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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Youth Soccer Referee” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #684 of 702. Estimated risk: 98.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Youth Soccer Referee” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

26%

“Youth Soccer Referee” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 26% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Officiate at competitive athletic or sporting events. Detect infractions of rules and decide penalties according to established regulations. Includes all sporting officials, referees, and competition judges.

Avg. Annual Salary $52,800
Available Jobs (US) 15,080
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials #27-2023
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Officiate at sporting events, games, or competitions, to maintain standards of play and to ensure that game rules are observed.

  • Signal participants or other officials to make them aware of infractions or to otherwise regulate play or competition.

  • Resolve claims of rule infractions or complaints by participants and assess any necessary penalties, according to regulations.

  • Compile scores and other athletic records.

  • Direct participants to assigned areas, such as starting blocks or penalty areas.

  • Verify credentials of participants in sporting events, and make other qualifying determinations, such as starting order or handicap number.

  • Research and study players and teams to anticipate issues that might arise in future engagements.

  • Inspect game sites for compliance with regulations or safety requirements.

  • Inspect sporting equipment or examine participants to ensure compliance with event and safety regulations.

  • Keep track of event times, including race times and elapsed time during game segments, starting or stopping play when necessary.

  • Start races and competitions.

  • Confer with other sporting officials, coaches, players, and facility managers to provide information, coordinate activities, and discuss problems.

  • Verify scoring calculations before competition winners are announced.

  • Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed, such as fines or other disciplinary actions.

  • Judge performances in sporting competitions to award points, impose scoring penalties, and determine results.

  • Teach and explain the rules and regulations governing a specific sport.

Technologies & Software

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  • Adobe Acrobat
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  • Adobe Firefly
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Runway ML
  • Database software
  • LoveArt AI
  • Udio
  • Recraft
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Laptop computers
  • Sports flip coins
  • Penalty flags
  • Personal computers
  • Weight training equipment
  • Stability balls
  • Referee whistles
  • Announcement systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Protective sports helmets
  • Elbow pads
  • Ball inflators
  • Leg guards
  • Countdown timers
  • Hockey girdles
  • Exercise bicycles
  • Fitness treadmills
  • Digital video disk DVD players
  • Air gauges
  • Elliptical trainers
  • Hockey skates
  • Shin guards
  • Umpire masks
  • Electronic display boards
  • Equipment scales
  • Umpire chest protectors
  • Communications headsets
  • Outside chest protectors
  • Measuring tapes