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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “COBOL Programmer (Common Business Oriented Language Programmer)” be Automated?

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AI Exposure Risk

60%

“COBOL Programmer (Common Business Oriented Language Programmer)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 60% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

30%

“COBOL Programmer (Common Business Oriented Language Programmer)” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 30% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Computer Programmers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Create, modify, and test the code and scripts that allow computer applications to run. Work from specifications drawn up by software and web developers or other individuals. May develop and write computer programs to store, locate, and retrieve specific documents, data, and information.

Avg. Annual Salary $103,640
Avg. Hourly Wage $49.83
Available Jobs (US) 109,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Computer Programmers #15-1251
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Computer Programmers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Train users on the use and function of computer programs.

  • Train subordinates in programming and program coding.

  • Consult with managerial, engineering, and technical personnel to clarify program intent, identify problems, and suggest changes.

  • Consult with and assist computer operators or system analysts to define and resolve problems in running computer programs.

  • Perform systems analysis and programming tasks to maintain and control the use of computer systems software as a systems programmer.

  • Write, analyze, review, and rewrite programs, using workflow chart and diagram, and applying knowledge of computer capabilities, subject matter, and symbolic logic.

  • Compile and write documentation of program development and subsequent revisions, inserting comments in the coded instructions so others can understand the program.

  • Correct errors by making appropriate changes and rechecking the program to ensure that the desired results are produced.

  • Write or contribute to instructions or manuals to guide end users.

  • Write, update, and maintain computer programs or software packages to handle specific jobs such as tracking inventory, storing or retrieving data, or controlling other equipment.

  • Develop Web sites.

  • Investigate whether networks, workstations, the central processing unit of the system, or peripheral equipment are responding to a program's instructions.

  • Assign, coordinate, and review work and activities of programming personnel.

  • Collaborate with computer manufacturers and other users to develop new programming methods.

  • Prepare detailed workflow charts and diagrams that describe input, output, and logical operation, and convert them into a series of instructions coded in a computer language.

  • Perform or direct revision, repair, or expansion of existing programs to increase operating efficiency or adapt to new requirements.

  • Conduct trial runs of programs and software applications to be sure they will produce the desired information and that the instructions are correct.

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