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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Major League Baseball Umpire (MLB Umpire)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #684 of 702. Estimated risk: 98.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Major League Baseball Umpire (MLB Umpire)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

26%

“Major League Baseball Umpire (MLB Umpire)” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 26% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Officiate at competitive athletic or sporting events. Detect infractions of rules and decide penalties according to established regulations. Includes all sporting officials, referees, and competition judges.

Avg. Annual Salary $52,800
Available Jobs (US) 15,080
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials #27-2023
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Start races and competitions.

  • Inspect game sites for compliance with regulations or safety requirements.

  • Research and study players and teams to anticipate issues that might arise in future engagements.

  • Keep track of event times, including race times and elapsed time during game segments, starting or stopping play when necessary.

  • Verify scoring calculations before competition winners are announced.

  • Compile scores and other athletic records.

  • Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed, such as fines or other disciplinary actions.

  • Judge performances in sporting competitions to award points, impose scoring penalties, and determine results.

  • Officiate at sporting events, games, or competitions, to maintain standards of play and to ensure that game rules are observed.

  • Signal participants or other officials to make them aware of infractions or to otherwise regulate play or competition.

  • Resolve claims of rule infractions or complaints by participants and assess any necessary penalties, according to regulations.

  • Confer with other sporting officials, coaches, players, and facility managers to provide information, coordinate activities, and discuss problems.

  • Verify credentials of participants in sporting events, and make other qualifying determinations, such as starting order or handicap number.

  • Inspect sporting equipment or examine participants to ensure compliance with event and safety regulations.

  • Direct participants to assigned areas, such as starting blocks or penalty areas.

  • Teach and explain the rules and regulations governing a specific sport.

Technologies & Software

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  • Word processing software
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  • Adobe Acrobat
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  • Video editing software
  • Sports flip coins
  • Exercise bicycles
  • Shin guards
  • Air gauges
  • Penalty flags
  • Elliptical trainers
  • Weight training equipment
  • Equipment scales
  • Electronic display boards
  • Fitness treadmills
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Referee whistles
  • Ball inflators
  • Stability balls
  • Outside chest protectors
  • Digital video disk DVD players
  • Measuring tapes
  • Umpire masks
  • Protective sports helmets
  • Countdown timers
  • Communications headsets
  • Umpire chest protectors
  • Announcement systems
  • Hockey skates
  • Tablet computers
  • Hockey girdles
  • Elbow pads
  • Leg guards