taranis AI
  • Climate FieldView
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Cattlesoft CattleMax
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Employee scheduling software
  • Lion Edge Technologies Ranch Manager
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Valley Agricultural Software DairyCOMP 305
  • Midwest MicroSystems Cow Sense
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • BCS Woodlands Software The Logger Tracker
  • John Deere AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Sage 50 Accounting
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Valley Agricultural Software Feed Watch
  • Payroll software
  • Work scheduling software
  • Rototillers
  • Irrigation pipettes
  • Water pumps
  • Cable winches
  • Fish screens
  • Animal vaccination syringes
  • Water transfer systems
  • Light pickup trucks
  • Shovels
  • Grapple processors
  • Logging arches
  • Animal injection syringes
  • Handheld digital thermometers
  • Artificial insemination syringes
  • Nebulizers
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Grain dryers
  • Milk separators
  • Rowboats
  • Castration equipment
  • Fish seines
  • Dehorners
  • Poultry incubators
  • Ultraviolet water purification systems
  • Fog systems
  • Manure spreaders
  • Forage harvesters
  • Pullthrough delimbers
  • Water testers
  • Power saws
  • Plows
  • Fish weighing scales
  • Electronic animal scales
  • Blast chillers
  • Power drills
  • Cordless drills
  • Hoop nets
  • Tail dockers
  • Fish holding tanks
  • Claw hammers
  • Hard hats
  • Ozone water purification systems
  • Soil tillers
  • Fish gates
  • Automatic watering devices
  • Egg washing machines
  • Suction syringes
  • Hoes
  • Horse bridles
  • Field watering systems
  • Scuba diving equipment
  • Handheld spray guns
  • Measuring tapes
  • Desktop computers
  • Crop harvesters
  • Pruning shears
  • Feller bunchers
  • Filtering equipment
  • Delimbing gates
  • Turbidimeters
  • Balling guns
  • Portable data collectors
  • Axes
  • Automated feed batch mixers
  • Two way radios
  • Riding mowers
  • Snowplows
  • Fish traps
  • Post hole diggers
  • Egg grading machines
  • Geodetic ground global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Forklifts
  • Flail mowers
  • Hand saws
  • Long handle shovels
  • Personal computers
  • Clipping equipment
  • Logging tractors
  • Seed drills
  • Hatching trays
  • Debeakers
  • Pitchforks
  • Automatic fish feeders
  • Dust and particulate respirators
  • Adjustable hand wrenches
  • Weed sprayers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Tank cleaning brushes
  • Knuckleboom loaders
  • Blood drawing syringes
  • Hoof trimmers
  • Mud sleds
  • Sonar equipment
  • Backhoes
  • Gill nets
  • Greenhouse climate control systems
  • Egg candlers
  • Mobile logging cranes
  • Rakes
  • Glass beakers
  • Flow meters
  • Shearing equipment
  • Tracked excavators
  • Square balers
  • Tree pruning equipment
  • Front end loaders
  • Nail trimmers
  • Sawbucks
  • Fish capture nets
  • Ear tagging equipment
  • Feed wagons
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Dissolved oxygen indicators
  • Squeegees
  • Stroke delimbers
  • Total dissolved solids TDS meters
  • Fumigators
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Digging spades
  • Dump trucks
  • Feed conveyors
  • Chemical injection systems
  • Grain trucks
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Veterinary intravenous IV sets
  • Aeration pumps
  • Grapple yarders
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Round balers
  • Timber tongs
  • Horse saddles
  • Chain flail delimbers
  • pH indicators
  • Chain saws
  • Animal trailers
  • Cleaning mops
  • Fyke nets
  • Video camera systems
  • Air compressors
  • Hay rakes
  • Spades
  • Log skidders
  • Hoisting racks
  • Milking equipment
  • Debarking tools
  • Drop spreaders
  • Small power boats
  • Fish tagging equipment
  • Video scanning fish counters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers

Alternative Job Titles