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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Disposal Man” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #585 of 702. Estimated risk: 93.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Disposal Man” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

57%

“Disposal Man” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Collect and dump refuse or recyclable materials from containers into truck. May drive truck.

Avg. Annual Salary $51,210
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.62
Available Jobs (US) 139,180
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors #53-7081
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Make special pickups of recyclable materials, such as food scraps, used oil, discarded computers, or other electronic items.

  • Dismount garbage trucks to collect garbage and remount trucks to ride to the next collection point.

  • Operate automated or semi-automated hoisting devices that raise refuse bins and dump contents into openings in truck bodies.

  • Fill out defective equipment reports.

  • Dump refuse or recyclable materials at disposal sites.

  • Clean trucks or compactor bodies after routes have been completed.

  • Organize schedules for refuse collection.

  • Communicate with dispatchers concerning delays, unsafe sites, accidents, equipment breakdowns, or other maintenance problems.

  • Tag garbage or recycling containers to inform customers of problems, such as excess garbage or inclusion of items that are not permitted.

  • Check road or weather conditions to determine how routes will be affected.

  • Drive trucks, following established routes, through residential streets or alleys or through business or industrial areas.

  • Refuel trucks or add other fluids, such as oil or brake fluid.

  • Inspect trucks prior to beginning routes to ensure safe operating condition.

  • Operate equipment that compresses collected refuse.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Payroll software
  • Global positioning system GPS software
  • Dossier software
  • Gatik AI
  • WAM software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • AMCS Platform
  • Routeware software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Squeegee
  • Mobileye AI
  • Fleet management software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mileage logging software
  • Recycling trucks
  • Personal computers
  • Garbage trucks
  • Side-loading garbage trucks
  • Pneumatic collection garbage trucks
  • Front loading garbage trucks
  • Mobile radios
  • Cardboard compactors
  • Rear-loading garbage trucks
  • Walking floor trailers
  • Grapple trucks
  • Lifting arms
  • Tractor-trailer trucks
  • Desktop computers
  • Aluminum compactors
  • Shredder trucks