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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “House Painter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #411 of 702. Estimated risk: 75.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“House Painter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

55%

“House Painter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Painters, Construction and Maintenance, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns. May remove old paint to prepare surface prior to painting. May mix colors or oils to obtain desired color or consistency.

Avg. Annual Salary $53,710
Avg. Hourly Wage $25.82
Available Jobs (US) 224,180
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Painters, Construction and Maintenance #47-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Painters, Construction and Maintenance”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

Construction and Building Inspectors

AI Risk 57%
Robot Risk 36%

Energy Auditors

AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 43%

Helpers--Electricians

AI Risk 51%
Robot Risk 57%

Explosives Workers, Ordnance Handling Experts, and Blasters

AI Risk 50%
Robot Risk 63%

Construction Laborers

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 56%

Solar Photovoltaic Installers

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 57%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.

  • Remove fixtures such as pictures, door knobs, lamps, or electric switch covers prior to painting.

  • Cut stencils and brush or spray lettering or decorations on surfaces.

  • Apply paint, stain, varnish, enamel, or other finishes to equipment, buildings, bridges, or other structures, using brushes, spray guns, or rollers.

  • Fill cracks, holes, or joints with caulk, putty, plaster, or other fillers, using caulking guns or putty knives.

  • Polish final coats to specified finishes.

  • Waterproof buildings, using waterproofers or caulking.

  • Select and purchase tools or finishes for surfaces to be covered, considering durability, ease of handling, methods of application, and customers' wishes.

  • Erect scaffolding or swing gates, or set up ladders, to work above ground level.

  • Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.

  • Remove old finishes by stripping, sanding, wire brushing, burning, or using water or abrasive blasting.

  • Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

  • Use special finishing techniques such as sponging, ragging, layering, or faux finishing.

  • Apply primers or sealers to prepare new surfaces, such as bare wood or metal, for finish coats.

  • Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.

  • Cover surfaces with dropcloths or masking tape and paper to protect surfaces during painting.

  • Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.

Technologies & Software

  • Evergreen Technology Eagle Bid Estimating
  • Procore AI
  • Word processing software
  • Corel Paint Shop Pro
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Act!
  • Evergreen Technology Total Faux
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Corel Painter
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Buildots AI
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • On Center Quick Bid
  • Chipping hammers
  • Pressure washers
  • Spackling knives
  • Glass scrapers
  • Stencils
  • Wire brushes
  • Sandblasters
  • Power sanders
  • Stripper brushes
  • Screwdrivers
  • High velocity low pressure HVLP spraying equipment
  • Hoists
  • Extension ladders
  • Drywall lifters
  • Hammers
  • Notebook computers
  • Trim guides
  • Spray guns
  • Airless spray equipment
  • Hydroblasters
  • Paint stripping equipment
  • Disk sanders
  • Laser printers
  • Work boots
  • Respirators
  • Paint rollers
  • Paint strainers
  • Putty knives
  • Paint brushes
  • Platforms
  • Grout removal tools
  • Slings
  • Bucket trucks
  • Caulking guns
  • Wallpaper steamers
  • Tinting machines
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Forklifts
  • Swing stages
  • Drywall ripping tools
  • Conventional spray equipment
  • Line lasers
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Scaffolding
  • Spray texture guns
  • Trowels
  • Floor scrapers
  • Circle cutters
  • Hopper guns
  • Temperature gauges
  • Power brushes
  • Saws
  • Power rollers
  • Glaziers' knives
  • Personal computers
  • Stucco patching guns
  • Texturing trowels
  • Striping tools
  • Drywall hammers
  • Stilts
  • Drywall axes
  • Ladders
  • Pneumatic spray texture guns
  • Power saws
  • Riggings
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Air compressors
  • Heat guns
  • Electric paint removers
  • Seam rollers
  • Chippers
  • Striping machines
  • Putty chisels
  • Bosun chairs
  • Glue guns
  • Drywall taping knives
  • Paint lead testing kits
  • Utility knives
  • Aerial lifts
  • Hard hats
  • Mobile scaffolds
  • Combing tools
  • Electric grinders
  • Paint brush cleaner spinners
  • Float trowels
  • Blow torches
  • Patching knives
  • Paint shakers
  • Scoring tools
  • Power drills
  • Power paint mixers
  • Painting edgers

Alternative Job Titles