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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Painter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #411 of 702. Estimated risk: 75.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Commercial Painter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

55%

“Commercial Painter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Painters, Construction and Maintenance, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns. May remove old paint to prepare surface prior to painting. May mix colors or oils to obtain desired color or consistency.

Avg. Annual Salary $53,710
Avg. Hourly Wage $25.82
Available Jobs (US) 224,180
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Painters, Construction and Maintenance #47-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Painters, Construction and Maintenance”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

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AI Risk 57%
Robot Risk 36%

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AI Risk 48%
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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.

  • Waterproof buildings, using waterproofers or caulking.

  • Cut stencils and brush or spray lettering or decorations on surfaces.

  • Apply paint, stain, varnish, enamel, or other finishes to equipment, buildings, bridges, or other structures, using brushes, spray guns, or rollers.

  • Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

  • Erect scaffolding or swing gates, or set up ladders, to work above ground level.

  • Cover surfaces with dropcloths or masking tape and paper to protect surfaces during painting.

  • Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.

  • Apply primers or sealers to prepare new surfaces, such as bare wood or metal, for finish coats.

  • Fill cracks, holes, or joints with caulk, putty, plaster, or other fillers, using caulking guns or putty knives.

  • Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.

  • Select and purchase tools or finishes for surfaces to be covered, considering durability, ease of handling, methods of application, and customers' wishes.

  • Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.

  • Use special finishing techniques such as sponging, ragging, layering, or faux finishing.

  • Polish final coats to specified finishes.

  • Remove old finishes by stripping, sanding, wire brushing, burning, or using water or abrasive blasting.

  • Remove fixtures such as pictures, door knobs, lamps, or electric switch covers prior to painting.

Technologies & Software

  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Corel Paint Shop Pro
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Act!
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Word processing software
  • Buildots AI
  • On Center Quick Bid
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Procore AI
  • Evergreen Technology Total Faux
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Evergreen Technology Eagle Bid Estimating
  • Corel Painter
  • Microsoft Word
  • Paint brush cleaner spinners
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Seam rollers
  • Chippers
  • Drywall ripping tools
  • Work boots
  • Platforms
  • Painting edgers
  • Spray texture guns
  • Drywall taping knives
  • Putty knives
  • Tinting machines
  • Power brushes
  • Trim guides
  • Sandblasters
  • Electric paint removers
  • Hard hats
  • Screwdrivers
  • Scaffolding
  • Pneumatic spray texture guns
  • Desktop computers
  • Respirators
  • Floor scrapers
  • Drywall axes
  • Combing tools
  • Texturing trowels
  • Striping machines
  • Aerial lifts
  • Patching knives
  • Wallpaper steamers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Wire brushes
  • Caulking guns
  • Extension ladders
  • Paint strainers
  • Notebook computers
  • Scoring tools
  • Stencils
  • Conventional spray equipment
  • Hydroblasters
  • Line lasers
  • Power paint mixers
  • Paint stripping equipment
  • Forklifts
  • Air compressors
  • Spackling knives
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Temperature gauges
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Hoists
  • Paint rollers
  • Drywall hammers
  • Float trowels
  • Circle cutters
  • Glue guns
  • Electric grinders
  • Drywall lifters
  • Glass scrapers
  • Trowels
  • Power saws
  • Stilts
  • Hopper guns
  • Bucket trucks
  • Personal computers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Power rollers
  • Striping tools
  • Swing stages
  • Laser printers
  • Mobile scaffolds
  • Utility knives
  • Heat guns
  • High velocity low pressure HVLP spraying equipment
  • Power drills
  • Spray guns
  • Putty chisels
  • Disk sanders
  • Stripper brushes
  • Bosun chairs
  • Stucco patching guns
  • Glaziers' knives
  • Hammers
  • Paint lead testing kits
  • Ladders
  • Grout removal tools
  • Paint shakers
  • Paint brushes
  • Riggings
  • Airless spray equipment
  • Power sanders
  • Blow torches
  • Pressure washers
  • Saws
  • Slings

Alternative Job Titles