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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Forecast Analyst” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #209 of 702. Estimated risk: 21.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

62%

“Forecast Analyst” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 62% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

21%

“Forecast Analyst” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 21% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Actuaries, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Analyze statistical data, such as mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates and construct probability tables to forecast risk and liability for payment of future benefits. May ascertain insurance rates required and cash reserves necessary to ensure payment of future benefits.

Avg. Annual Salary $134,990
Avg. Hourly Wage $64.90
Available Jobs (US) 28,340
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Actuaries #15-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Actuaries”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine, or help determine, company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public.

  • Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates.

  • Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.

  • Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance.

  • Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business.

  • Explain changes in contract provisions to customers.

  • Ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits.

  • Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant.

  • Manage credit and help price corporate security offerings.

  • Negotiate terms and conditions of reinsurance with other companies.

  • Testify in court as expert witness or to provide legal evidence on matters such as the value of potential lifetime earnings of a person disabled or killed in an accident.

  • Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings.

  • Determine equitable basis for distributing surplus earnings under participating insurance and annuity contracts in mutual companies.

  • Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses.

  • Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Wolfram Research Mathematica
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Bolt.new
  • ARMON Technologies XLActuary
  • SS&C PTS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • GitHub Copilot
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Milliman ReservePro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Towers Perrin MoSes
  • Pricing software
  • Tabnine
  • IBM Lotus Notes
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • v0 by Vercel
  • SAS
  • Presentation software
  • Cash flow software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Compliance testing software
  • Perplexity AI
  • C++
  • Oracle Database
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • Cursor AI
  • R
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • SAP BusinessObjects Desktop Intelligence
  • Qlik Tech QlikView
  • Statistical software
  • Microsoft Power BI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Insightful S-PLUS
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Milliman Corporate Affinity
  • Google Antigravity
  • GGY AXIS
  • Insureware ICRFS-ELRF
  • PolySystems Asset Delphi
  • Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications VBA
  • Python
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini Code Assist
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Devin (Cognition AI)
  • Amazon CodeWhisperer
  • Microsoft SQL Server
  • Microsoft Project
  • Microsoft Visual FoxPro
  • Oracle Java
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Lovable.dev
  • Oak Mountain Software AnnuityValue
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Appraisal software
  • Codeium
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Tableau
  • Lewis & Ellis LEAPPS
  • DeepSeek
  • dBASE Plus
  • Notebook computers
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • 10-key calculators