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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Rocket Scientist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #79 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

62%

“Rocket Scientist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 62% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

32%

“Rocket Scientist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 32% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Aerospace Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform engineering duties in designing, constructing, and testing aircraft, missiles, and spacecraft. May conduct basic and applied research to evaluate adaptability of materials and equipment to aircraft design and manufacture. May recommend improvements in testing equipment and techniques.

Avg. Annual Salary $141,180
Avg. Hourly Wage $67.88
Available Jobs (US) 68,440
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Aerospace Engineers #17-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Aerospace Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Write technical reports or other documentation, such as handbooks or bulletins, for use by engineering staff, management, or customers.

  • Maintain records of performance reports for future reference.

  • Evaluate product data or design from inspections or reports for conformance to engineering principles, customer requirements, environmental regulations, or quality standards.

  • Design or engineer filtration systems that reduce harmful emissions.

  • Diagnose performance problems by reviewing reports or documentation from customers or field engineers or by inspecting malfunctioning or damaged products.

  • Evaluate and approve selection of vendors by studying past performance or new advertisements.

  • Plan or conduct experimental, environmental, operational, or stress tests on models or prototypes of aircraft or aerospace systems or equipment.

  • Design new or modify existing aerospace systems to reduce polluting emissions, such as nitrogen oxide, carbon monoxide, or smoke emissions.

  • Formulate conceptual design of aeronautical or aerospace products or systems to meet customer requirements or conform to environmental regulations.

  • Direct aerospace research and development programs.

  • Formulate mathematical models or other methods of computer analysis to develop, evaluate, or modify design, according to customer engineering requirements.

  • Analyze project requests, proposals, or engineering data to determine feasibility, productibility, cost, or production time of aerospace or aeronautical products.

  • Direct or coordinate activities of engineering or technical personnel involved in designing, fabricating, modifying, or testing of aircraft or aerospace products.

  • Evaluate biofuel performance specifications to determine feasibility for aerospace applications.

  • Plan or coordinate investigation and resolution of customers' reports of technical problems with aircraft or aerospace vehicles.

  • Develop design criteria for aeronautical or aerospace products or systems, including testing methods, production costs, quality standards, environmental standards, or completion dates.

Technologies & Software

  • Computer-aided engineering CAE software
  • Cullimore & Ring Technologies Thermal Desktop
  • Oracle Java
  • Grid generation software
  • Harvard Thermal TAS
  • Thermal Radiation Analysis System TRASYS
  • Formula translation/translator FORTRAN
  • Mathsoft Mathcad
  • Microsoft Visual Studio
  • Digital Equipment Corporation DIGITAL Fortran 90
  • Universal Technical Systems TK Solver
  • Dassault Systemes Abaqus
  • Computational fluid dynamics CFD software
  • SAP software
  • MSC Software Patran
  • Microsoft Word
  • Linux
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • IBM Rational ClearQuest
  • Thermal Synthesizer System TSS
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • Altera Quartus II
  • UGS Solid Edge
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Python
  • Structure query language SQL
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Finite element method FEM software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • MAYA Nastran
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini Code Assist
  • Alstom ESARAD
  • UNIX
  • C++
  • DeepSeek
  • Analytical Graphics STK Expert Edition
  • Image processing systems
  • Thermal design software
  • Alstom ESATAN
  • Data acquisition systems
  • IBM Rational RequisitePro
  • Ada
  • Tecplot Focus
  • Sun Microsystems Java
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • C#
  • Microsoft Project
  • Finite element analysis FEA software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • IBM Rational DOORS
  • Xilinx TMRTool
  • Shell script
  • Stress analysis software
  • MSC Software Nastran
  • Wolfram Research Mathematica
  • Southwest Research Institute NASGRO
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ANSYS AI Simulation
  • Phoenix Integration ModelCenter
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Autodesk AI
  • Cullimore & Ring Technologies SINDA/FLUINT
  • Verilog
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Perl
  • ANSYS simulation software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Thermal analysis software
  • Network Analysis SINDA-G
  • Hewlett-Packard HP OpenVMS
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Computer aided design and drafting CADD software
  • IBM Rational ClearCase
  • GitHub Copilot
  • K&K Associates Thermal Analysis Kit TAK
  • Collier Research HyperSizer
  • Flexible dynamics modeling software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • C
  • PTC Pro/INTRALINK
  • MSC Software Fatigue
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Fatigue analysis software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ESI Group AutoSEA2
  • AutoCAD AI
  • TEAM Engineering FEMAP
  • Maplesoft Maple
  • MathWorks Simulink
  • Atomic force microscopes
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Strain gauge balances
  • Acoustic emissions systems
  • Laser velocimeters
  • Personal computers
  • Impact guns
  • Welders
  • Cluster computers
  • Mainframe computers
  • Wave analyzers
  • Digital pressure gauges
  • Lasers
  • Push/pull dynamometers
  • Terminal computers
  • Computer numerical controlled CNC milling machines
  • Axial flow compressor facilities
  • Reflection polariscopes
  • Power microwave generators
  • Digital oscilloscopes
  • Spectrometers
  • Impinging jet apparatus
  • Centerless grinders
  • Fiber optic interferometers
  • Flow meters
  • Vacuum facilities
  • Digital voltmeters DVM
  • Ultrasonic inspection equipment
  • Axial flow turbines
  • Profilometers
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Anechoic chambers
  • Lathes
  • Vibration isolation tables
  • Plotters
  • Laboratory centrifugal pumps
  • UNIX work stations
  • Viscometers
  • Fatigue testing machines
  • Multi-axis mills
  • Argon-ion lasers
  • Laser Doppler velocimeters LDV
  • Electronic pressure scanners
  • Axial flow research fans
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Flight simulators
  • Propellant combustion chambers
  • Force transducers
  • Load frames
  • Signal generators
  • Parallel computers

Alternative Job Titles