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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Enroute Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Enroute Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Enroute Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

Technologies & Software

  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gatik AI
  • Mobileye AI
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • DeepSeek
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Flight simulation software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Flight simulators
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Desktop computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Personal computers
  • Binoculars
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Transponder landing systems TLS