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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Major League Baseball Umpire (MLB Umpire)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #684 of 702. Estimated risk: 98.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Major League Baseball Umpire (MLB Umpire)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

26%

“Major League Baseball Umpire (MLB Umpire)” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 26% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Officiate at competitive athletic or sporting events. Detect infractions of rules and decide penalties according to established regulations. Includes all sporting officials, referees, and competition judges.

Avg. Annual Salary $52,800
Available Jobs (US) 15,080
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials #27-2023
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Confer with other sporting officials, coaches, players, and facility managers to provide information, coordinate activities, and discuss problems.

  • Inspect sporting equipment or examine participants to ensure compliance with event and safety regulations.

  • Resolve claims of rule infractions or complaints by participants and assess any necessary penalties, according to regulations.

  • Verify scoring calculations before competition winners are announced.

  • Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed, such as fines or other disciplinary actions.

  • Officiate at sporting events, games, or competitions, to maintain standards of play and to ensure that game rules are observed.

  • Signal participants or other officials to make them aware of infractions or to otherwise regulate play or competition.

  • Judge performances in sporting competitions to award points, impose scoring penalties, and determine results.

  • Verify credentials of participants in sporting events, and make other qualifying determinations, such as starting order or handicap number.

  • Direct participants to assigned areas, such as starting blocks or penalty areas.

  • Start races and competitions.

  • Inspect game sites for compliance with regulations or safety requirements.

  • Teach and explain the rules and regulations governing a specific sport.

  • Compile scores and other athletic records.

  • Research and study players and teams to anticipate issues that might arise in future engagements.

  • Keep track of event times, including race times and elapsed time during game segments, starting or stopping play when necessary.

Technologies & Software

  • CapCut AI
  • Napkin AI
  • Email software
  • ElevenLabs
  • Midjourney
  • Runway ML
  • Database software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Perplexity AI
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • LoveArt AI
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Udio
  • Web browser software
  • Video editing software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Recraft
  • Suno AI
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Weight training equipment
  • Leg guards
  • Umpire chest protectors
  • Hockey girdles
  • Shin guards
  • Ball inflators
  • Elbow pads
  • Stability balls
  • Communications headsets
  • Countdown timers
  • Measuring tapes
  • Equipment scales
  • Air gauges
  • Personal computers
  • Electronic display boards
  • Sports flip coins
  • Exercise bicycles
  • Hockey skates
  • Umpire masks
  • Laptop computers
  • Outside chest protectors
  • Protective sports helmets
  • Digital video disk DVD players
  • Elliptical trainers
  • Fitness treadmills
  • Referee whistles
  • Announcement systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Penalty flags