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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Rocket Scientist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #79 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

62%

“Rocket Scientist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 62% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

32%

“Rocket Scientist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 32% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Aerospace Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform engineering duties in designing, constructing, and testing aircraft, missiles, and spacecraft. May conduct basic and applied research to evaluate adaptability of materials and equipment to aircraft design and manufacture. May recommend improvements in testing equipment and techniques.

Avg. Annual Salary $141,180
Avg. Hourly Wage $67.88
Available Jobs (US) 68,440
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Aerospace Engineers #17-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Aerospace Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Evaluate biofuel performance specifications to determine feasibility for aerospace applications.

  • Formulate mathematical models or other methods of computer analysis to develop, evaluate, or modify design, according to customer engineering requirements.

  • Plan or coordinate investigation and resolution of customers' reports of technical problems with aircraft or aerospace vehicles.

  • Design new or modify existing aerospace systems to reduce polluting emissions, such as nitrogen oxide, carbon monoxide, or smoke emissions.

  • Design or engineer filtration systems that reduce harmful emissions.

  • Write technical reports or other documentation, such as handbooks or bulletins, for use by engineering staff, management, or customers.

  • Maintain records of performance reports for future reference.

  • Direct or coordinate activities of engineering or technical personnel involved in designing, fabricating, modifying, or testing of aircraft or aerospace products.

  • Diagnose performance problems by reviewing reports or documentation from customers or field engineers or by inspecting malfunctioning or damaged products.

  • Analyze project requests, proposals, or engineering data to determine feasibility, productibility, cost, or production time of aerospace or aeronautical products.

  • Evaluate product data or design from inspections or reports for conformance to engineering principles, customer requirements, environmental regulations, or quality standards.

  • Plan or conduct experimental, environmental, operational, or stress tests on models or prototypes of aircraft or aerospace systems or equipment.

  • Direct aerospace research and development programs.

  • Develop design criteria for aeronautical or aerospace products or systems, including testing methods, production costs, quality standards, environmental standards, or completion dates.

  • Formulate conceptual design of aeronautical or aerospace products or systems to meet customer requirements or conform to environmental regulations.

  • Evaluate and approve selection of vendors by studying past performance or new advertisements.

Technologies & Software

  • ANSYS simulation software
  • K&K Associates Thermal Analysis Kit TAK
  • UGS Solid Edge
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • IBM Rational ClearQuest
  • Xilinx TMRTool
  • Computer aided design and drafting CADD software
  • C
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Alstom ESARAD
  • Verilog
  • Formula translation/translator FORTRAN
  • Wolfram Research Mathematica
  • DeepSeek
  • IBM Rational ClearCase
  • ESI Group AutoSEA2
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Microsoft Project
  • Network Analysis SINDA-G
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Analytical Graphics STK Expert Edition
  • Altera Quartus II
  • Cullimore & Ring Technologies Thermal Desktop
  • Sun Microsystems Java
  • ANSYS AI Simulation
  • Alstom ESATAN
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Structure query language SQL
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Stress analysis software
  • IBM Rational DOORS
  • Computational fluid dynamics CFD software
  • Mathsoft Mathcad
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Thermal Radiation Analysis System TRASYS
  • Thermal design software
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • MSC Software Fatigue
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Dassault Systemes Abaqus
  • Maplesoft Maple
  • Thermal Synthesizer System TSS
  • Linux
  • Finite element method FEM software
  • Fatigue analysis software
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Microsoft Visual Studio
  • GitHub Copilot
  • Shell script
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Perl
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Phoenix Integration ModelCenter
  • Tecplot Focus
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Computer-aided engineering CAE software
  • Oracle Java
  • C++
  • Python
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • UNIX
  • MSC Software Nastran
  • Digital Equipment Corporation DIGITAL Fortran 90
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Hewlett-Packard HP OpenVMS
  • Perplexity AI
  • Data acquisition systems
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Collier Research HyperSizer
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Ada
  • Harvard Thermal TAS
  • Microsoft Access
  • Grid generation software
  • C#
  • AutoCAD AI
  • MathWorks Simulink
  • MSC Software Patran
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • IBM Rational RequisitePro
  • SAP software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Finite element analysis FEA software
  • PTC Pro/INTRALINK
  • Cullimore & Ring Technologies SINDA/FLUINT
  • Universal Technical Systems TK Solver
  • TEAM Engineering FEMAP
  • Gemini Code Assist
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Southwest Research Institute NASGRO
  • Thermal analysis software
  • Autodesk AI
  • Flexible dynamics modeling software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Image processing systems
  • MAYA Nastran
  • Push/pull dynamometers
  • Welders
  • Plotters
  • Digital pressure gauges
  • Lasers
  • Signal generators
  • Laboratory centrifugal pumps
  • Anechoic chambers
  • Wave analyzers
  • Flight simulators
  • Axial flow research fans
  • Mainframe computers
  • Fiber optic interferometers
  • Profilometers
  • Ultrasonic inspection equipment
  • Centerless grinders
  • Multi-axis mills
  • Flow meters
  • Power microwave generators
  • Reflection polariscopes
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Lathes
  • Terminal computers
  • Strain gauge balances
  • Digital oscilloscopes
  • Fatigue testing machines
  • Axial flow compressor facilities
  • Load frames
  • Spectrometers
  • Impinging jet apparatus
  • Argon-ion lasers
  • Digital voltmeters DVM
  • Atomic force microscopes
  • Vibration isolation tables
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • UNIX work stations
  • Laser velocimeters
  • Impact guns
  • Viscometers
  • Vacuum facilities
  • Parallel computers
  • Cluster computers
  • Computer numerical controlled CNC milling machines
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Personal computers
  • Laser Doppler velocimeters LDV
  • Acoustic emissions systems
  • Electronic pressure scanners
  • Propellant combustion chambers
  • Force transducers
  • Axial flow turbines

Alternative Job Titles