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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pastry Finisher” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #522 of 702. Estimated risk: 89.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Pastry Finisher” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

47%

“Pastry Finisher” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 47% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Bakers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Mix and bake ingredients to produce breads, rolls, cookies, cakes, pies, pastries, or other baked goods.

Avg. Annual Salary $37,670
Avg. Hourly Wage $18.11
Available Jobs (US) 231,890
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Bakers #51-3011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Bakers”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

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AI Risk 59%
Robot Risk 40%

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AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 46%

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AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 61%

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AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 54%

Nuclear Power Reactor Operators

AI Risk 55%
Robot Risk 47%

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AI Risk 55%
Robot Risk 62%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Set oven temperatures, and place items into hot ovens for baking.

  • Apply glazes, icings, or other toppings to baked goods, using spatulas or brushes.

  • Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.

  • Order or receive supplies or equipment.

  • Combine measured ingredients in bowls of mixing, blending, or cooking machinery.

  • Check products for quality, and identify damaged or expired goods.

  • Decorate baked goods, such as cakes or pastries.

  • Roll, knead, cut, or shape dough to form sweet rolls, pie crusts, tarts, cookies, or other products.

  • Check equipment to ensure that it meets health and safety regulations, and perform maintenance or cleaning, as necessary.

  • Prepare or maintain inventory or production records.

  • Operate slicing or wrapping machines.

  • Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.

  • Measure or weigh flour or other ingredients to prepare batters, doughs, fillings, or icings, using scales or graduated containers.

  • Develop new recipes for baked goods.

  • Check the quality of raw materials to ensure that standards and specifications are met.

  • Observe color of products being baked, and adjust oven temperatures, humidity, or conveyor speeds accordingly.

  • Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.

  • Place dough in pans, molds, or on sheets, and bake in production ovens or on grills.

Technologies & Software

  • SweetWARE stockCoster
  • SweetWARE nutraCoster Professional
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Sight Machine AI
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • iPro
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Masters Software CakeBoss
  • ADP Enterprise eTIME
  • LegacyUSA BakeSmart
  • Barrington Software CookenPro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • At Your Service Software CostGuard
  • TwinPeaks Software Visual Z-Bake
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Sage 100 ERP
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • SweetWARE SmallPICS
  • Web browser software
  • Afcom Datasafe Computer Services FlexiBake
  • Industrial kitchen food smokers
  • Sprayers
  • Industrial freezing equipment
  • Cannoli tubes
  • Doughnut tumblers
  • Chocolate shavers
  • Offset spatulas
  • Pastry wheels
  • Commercial baking ladles
  • Mandolines
  • Horizontal dough mixers
  • Planetary mixers
  • Dry ingredient measuring cups
  • Dough trough hoists
  • Edible-ink cartridges
  • Chinois
  • Colanders
  • Reversible sheeters
  • Cake decorating combs
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Open fat kettles
  • Ice cream machines
  • Doughnut fryers
  • Baking sheets
  • Commercial pie pans
  • Ejector sets
  • Bagel kettles
  • Rice cookers
  • Bread molders
  • Industrial kitchen broilers
  • French bread molders
  • Automatic dough presses
  • Bench knives
  • Bread knives
  • Guillotine cutters
  • Steam injected ovens
  • Pastry crimpers
  • Chocolate molds
  • Filled stick extruders
  • Pastry bags
  • Perforated grill spatulas
  • Deck ovens
  • Skimmers
  • Icing spreaders
  • Tart tampers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Doughnut depositors
  • Cake levelers
  • Food graters
  • Whipped cream machines
  • Icing smoothers
  • Tortilla grills
  • Industrial toasters
  • Flour scoops
  • Cake decorating tubes
  • Espresso makers
  • Bread bannetons
  • Sharpening stones
  • Laptop computers
  • Ingredient sifters
  • Desktop computers
  • Cooking burners
  • Marzipan tools
  • Cake depositors
  • Dishwashing machines
  • Hand trucks
  • Dough dockers
  • Nut grinders
  • Wrapping machines
  • Measuring spoons
  • Dough extruders
  • Oven loaders
  • Tablet computers
  • Pastry slicing jigs
  • Reciprocating blade slicers
  • Textured mats
  • Steam kettles
  • Pallet jacks
  • Probe thermometers
  • Icing machines
  • Box cutters
  • Electronic cash registers
  • Bakers' couches
  • Decorating pens
  • Fruit corers
  • Vegetable cleaning brushes
  • Bagel dividers
  • Dough scrapers
  • Paring knives
  • Bowl scrapers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Liquid ingredient measuring cups
  • Ramekins
  • Egg breaking machines
  • Doughnut cutters
  • Ice shaver
  • Food dicers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Biscuit dough cutters
  • Bun machines
  • Bench brushes
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Propane torches
  • Rolling pins
  • Candy thermometers
  • Commercial kitchen convection ovens
  • Commercial food whisks
  • Conical rounders
  • Kitchen strainers
  • Manual dough presses
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Cake decorating stencils
  • Serrated knives
  • Tart rings
  • Bread slicers
  • Pizza cutters
  • Barcode scanners
  • Food warmers
  • Portion scales
  • Cake rings
  • Baking frames
  • Fruit zesters
  • Computer laser printers
  • Sugar shakers
  • Sugar/spice pulverizers
  • Double boilers
  • Industrial kitchen belt conveyors
  • Pan greasers
  • Depanning machines
  • Fermentation tanks
  • Pan liners
  • Commercial cake pans
  • Spiral mixers
  • Electric salamanders
  • Pretzel dough twisting machines
  • Tartlet machines
  • Pastry filling machines
  • Honing steels
  • Bread pans
  • Pastry brushes
  • Cake decorating palette knives
  • Channel knives
  • Dough laminators
  • Cooling tunnels
  • Lift trucks
  • Cookie scoops
  • Digital food thermometers
  • Revolving tray ovens
  • Cake decorating turntables
  • Cake molds
  • Waffle irons
  • Weigh hoppers
  • Pretzel dough extruding machines
  • Barquette molds
  • Cappuccino makers
  • China caps
  • Chocolate warmers
  • Dough proofers
  • Industrial kitchen food blenders
  • Straight spatulas
  • Bowl knives
  • Direct gas fired ovens
  • Cake dividers
  • Tilt mixers
  • Pullman loaf pans
  • Doughnut screens
  • Blast chillers
  • Icing spatulas
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Wire whips
  • Squeeze bottles
  • Infrared food heating lamps
  • Food drying equipment
  • Cookie depositors
  • Digital kitchen timers
  • Direct recirculating ovens
  • Pastry filling funnels
  • Ice machines
  • Bakery cookie cutters
  • Balance scales
  • Portable air compressors
  • Rotary molders
  • Juice extractors
  • Fondant crimpers
  • Baguette molders
  • Tunnel ovens
  • Fondant smoothers
  • Hearth ovens
  • Bain maries
  • Digital scales
  • Produce peelers
  • Pneumatic conveyors
  • Pretzel ovens
  • Flour dusters
  • Dough chunkers
  • Spray bottles
  • Measuring sticks
  • Bakery muffin pans
  • Dough sheeters
  • Industrial refrigeration equipment
  • Hot plates
  • Food cooling racks
  • Pie presses
  • Commercial food grilling equipment
  • Dessert molds
  • Rose nails
  • Bread crumbers
  • Sugar lamps
  • Fork mixers
  • Continuous kneading machines
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Hot cases
  • Industrial kitchen griddles
  • Commercial kitchen food processors
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Cream whippers
  • Oven peels
  • Dough thermometers
  • Pan cooling towers
  • Cake decorating tips
  • Cake decorating air brushes
  • Dough dividers
  • Commercial kitchen microwave ovens

Alternative Job Titles