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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Weatherman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #371 of 702. Estimated risk: 67.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

61%

“Weatherman” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 61% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

28%

“Weatherman” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 28% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Atmospheric and Space Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Investigate atmospheric phenomena and interpret meteorological data, gathered by surface and air stations, satellites, and radar to prepare reports and forecasts for public and other uses. Includes weather analysts and forecasters whose functions require the detailed knowledge of meteorology.

Avg. Annual Salary $103,980
Avg. Hourly Wage $49.99
Available Jobs (US) 8,780
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Atmospheric and Space Scientists #19-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Atmospheric and Space Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Analyze climate data sets, using techniques such as geophysical fluid dynamics, data assimilation, or numerical modeling.

  • Prepare weather reports or maps for analysis, distribution, or use in weather broadcasts, using computer graphics.

  • Teach college-level courses on topics such as atmospheric and space science, meteorology, or global climate change.

  • Direct forecasting services at weather stations or at radio or television broadcasting facilities.

  • Perform managerial duties, such as creating work schedules, creating or implementing staff training, matching staff expertise to situations, or analyzing performance of offices.

  • Develop or use mathematical or computer models for weather forecasting.

  • Prepare forecasts or briefings to meet the needs of industry, business, government, or other groups.

  • Conduct meteorological research into the processes or determinants of atmospheric phenomena, weather, or climate.

  • Design or develop new equipment or methods for meteorological data collection, remote sensing, or related applications.

  • Broadcast weather conditions, forecasts, or severe weather warnings to the public via television, radio, or the Internet or provide this information to the news media.

  • Develop and deliver training on weather topics.

  • Interpret data, reports, maps, photographs, or charts to predict long- or short-range weather conditions, using computer models and knowledge of climate theory, physics, and mathematics.

  • Conduct numerical simulations of climate conditions to understand and predict global or regional weather patterns.

  • Conduct wind assessment, integration, or validation studies.

  • Develop computer programs to collect meteorological data or to present meteorological information.

  • Formulate predictions by interpreting environmental data, such as meteorological, atmospheric, oceanic, paleoclimate, climate, or related information.

  • Gather data from sources such as surface or upper air stations, satellites, weather bureaus, or radar for use in meteorological reports or forecasts.

  • Create visualizations to illustrate historical or future changes in the Earth's climate, using paleoclimate or climate geographic information systems (GIS) databases.

  • Consult with other offices, agencies, professionals, or researchers regarding the use and interpretation of climatological information for weather predictions and warnings.

  • Collect air samples from planes or ships over land or sea to study atmospheric composition.

  • Apply meteorological knowledge to issues such as global warming, pollution control, or ozone depletion.

  • Estimate or predict the effects of global warming over time for specific geographic regions.

  • Analyze historical climate information, such as precipitation or temperature records, to help predict future weather or climate trends.

  • Speak to the public to discuss weather topics or answer questions.

  • Prepare scientific atmospheric or climate reports, articles, or texts.

  • Measure wind, temperature, and humidity in the upper atmosphere, using weather balloons.

  • Research the impact of industrial projects or pollution on climate, air quality, or weather phenomena.

Technologies & Software

  • Ferret
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • QuarkXPress
  • Social media sites
  • Systat Software SigmaPlot
  • STATISTICA
  • Wolfram Research Mathematica
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Microsoft Paint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • AccuWeather Galileo
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Vis5d+
  • Software development tools
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Python
  • Aninoquisi MesoTRAC
  • Cave5D
  • Interactive radar analysis software IRAS
  • Advanced Visual Systems AVS/Express
  • Unidata McIDAS-X
  • Linux
  • WSI TrueView Professional
  • Air quality modeling software
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Flow Analysis Software Toolkit FAST
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Baron Services FasTrac
  • Microsoft Access
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Scite AI
  • Maplesoft Maple
  • PC Weather Products HURRTRAK
  • ITT Visual Information Solutions ENVI
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Unidata Integrated Data Viewer IDV
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Word processing software
  • Systat Software SigmaStat
  • Mesoscale modeling software
  • ESRI ArcView
  • SVRPLOT
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SatView
  • C++
  • Consensus
  • Environmental Research Services RAOB
  • Wind flow modeling software
  • Facebook
  • Cisco IOS
  • Lakes Environmental Software WRPLOT View
  • SAS
  • Image editing software
  • VorTek Site Assessment of Tornado Threat SATT
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Grid analysis and display system GrADS
  • DeepSeek
  • WINGRIDDS
  • Unidata Gempak Analysis and Rendering Program GARP
  • Elicit
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Baron Volumetric Imaging and Processing of Integrated Radar VIPIR
  • ESRI ArcInfo
  • Unidata GEMPAK
  • Perplexity AI
  • Formula translation/translator FORTRAN
  • Perl
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • UNIX
  • R
  • WSI Titan
  • Apple Final Cut Pro
  • Graphic tablets
  • Whirling hygrometers
  • Surface temperature probes
  • Weather observation stations
  • Digital anemometers
  • Relative humidity gauges
  • Doppler radar equipment
  • Two way radios
  • Light meters
  • Radiosonde launchers
  • Laptop computers
  • Solarimeters
  • Personal computers
  • Next Generation Weather Radar NEXRAD
  • Psychrometers
  • Soil temperature probes
  • Air temperature thermometers
  • Mercury barometers
  • Tipping bucket rain gauges
  • Temperature and humidity data loggers
  • Analog anemometers
  • Air quality samplers
  • Desktop computers
  • Hygrometers
  • Weather balloons
  • Storm chase vehicles
  • Rain gauges