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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Forecaster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #371 of 702. Estimated risk: 67.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

61%

“Forecaster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 61% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

28%

“Forecaster” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 28% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Atmospheric and Space Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Investigate atmospheric phenomena and interpret meteorological data, gathered by surface and air stations, satellites, and radar to prepare reports and forecasts for public and other uses. Includes weather analysts and forecasters whose functions require the detailed knowledge of meteorology.

Avg. Annual Salary $103,980
Avg. Hourly Wage $49.99
Available Jobs (US) 8,780
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Atmospheric and Space Scientists #19-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Atmospheric and Space Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Prepare weather reports or maps for analysis, distribution, or use in weather broadcasts, using computer graphics.

  • Create visualizations to illustrate historical or future changes in the Earth's climate, using paleoclimate or climate geographic information systems (GIS) databases.

  • Apply meteorological knowledge to issues such as global warming, pollution control, or ozone depletion.

  • Collect air samples from planes or ships over land or sea to study atmospheric composition.

  • Analyze historical climate information, such as precipitation or temperature records, to help predict future weather or climate trends.

  • Gather data from sources such as surface or upper air stations, satellites, weather bureaus, or radar for use in meteorological reports or forecasts.

  • Perform managerial duties, such as creating work schedules, creating or implementing staff training, matching staff expertise to situations, or analyzing performance of offices.

  • Research the impact of industrial projects or pollution on climate, air quality, or weather phenomena.

  • Prepare scientific atmospheric or climate reports, articles, or texts.

  • Estimate or predict the effects of global warming over time for specific geographic regions.

  • Prepare forecasts or briefings to meet the needs of industry, business, government, or other groups.

  • Conduct meteorological research into the processes or determinants of atmospheric phenomena, weather, or climate.

  • Design or develop new equipment or methods for meteorological data collection, remote sensing, or related applications.

  • Develop computer programs to collect meteorological data or to present meteorological information.

  • Measure wind, temperature, and humidity in the upper atmosphere, using weather balloons.

  • Consult with other offices, agencies, professionals, or researchers regarding the use and interpretation of climatological information for weather predictions and warnings.

  • Teach college-level courses on topics such as atmospheric and space science, meteorology, or global climate change.

  • Formulate predictions by interpreting environmental data, such as meteorological, atmospheric, oceanic, paleoclimate, climate, or related information.

  • Develop or use mathematical or computer models for weather forecasting.

  • Speak to the public to discuss weather topics or answer questions.

  • Conduct numerical simulations of climate conditions to understand and predict global or regional weather patterns.

  • Broadcast weather conditions, forecasts, or severe weather warnings to the public via television, radio, or the Internet or provide this information to the news media.

  • Develop and deliver training on weather topics.

  • Analyze climate data sets, using techniques such as geophysical fluid dynamics, data assimilation, or numerical modeling.

  • Interpret data, reports, maps, photographs, or charts to predict long- or short-range weather conditions, using computer models and knowledge of climate theory, physics, and mathematics.

  • Conduct wind assessment, integration, or validation studies.

  • Direct forecasting services at weather stations or at radio or television broadcasting facilities.

Technologies & Software

  • Word processing software
  • ESRI ArcView
  • ESRI ArcInfo
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • C++
  • Wind flow modeling software
  • PC Weather Products HURRTRAK
  • Vis5d+
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • UNIX
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Unidata GEMPAK
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Linux
  • Systat Software SigmaStat
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Structured query language SQL
  • QuarkXPress
  • Microsoft Paint
  • Software development tools
  • SAS
  • Lakes Environmental Software WRPLOT View
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Formula translation/translator FORTRAN
  • Apple Final Cut Pro
  • Python
  • Cisco IOS
  • Cave5D
  • Microsoft Word
  • WSI Titan
  • Unidata Gempak Analysis and Rendering Program GARP
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Consensus
  • R
  • Aninoquisi MesoTRAC
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Maplesoft Maple
  • Unidata Integrated Data Viewer IDV
  • Image editing software
  • DeepSeek
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • ITT Visual Information Solutions ENVI
  • Interactive radar analysis software IRAS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Air quality modeling software
  • Grid analysis and display system GrADS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Environmental Research Services RAOB
  • Flow Analysis Software Toolkit FAST
  • Systat Software SigmaPlot
  • Baron Services FasTrac
  • Mesoscale modeling software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • WSI TrueView Professional
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Social media sites
  • Facebook
  • Microsoft Access
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Perl
  • Scite AI
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Wolfram Research Mathematica
  • Ferret
  • SatView
  • AccuWeather Galileo
  • VorTek Site Assessment of Tornado Threat SATT
  • WINGRIDDS
  • Baron Volumetric Imaging and Processing of Integrated Radar VIPIR
  • Elicit
  • Advanced Visual Systems AVS/Express
  • STATISTICA
  • SVRPLOT
  • Unidata McIDAS-X
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Graphic tablets
  • Light meters
  • Surface temperature probes
  • Solarimeters
  • Storm chase vehicles
  • Analog anemometers
  • Two way radios
  • Next Generation Weather Radar NEXRAD
  • Relative humidity gauges
  • Psychrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Soil temperature probes
  • Temperature and humidity data loggers
  • Desktop computers
  • Air temperature thermometers
  • Doppler radar equipment
  • Tipping bucket rain gauges
  • Whirling hygrometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Radiosonde launchers
  • Air quality samplers
  • Rain gauges
  • Digital anemometers
  • Weather balloons
  • Hygrometers
  • Weather observation stations
  • Mercury barometers