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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Paper Wood Cutter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #418 of 702. Estimated risk: 76.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

30%

“Paper Wood Cutter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 30% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Paper Wood Cutter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Fallers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Use axes or chainsaws to fell trees using knowledge of tree characteristics and cutting techniques to control direction of fall and minimize tree damage.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,120
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.42
Available Jobs (US) 4,110
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Fallers #45-4021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Fallers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Control the direction of a tree's fall by scoring cutting lines with axes, sawing undercuts along scored lines with chainsaws, knocking slabs from cuts with single-bit axes, and driving wedges.

  • Load logs or wood onto trucks, trailers, or railroad cars, by hand or using loaders or winches.

  • Work as a member of a team, rotating between chain saw operation and skidder operation.

  • Maintain and repair chainsaws and other equipment, cleaning, oiling, and greasing equipment, and sharpening equipment properly.

  • Assess logs after cutting to ensure that the quality and length are correct.

  • Place supporting limbs or poles under felled trees to avoid splitting undersides, and to prevent logs from rolling.

  • Secure steel cables or chains to logs for dragging by tractors or for pulling by cable yarding systems.

  • Stop saw engines, pull cutting bars from cuts, and run to safety as tree falls.

  • Insert jacks or drive wedges behind saws to prevent binding of saws and to start trees falling.

  • Trim off the tops and limbs of trees, using chainsaws, delimbers, or axes.

  • Measure felled trees and cut them into specified log lengths, using chain saws and axes.

  • Tag unsafe trees with high-visibility ribbons.

  • Determine position, direction, and depth of cuts to be made, and placement of wedges or jacks.

  • Saw back-cuts, leaving sufficient sound wood to control direction of fall.

  • Select trees to be cut down, assessing factors such as site, terrain, and weather conditions before beginning work.

  • Clear brush from work areas and escape routes, and cut saplings and other trees from direction of falls, using axes, chainsaws, or bulldozers.

  • Mark logs for identification.

  • Appraise trees for certain characteristics, such as twist, rot, and heavy limb growth, and gauge amount and direction of lean, to determine how to control the direction of a tree's fall with the least damage.

Technologies & Software

  • Assisi Software Assisi Resource
  • BCS Woodlands Software Woodlands Tracker
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Assisi Compiler
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Taranis AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • BCS Woodlands Software The Logger Tracker
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Assisi Software Assisi Inventory
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Assisi Software Assisi Manager
  • John Deere AI
  • Blue River Technology AI
  • Climate FieldView
  • Felling axes
  • File sharpeners
  • Timber tongs
  • Personal computers
  • Felling wedges
  • Remote detonation systems
  • Logging trucks
  • Protective hard hats
  • Caulk boots
  • Self-loading log transporters
  • Wood chippers
  • Protective safety glasses
  • Skidding lines
  • Logging boats
  • Forwarder cranes
  • Tuning screwdrivers
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Tree climbing spikes
  • Guylines
  • Chain saws
  • Auger bits
  • Gas cans
  • Sharpening jigs
  • Combi cans
  • Sonic devices
  • Tower yarders
  • Impact resonance devices
  • Chain saw chaps
  • Warning whistles
  • Hand winches
  • Pocket calculators
  • Pullthrough delimbers
  • Feller bunchers
  • Boom boats
  • Laptop computers
  • Debarking tools
  • Tablet computers
  • Protective ear muffs
  • Emergency first aid kits
  • Forestry helicopters
  • Screnches
  • Mechanical tree harvesters
  • Knuckleboom loaders
  • Log skidders
  • Digital tachometers
  • Haulback lines
  • Wide track bulldozers
  • Logging tractors
  • Portable dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Strawlines
  • Round files
  • Rubber tire skidders
  • Skylines
  • Climbing belts
  • Flat files
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Resistographs
  • Chain flail delimbers
  • Grapple yarders
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Diameter tape measures
  • Snow shovels
  • Hydraulic jacks
  • Stroke delimbers