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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Exterior Painter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #411 of 702. Estimated risk: 75.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Exterior Painter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

55%

“Exterior Painter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Painters, Construction and Maintenance, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns. May remove old paint to prepare surface prior to painting. May mix colors or oils to obtain desired color or consistency.

Avg. Annual Salary $53,710
Avg. Hourly Wage $25.82
Available Jobs (US) 224,180
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Painters, Construction and Maintenance #47-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Painters, Construction and Maintenance”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.

  • Cut stencils and brush or spray lettering or decorations on surfaces.

  • Waterproof buildings, using waterproofers or caulking.

  • Fill cracks, holes, or joints with caulk, putty, plaster, or other fillers, using caulking guns or putty knives.

  • Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

  • Polish final coats to specified finishes.

  • Select and purchase tools or finishes for surfaces to be covered, considering durability, ease of handling, methods of application, and customers' wishes.

  • Apply primers or sealers to prepare new surfaces, such as bare wood or metal, for finish coats.

  • Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.

  • Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.

  • Remove fixtures such as pictures, door knobs, lamps, or electric switch covers prior to painting.

  • Remove old finishes by stripping, sanding, wire brushing, burning, or using water or abrasive blasting.

  • Use special finishing techniques such as sponging, ragging, layering, or faux finishing.

  • Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.

  • Apply paint, stain, varnish, enamel, or other finishes to equipment, buildings, bridges, or other structures, using brushes, spray guns, or rollers.

  • Erect scaffolding or swing gates, or set up ladders, to work above ground level.

  • Cover surfaces with dropcloths or masking tape and paper to protect surfaces during painting.

Technologies & Software

  • Spreadsheet software
  • Word processing software
  • Procore AI
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Evergreen Technology Total Faux
  • Corel Paint Shop Pro
  • Evergreen Technology Eagle Bid Estimating
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Corel Painter
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • On Center Quick Bid
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Act!
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Temperature gauges
  • Drywall taping knives
  • Striping machines
  • Extension ladders
  • Circle cutters
  • Power brushes
  • Caulking guns
  • Laser printers
  • Chippers
  • Paint brushes
  • Paint strainers
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Glue guns
  • Paint stripping equipment
  • Power saws
  • Notebook computers
  • Utility knives
  • Drywall axes
  • Mobile scaffolds
  • Drywall ripping tools
  • Desktop computers
  • Drywall hammers
  • Spray texture guns
  • Pneumatic spray texture guns
  • Stilts
  • Sandblasters
  • Disk sanders
  • Electric paint removers
  • Combing tools
  • Painting edgers
  • Scoring tools
  • Glaziers' knives
  • Putty knives
  • Personal computers
  • Hard hats
  • Tinting machines
  • Scaffolding
  • High velocity low pressure HVLP spraying equipment
  • Power rollers
  • Respirators
  • Air compressors
  • Stucco patching guns
  • Putty chisels
  • Wire brushes
  • Riggings
  • Bucket trucks
  • Texturing trowels
  • Stripper brushes
  • Blow torches
  • Electric grinders
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Paint brush cleaner spinners
  • Hammers
  • Ladders
  • Hydroblasters
  • Slings
  • Saws
  • Bosun chairs
  • Conventional spray equipment
  • Screwdrivers
  • Stencils
  • Aerial lifts
  • Grout removal tools
  • Spray guns
  • Platforms
  • Paint shakers
  • Swing stages
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Pressure washers
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Hopper guns
  • Power sanders
  • Patching knives
  • Forklifts
  • Heat guns
  • Chipping hammers
  • Trim guides
  • Floor scrapers
  • Drywall lifters
  • Float trowels
  • Power paint mixers
  • Paint rollers
  • Spackling knives
  • Airless spray equipment
  • Striping tools
  • Wallpaper steamers
  • Trowels
  • Hoists
  • Work boots
  • Line lasers
  • Paint lead testing kits
  • Glass scrapers
  • Power drills
  • Seam rollers

Alternative Job Titles