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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CDL Bus Driver (Commercial Driver's License Bus Driver)” be Automated?

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AI Exposure Risk

19%

“CDL Bus Driver (Commercial Driver's License Bus Driver)” will almost certainly not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 19% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“CDL Bus Driver (Commercial Driver's License Bus Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.07
Available Jobs (US) 148,980
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity #53-3052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.

  • Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book.

  • Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.

  • Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board.

  • Report delays or accidents.

  • Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort.

  • Load and unload baggage in baggage compartments.

  • Read maps to plan bus routes.

  • Collect tickets or cash fares from passengers.

  • Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.

  • Advise passengers to be seated and orderly while on vehicles.

  • Handle passenger emergencies or disruptions.

  • Announce stops to passengers.

  • Maintain cleanliness of bus or motor coach.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mobileye AI
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • AOL MapQuest
  • Microsoft MapPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Wheelchair restraint systems
  • Two way radios
  • Digital surveillance camera systems
  • Passenger buses
  • Minibuses
  • Rear lifts
  • Powered service doors
  • Public address PA systems
  • Tire pressure gauges
  • Emergency first-aid kits
  • Tablet computers
  • Lube guns
  • Bus kneeling systems
  • Passenger vans
  • Wheelchair lifts
  • Electronic destination signs
  • Cell phones
  • Portable fire extinguishers