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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Painter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #411 of 702. Estimated risk: 75.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Commercial Painter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

55%

“Commercial Painter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Painters, Construction and Maintenance, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns. May remove old paint to prepare surface prior to painting. May mix colors or oils to obtain desired color or consistency.

Avg. Annual Salary $53,710
Avg. Hourly Wage $25.82
Available Jobs (US) 224,180
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Painters, Construction and Maintenance #47-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Painters, Construction and Maintenance”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

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AI Risk 57%
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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Polish final coats to specified finishes.

  • Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

  • Select and purchase tools or finishes for surfaces to be covered, considering durability, ease of handling, methods of application, and customers' wishes.

  • Fill cracks, holes, or joints with caulk, putty, plaster, or other fillers, using caulking guns or putty knives.

  • Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.

  • Waterproof buildings, using waterproofers or caulking.

  • Cover surfaces with dropcloths or masking tape and paper to protect surfaces during painting.

  • Apply primers or sealers to prepare new surfaces, such as bare wood or metal, for finish coats.

  • Remove old finishes by stripping, sanding, wire brushing, burning, or using water or abrasive blasting.

  • Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.

  • Remove fixtures such as pictures, door knobs, lamps, or electric switch covers prior to painting.

  • Cut stencils and brush or spray lettering or decorations on surfaces.

  • Use special finishing techniques such as sponging, ragging, layering, or faux finishing.

  • Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.

  • Erect scaffolding or swing gates, or set up ladders, to work above ground level.

  • Apply paint, stain, varnish, enamel, or other finishes to equipment, buildings, bridges, or other structures, using brushes, spray guns, or rollers.

  • Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.

Technologies & Software

  • Evergreen Technology Total Faux
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Word processing software
  • On Center Quick Bid
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Corel Paint Shop Pro
  • Evergreen Technology Eagle Bid Estimating
  • Corel Painter
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Procore AI
  • Buildots AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Act!
  • Scaffolding
  • Paint shakers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Aerial lifts
  • Pneumatic spray texture guns
  • Float trowels
  • Disk sanders
  • Stucco patching guns
  • Stencils
  • Paint lead testing kits
  • Seam rollers
  • Painting edgers
  • Drywall taping knives
  • Conventional spray equipment
  • Riggings
  • Power sanders
  • Laser printers
  • Work boots
  • Hammers
  • Texturing trowels
  • Platforms
  • Circle cutters
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Swing stages
  • Extension ladders
  • Bosun chairs
  • Paint rollers
  • Hard hats
  • Paint brushes
  • Personal computers
  • Ladders
  • Hoists
  • Drywall hammers
  • Paint strainers
  • Trowels
  • Putty knives
  • Bucket trucks
  • Utility knives
  • Saws
  • Spray guns
  • Drywall ripping tools
  • Power paint mixers
  • High velocity low pressure HVLP spraying equipment
  • Slings
  • Tinting machines
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Hydroblasters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Caulking guns
  • Chippers
  • Power drills
  • Heat guns
  • Paint stripping equipment
  • Forklifts
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Power saws
  • Glaziers' knives
  • Spackling knives
  • Notebook computers
  • Drywall axes
  • Striping tools
  • Stripper brushes
  • Respirators
  • Line lasers
  • Striping machines
  • Putty chisels
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Glass scrapers
  • Wire brushes
  • Blow torches
  • Grout removal tools
  • Wallpaper steamers
  • Power rollers
  • Pressure washers
  • Air compressors
  • Spray texture guns
  • Desktop computers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Drywall lifters
  • Patching knives
  • Sandblasters
  • Scoring tools
  • Electric paint removers
  • Stilts
  • Floor scrapers
  • Combing tools
  • Trim guides
  • Power brushes
  • Airless spray equipment
  • Paint brush cleaner spinners
  • Hopper guns
  • Electric grinders
  • Glue guns
  • Mobile scaffolds

Alternative Job Titles