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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “International Trade Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #282 of 702. Estimated risk: 43.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

63%

“International Trade Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 63% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

15%

“International Trade Specialist” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 15% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Economists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research, prepare reports, or formulate plans to address economic problems related to the production and distribution of goods and services or monetary and fiscal policy. May collect and process economic and statistical data using sampling techniques and econometric methods.

Avg. Annual Salary $130,910
Avg. Hourly Wage $62.94
Available Jobs (US) 15,880
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Economists #19-3011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Economists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Provide advice and consultation on economic relationships to businesses, public and private agencies, and other employers.

  • Study economic and statistical data in area of specialization, such as finance, labor, or agriculture.

  • Compile, analyze, and report data to explain economic phenomena and forecast market trends, applying mathematical models and statistical techniques.

  • Review documents written by others.

  • Formulate recommendations, policies, or plans to solve economic problems or to interpret markets.

  • Conduct research on economic issues, and disseminate research findings through technical reports or scientific articles in journals.

  • Testify at regulatory or legislative hearings concerning the estimated effects of changes in legislation or public policy, and present recommendations based on cost-benefit analyses.

  • Teach theories, principles, and methods of economics.

  • Supervise research projects and students' study projects.

  • Study the socioeconomic impacts of new public policies, such as proposed legislation, taxes, services, and regulations.

  • Forecast production and consumption of renewable resources and supply, consumption, and depletion of non-renewable resources.

  • Explain economic impact of policies to the public.

  • Develop economic guidelines and standards, and prepare points of view used in forecasting trends and formulating economic policy.

  • Provide litigation support, such as writing reports for expert testimony or testifying as an expert witness.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini for Workspace
  • TreeAge Software TreeAge Pro
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Elicit
  • Estimates Delivery System EDS
  • Wolfram Research Mathematica
  • Perplexity AI
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Camfit Data Limited Microfit
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Statistical software
  • C++
  • Aptech Systems GAUSS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Scite AI
  • SAS
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • UNIX
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Quantitative Micro Software EViews
  • Microsoft Visual C# .NET
  • Python
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mathsoft Mathcad
  • Microsoft Power BI
  • Minitab
  • Teradata Database
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Global Insight AREMOS
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • LaTeX
  • Timberlake Consultants OxMetrics
  • Consensus
  • Web browser software
  • UNIX Shell
  • Insightful S-PLUS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Econometric Software LIMDEP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Oracle Java
  • R
  • Microsoft SQL Server
  • Microsoft Excel
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • MediaWiki
  • Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications VBA
  • Palisade @Risk
  • Estima Regression Analysis of Time Series RATS
  • Formula translation/translator FORTRAN
  • MacKichan Software Scientific Notebook
  • MySQL
  • StataCorp Stata
  • Maplesoft Maple
  • Corel QuattroPro
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Tableau
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Data scanners
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • 10-key calculators
  • Maintrame computers