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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Machine Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #528 of 702. Estimated risk: 89.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

31%

“Machine Operator” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 31% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Machine Operator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Lay, repair, and maintain track for standard or narrow-gauge railroad equipment used in regular railroad service or in plant yards, quarries, sand and gravel pits, and mines. Includes ballast cleaning machine operators and railroad bed tamping machine operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $68,270
Avg. Hourly Wage $32.82
Available Jobs (US) 16,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators #47-4061
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Patrol assigned track sections so that damaged or broken track can be located and reported.

  • Lubricate machines, change oil, or fill hydraulic reservoirs to specified levels.

  • Weld sections of track together, such as switch points and frogs.

  • Clean tracks or clear ice or snow from tracks or switch boxes.

  • Adjust controls of machines that spread, shape, raise, level, or align track, according to specifications.

  • Paint railroad signs, such as speed limits or gate-crossing warnings.

  • Clean or make minor repairs to machines or equipment.

  • Push controls to close grasping devices on track or rail sections so that they can be raised or moved.

  • Operate single- or multiple-head spike pullers to pull old spikes from ties.

  • Drive graders, tamping machines, brooms, or ballast spreading machines to redistribute gravel or ballast between rails.

  • Repair or adjust track switches, using wrenches and replacement parts.

  • Operate tie-adzing machines to cut ties and permit insertion of fishplates that hold rails.

  • Raise rails, using hydraulic jacks, to allow for tie removal and replacement.

  • Drill holes through rails, tie plates, or fishplates for insertion of bolts or spikes, using power drills.

  • String and attach wire-guidelines machine to rails so that tracks or rails can be aligned or leveled.

  • Turn wheels of machines, using lever controls, to adjust guidelines for track alignments or grades, following specifications.

  • Operate single- or multiple-head spike driving machines to drive spikes into ties and secure rails.

  • Observe leveling indicator arms to verify levelness and alignment of tracks.

  • Drive vehicles that automatically move and lay tracks or rails over sections of track to be constructed, repaired, or maintained.

  • Grind ends of new or worn rails to attain smooth joints, using portable grinders.

  • Operate track wrenches to tighten or loosen bolts at joints that hold ends of rails together.

  • Clean, grade, or level ballast on railroad tracks.

  • Spray ties, fishplates, or joints with oil to protect them from weathering.

  • Dress and reshape worn or damaged railroad switch points or frogs, using portable power grinders.

  • Engage mechanisms that lay tracks or rails to specified gauges.

  • Cut rails to specified lengths, using rail saws.

Technologies & Software

  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Timekeeping software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Buildots AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Dollies
  • Rail drills
  • Air-powered wrenches
  • Power washers
  • Grading equipment
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Fall protection harnesses
  • Rail profile grinders
  • Safety gloves
  • Safety glasses
  • Precision tape measures
  • Hi-rail vehicles
  • Pesticide sprayers
  • Gas-powered wrenches
  • Dump trucks
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Precision files
  • Power grinders
  • Shovels
  • Portable track loading fixtures
  • Crowbars
  • Picks
  • Tamping machines
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Rail tongs
  • Light pickup trucks
  • Forklifts
  • Grease guns
  • Rail benders
  • Protective ear plugs
  • Backhoes
  • Track-wrench machines
  • Welders
  • Track chisels
  • Rail saws
  • Hard hats
  • Laptop computers
  • Claw bars
  • Jackhammers
  • Adjustable hand wrenches
  • Handheld computers
  • Oxyacetylene torches
  • Weed cutters
  • Air drills
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Hydraulic jacks
  • Rail-mounted cranes
  • Spike pullers