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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CDL Bus Driver (Commercial Driver's License Bus Driver)” be Automated?

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AI Exposure Risk

19%

“CDL Bus Driver (Commercial Driver's License Bus Driver)” will almost certainly not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 19% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“CDL Bus Driver (Commercial Driver's License Bus Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.07
Available Jobs (US) 148,980
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity #53-3052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort.

  • Load and unload baggage in baggage compartments.

  • Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book.

  • Read maps to plan bus routes.

  • Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.

  • Maintain cleanliness of bus or motor coach.

  • Handle passenger emergencies or disruptions.

  • Collect tickets or cash fares from passengers.

  • Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board.

  • Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.

  • Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.

  • Report delays or accidents.

  • Announce stops to passengers.

  • Advise passengers to be seated and orderly while on vehicles.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft MapPoint
  • Web browser software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • AOL MapQuest
  • Passenger buses
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Wheelchair lifts
  • Minibuses
  • Public address PA systems
  • Passenger vans
  • Powered service doors
  • Tire pressure gauges
  • Lube guns
  • Electronic destination signs
  • Two way radios
  • Wheelchair restraint systems
  • Rear lifts
  • Digital surveillance camera systems
  • Bus kneeling systems
  • Emergency first-aid kits
  • Cell phones
  • Tablet computers