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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “General Forecaster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #371 of 702. Estimated risk: 67.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

61%

“General Forecaster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 61% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

28%

“General Forecaster” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 28% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Atmospheric and Space Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Investigate atmospheric phenomena and interpret meteorological data, gathered by surface and air stations, satellites, and radar to prepare reports and forecasts for public and other uses. Includes weather analysts and forecasters whose functions require the detailed knowledge of meteorology.

Avg. Annual Salary $103,980
Avg. Hourly Wage $49.99
Available Jobs (US) 8,780
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Atmospheric and Space Scientists #19-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Atmospheric and Space Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct numerical simulations of climate conditions to understand and predict global or regional weather patterns.

  • Gather data from sources such as surface or upper air stations, satellites, weather bureaus, or radar for use in meteorological reports or forecasts.

  • Measure wind, temperature, and humidity in the upper atmosphere, using weather balloons.

  • Direct forecasting services at weather stations or at radio or television broadcasting facilities.

  • Interpret data, reports, maps, photographs, or charts to predict long- or short-range weather conditions, using computer models and knowledge of climate theory, physics, and mathematics.

  • Teach college-level courses on topics such as atmospheric and space science, meteorology, or global climate change.

  • Estimate or predict the effects of global warming over time for specific geographic regions.

  • Analyze historical climate information, such as precipitation or temperature records, to help predict future weather or climate trends.

  • Collect air samples from planes or ships over land or sea to study atmospheric composition.

  • Perform managerial duties, such as creating work schedules, creating or implementing staff training, matching staff expertise to situations, or analyzing performance of offices.

  • Prepare scientific atmospheric or climate reports, articles, or texts.

  • Apply meteorological knowledge to issues such as global warming, pollution control, or ozone depletion.

  • Broadcast weather conditions, forecasts, or severe weather warnings to the public via television, radio, or the Internet or provide this information to the news media.

  • Prepare weather reports or maps for analysis, distribution, or use in weather broadcasts, using computer graphics.

  • Create visualizations to illustrate historical or future changes in the Earth's climate, using paleoclimate or climate geographic information systems (GIS) databases.

  • Conduct wind assessment, integration, or validation studies.

  • Consult with other offices, agencies, professionals, or researchers regarding the use and interpretation of climatological information for weather predictions and warnings.

  • Prepare forecasts or briefings to meet the needs of industry, business, government, or other groups.

  • Speak to the public to discuss weather topics or answer questions.

  • Research the impact of industrial projects or pollution on climate, air quality, or weather phenomena.

  • Design or develop new equipment or methods for meteorological data collection, remote sensing, or related applications.

  • Develop and deliver training on weather topics.

  • Conduct meteorological research into the processes or determinants of atmospheric phenomena, weather, or climate.

  • Analyze climate data sets, using techniques such as geophysical fluid dynamics, data assimilation, or numerical modeling.

  • Develop computer programs to collect meteorological data or to present meteorological information.

  • Formulate predictions by interpreting environmental data, such as meteorological, atmospheric, oceanic, paleoclimate, climate, or related information.

  • Develop or use mathematical or computer models for weather forecasting.

Technologies & Software

  • Facebook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Interactive radar analysis software IRAS
  • Grid analysis and display system GrADS
  • Baron Services FasTrac
  • Unidata McIDAS-X
  • Wind flow modeling software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • WSI Titan
  • Image editing software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Baron Volumetric Imaging and Processing of Integrated Radar VIPIR
  • Scite AI
  • Environmental Research Services RAOB
  • Aninoquisi MesoTRAC
  • VorTek Site Assessment of Tornado Threat SATT
  • WINGRIDDS
  • WSI TrueView Professional
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Consensus
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Ferret
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • STATISTICA
  • PC Weather Products HURRTRAK
  • Wolfram Research Mathematica
  • Systat Software SigmaPlot
  • Unidata GEMPAK
  • Social media sites
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Vis5d+
  • Python
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Lakes Environmental Software WRPLOT View
  • SAS
  • SatView
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SVRPLOT
  • Cisco IOS
  • UNIX
  • Linux
  • AccuWeather Galileo
  • Flow Analysis Software Toolkit FAST
  • Maplesoft Maple
  • ITT Visual Information Solutions ENVI
  • Microsoft Paint
  • Word processing software
  • Unidata Gempak Analysis and Rendering Program GARP
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • C++
  • Perplexity AI
  • Software development tools
  • R
  • Advanced Visual Systems AVS/Express
  • QuarkXPress
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Cave5D
  • Air quality modeling software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Elicit
  • Systat Software SigmaStat
  • Formula translation/translator FORTRAN
  • Unidata Integrated Data Viewer IDV
  • Microsoft Office software
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • ESRI ArcInfo
  • Apple Final Cut Pro
  • Perl
  • Mesoscale modeling software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Radiosonde launchers
  • Analog anemometers
  • Weather balloons
  • Graphic tablets
  • Temperature and humidity data loggers
  • Weather observation stations
  • Doppler radar equipment
  • Air temperature thermometers
  • Light meters
  • Soil temperature probes
  • Air quality samplers
  • Desktop computers
  • Solarimeters
  • Relative humidity gauges
  • Whirling hygrometers
  • Storm chase vehicles
  • Psychrometers
  • Two way radios
  • Laptop computers
  • Mercury barometers
  • Personal computers
  • Surface temperature probes
  • Rain gauges
  • Next Generation Weather Radar NEXRAD
  • Digital anemometers
  • Hygrometers
  • Tipping bucket rain gauges