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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “International Trade Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #282 of 702. Estimated risk: 43.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

63%

“International Trade Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 63% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

15%

“International Trade Specialist” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 15% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Economists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research, prepare reports, or formulate plans to address economic problems related to the production and distribution of goods and services or monetary and fiscal policy. May collect and process economic and statistical data using sampling techniques and econometric methods.

Avg. Annual Salary $130,910
Avg. Hourly Wage $62.94
Available Jobs (US) 15,880
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Economists #19-3011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Economists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct research on economic issues, and disseminate research findings through technical reports or scientific articles in journals.

  • Compile, analyze, and report data to explain economic phenomena and forecast market trends, applying mathematical models and statistical techniques.

  • Supervise research projects and students' study projects.

  • Teach theories, principles, and methods of economics.

  • Develop economic guidelines and standards, and prepare points of view used in forecasting trends and formulating economic policy.

  • Study economic and statistical data in area of specialization, such as finance, labor, or agriculture.

  • Provide advice and consultation on economic relationships to businesses, public and private agencies, and other employers.

  • Provide litigation support, such as writing reports for expert testimony or testifying as an expert witness.

  • Study the socioeconomic impacts of new public policies, such as proposed legislation, taxes, services, and regulations.

  • Review documents written by others.

  • Explain economic impact of policies to the public.

  • Forecast production and consumption of renewable resources and supply, consumption, and depletion of non-renewable resources.

  • Testify at regulatory or legislative hearings concerning the estimated effects of changes in legislation or public policy, and present recommendations based on cost-benefit analyses.

  • Formulate recommendations, policies, or plans to solve economic problems or to interpret markets.

Technologies & Software

  • UNIX Shell
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  • Corel QuattroPro
  • R
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Python
  • Microsoft Access
  • Web browser software
  • Aptech Systems GAUSS
  • Quantitative Micro Software EViews
  • Elicit
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Wolfram Research Mathematica
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft SQL Server
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Perplexity AI
  • Estimates Delivery System EDS
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Microsoft Power BI
  • Maplesoft Maple
  • MySQL
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • Global Insight AREMOS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications VBA
  • UNIX
  • Camfit Data Limited Microfit
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Palisade @Risk
  • Mathsoft Mathcad
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Visual C# .NET
  • C++
  • Statistical software
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • SAS
  • StataCorp Stata
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Tableau
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Econometric Software LIMDEP
  • Minitab
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • MacKichan Software Scientific Notebook
  • Teradata Database
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Timberlake Consultants OxMetrics
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Insightful S-PLUS
  • Oracle Java
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • MediaWiki
  • LaTeX
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Formula translation/translator FORTRAN
  • Scite AI
  • Estima Regression Analysis of Time Series RATS
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • TreeAge Software TreeAge Pro
  • Personal computers
  • Maintrame computers
  • Data scanners
  • 10-key calculators
  • Laptop computers
  • Desktop computers