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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “House Painter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #411 of 702. Estimated risk: 75.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“House Painter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

55%

“House Painter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Painters, Construction and Maintenance, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns. May remove old paint to prepare surface prior to painting. May mix colors or oils to obtain desired color or consistency.

Avg. Annual Salary $53,710
Avg. Hourly Wage $25.82
Available Jobs (US) 224,180
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Painters, Construction and Maintenance #47-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Painters, Construction and Maintenance”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

Construction and Building Inspectors

AI Risk 57%
Robot Risk 36%

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AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 43%

Helpers--Electricians

AI Risk 51%
Robot Risk 57%

Explosives Workers, Ordnance Handling Experts, and Blasters

AI Risk 50%
Robot Risk 63%

Construction Laborers

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 56%

Solar Photovoltaic Installers

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 57%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Remove old finishes by stripping, sanding, wire brushing, burning, or using water or abrasive blasting.

  • Polish final coats to specified finishes.

  • Use special finishing techniques such as sponging, ragging, layering, or faux finishing.

  • Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

  • Apply paint, stain, varnish, enamel, or other finishes to equipment, buildings, bridges, or other structures, using brushes, spray guns, or rollers.

  • Remove fixtures such as pictures, door knobs, lamps, or electric switch covers prior to painting.

  • Select and purchase tools or finishes for surfaces to be covered, considering durability, ease of handling, methods of application, and customers' wishes.

  • Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.

  • Waterproof buildings, using waterproofers or caulking.

  • Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.

  • Cover surfaces with dropcloths or masking tape and paper to protect surfaces during painting.

  • Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.

  • Apply primers or sealers to prepare new surfaces, such as bare wood or metal, for finish coats.

  • Fill cracks, holes, or joints with caulk, putty, plaster, or other fillers, using caulking guns or putty knives.

  • Erect scaffolding or swing gates, or set up ladders, to work above ground level.

  • Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.

  • Cut stencils and brush or spray lettering or decorations on surfaces.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Corel Paint Shop Pro
  • Word processing software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Buildots AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Evergreen Technology Total Faux
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • On Center Quick Bid
  • Act!
  • Evergreen Technology Eagle Bid Estimating
  • Corel Painter
  • Chippers
  • Paint brush cleaner spinners
  • Power sanders
  • Sandblasters
  • Forklifts
  • Glaziers' knives
  • Mobile scaffolds
  • Pneumatic spray texture guns
  • Aerial lifts
  • Power rollers
  • Paint lead testing kits
  • Airless spray equipment
  • Power paint mixers
  • Paint rollers
  • Drywall hammers
  • Work boots
  • Texturing trowels
  • Trowels
  • Stencils
  • Chipping hammers
  • Drywall axes
  • Power drills
  • Respirators
  • Seam rollers
  • Paint strainers
  • Hopper guns
  • Conventional spray equipment
  • Drywall taping knives
  • Air compressors
  • Ladders
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Patching knives
  • Laser printers
  • Painting edgers
  • Spackling knives
  • Line lasers
  • Striping tools
  • Disk sanders
  • Platforms
  • Pressure washers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Glue guns
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Tinting machines
  • Screwdrivers
  • Electric grinders
  • Bosun chairs
  • Putty chisels
  • Hammers
  • Drywall ripping tools
  • Paint stripping equipment
  • Blow torches
  • Electric paint removers
  • Notebook computers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Striping machines
  • Putty knives
  • Saws
  • Scoring tools
  • Caulking guns
  • Swing stages
  • Spray texture guns
  • Grout removal tools
  • Utility knives
  • Wallpaper steamers
  • Slings
  • Power brushes
  • Paint brushes
  • Hard hats
  • Hoists
  • Combing tools
  • Personal computers
  • Trim guides
  • Paint shakers
  • Circle cutters
  • Spray guns
  • Floor scrapers
  • Power saws
  • Stilts
  • Glass scrapers
  • Desktop computers
  • Extension ladders
  • Bucket trucks
  • Scaffolding
  • Float trowels
  • Stripper brushes
  • High velocity low pressure HVLP spraying equipment
  • Heat guns
  • Drywall lifters
  • Riggings
  • Stucco patching guns
  • Hydroblasters
  • Wire brushes

Alternative Job Titles