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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Painter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #411 of 702. Estimated risk: 75.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Commercial Painter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

55%

“Commercial Painter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Painters, Construction and Maintenance, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns. May remove old paint to prepare surface prior to painting. May mix colors or oils to obtain desired color or consistency.

Avg. Annual Salary $53,710
Avg. Hourly Wage $25.82
Available Jobs (US) 224,180
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Painters, Construction and Maintenance #47-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Painters, Construction and Maintenance”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Fill cracks, holes, or joints with caulk, putty, plaster, or other fillers, using caulking guns or putty knives.

  • Apply primers or sealers to prepare new surfaces, such as bare wood or metal, for finish coats.

  • Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.

  • Apply paint, stain, varnish, enamel, or other finishes to equipment, buildings, bridges, or other structures, using brushes, spray guns, or rollers.

  • Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.

  • Erect scaffolding or swing gates, or set up ladders, to work above ground level.

  • Polish final coats to specified finishes.

  • Remove old finishes by stripping, sanding, wire brushing, burning, or using water or abrasive blasting.

  • Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.

  • Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

  • Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.

  • Cut stencils and brush or spray lettering or decorations on surfaces.

  • Cover surfaces with dropcloths or masking tape and paper to protect surfaces during painting.

  • Select and purchase tools or finishes for surfaces to be covered, considering durability, ease of handling, methods of application, and customers' wishes.

  • Remove fixtures such as pictures, door knobs, lamps, or electric switch covers prior to painting.

  • Waterproof buildings, using waterproofers or caulking.

  • Use special finishing techniques such as sponging, ragging, layering, or faux finishing.

Technologies & Software

  • Corel Painter
  • Word processing software
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Corel Paint Shop Pro
  • Act!
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Procore AI
  • Buildots AI
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Microsoft Word
  • Evergreen Technology Total Faux
  • On Center Quick Bid
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Evergreen Technology Eagle Bid Estimating
  • Paint stripping equipment
  • Striping tools
  • Chipping hammers
  • Paint rollers
  • Personal computers
  • Paint brushes
  • Putty knives
  • Stencils
  • Airless spray equipment
  • Painting edgers
  • Aerial lifts
  • Utility knives
  • Stucco patching guns
  • Platforms
  • Power saws
  • Temperature gauges
  • Disk sanders
  • Scoring tools
  • Mobile scaffolds
  • Riggings
  • Heat guns
  • Pressure washers
  • Extension ladders
  • Floor scrapers
  • Sandblasters
  • Stripper brushes
  • Forklifts
  • Hopper guns
  • Hoists
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Bucket trucks
  • Tinting machines
  • Slings
  • Line lasers
  • Putty chisels
  • Striping machines
  • Respirators
  • Electric paint removers
  • Glass scrapers
  • Spray guns
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Saws
  • Hydroblasters
  • Drywall hammers
  • Hammers
  • Spackling knives
  • Hard hats
  • Scaffolding
  • Screwdrivers
  • Electric grinders
  • Drywall ripping tools
  • Caulking guns
  • Stilts
  • Wire brushes
  • Ladders
  • Air compressors
  • Patching knives
  • Combing tools
  • Wallpaper steamers
  • Circle cutters
  • Pneumatic spray texture guns
  • Float trowels
  • Texturing trowels
  • Bosun chairs
  • Trim guides
  • Drywall taping knives
  • Work boots
  • Drywall axes
  • High velocity low pressure HVLP spraying equipment
  • Swing stages
  • Power paint mixers
  • Notebook computers
  • Grout removal tools
  • Blow torches
  • Spray texture guns
  • Drywall lifters
  • Conventional spray equipment
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Power rollers
  • Paint strainers
  • Paint brush cleaner spinners
  • Laser printers
  • Paint shakers
  • Paint lead testing kits
  • Glue guns
  • Chippers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Glaziers' knives
  • Seam rollers
  • Power drills
  • Power sanders
  • Trowels
  • Desktop computers
  • Power brushes

Alternative Job Titles