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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Machine Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #528 of 702. Estimated risk: 89.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

31%

“Machine Operator” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 31% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Machine Operator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Lay, repair, and maintain track for standard or narrow-gauge railroad equipment used in regular railroad service or in plant yards, quarries, sand and gravel pits, and mines. Includes ballast cleaning machine operators and railroad bed tamping machine operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $68,270
Avg. Hourly Wage $32.82
Available Jobs (US) 16,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators #47-4061
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • String and attach wire-guidelines machine to rails so that tracks or rails can be aligned or leveled.

  • Operate tie-adzing machines to cut ties and permit insertion of fishplates that hold rails.

  • Clean tracks or clear ice or snow from tracks or switch boxes.

  • Grind ends of new or worn rails to attain smooth joints, using portable grinders.

  • Operate single- or multiple-head spike pullers to pull old spikes from ties.

  • Patrol assigned track sections so that damaged or broken track can be located and reported.

  • Adjust controls of machines that spread, shape, raise, level, or align track, according to specifications.

  • Turn wheels of machines, using lever controls, to adjust guidelines for track alignments or grades, following specifications.

  • Cut rails to specified lengths, using rail saws.

  • Push controls to close grasping devices on track or rail sections so that they can be raised or moved.

  • Operate track wrenches to tighten or loosen bolts at joints that hold ends of rails together.

  • Drive graders, tamping machines, brooms, or ballast spreading machines to redistribute gravel or ballast between rails.

  • Clean or make minor repairs to machines or equipment.

  • Engage mechanisms that lay tracks or rails to specified gauges.

  • Clean, grade, or level ballast on railroad tracks.

  • Observe leveling indicator arms to verify levelness and alignment of tracks.

  • Paint railroad signs, such as speed limits or gate-crossing warnings.

  • Weld sections of track together, such as switch points and frogs.

  • Lubricate machines, change oil, or fill hydraulic reservoirs to specified levels.

  • Repair or adjust track switches, using wrenches and replacement parts.

  • Drive vehicles that automatically move and lay tracks or rails over sections of track to be constructed, repaired, or maintained.

  • Dress and reshape worn or damaged railroad switch points or frogs, using portable power grinders.

  • Operate single- or multiple-head spike driving machines to drive spikes into ties and secure rails.

  • Drill holes through rails, tie plates, or fishplates for insertion of bolts or spikes, using power drills.

  • Spray ties, fishplates, or joints with oil to protect them from weathering.

  • Raise rails, using hydraulic jacks, to allow for tie removal and replacement.

Technologies & Software

  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Procore AI
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Buildots AI
  • Timekeeping software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Power grinders
  • Precision tape measures
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Rail drills
  • Dollies
  • Handheld computers
  • Rail benders
  • Gas-powered wrenches
  • Air-powered wrenches
  • Rail tongs
  • Rail profile grinders
  • Oxyacetylene torches
  • Hard hats
  • Forklifts
  • Light pickup trucks
  • Jackhammers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Laptop computers
  • Picks
  • Grease guns
  • Dump trucks
  • Safety glasses
  • Hi-rail vehicles
  • Safety gloves
  • Shovels
  • Vernier calipers
  • Backhoes
  • Power washers
  • Crowbars
  • Fall protection harnesses
  • Air drills
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Spike pullers
  • Tamping machines
  • Weed cutters
  • Adjustable hand wrenches
  • Claw bars
  • Rail-mounted cranes
  • Precision files
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Portable track loading fixtures
  • Hydraulic jacks
  • Rail saws
  • Grading equipment
  • Welders
  • Pesticide sprayers
  • Protective ear plugs
  • Track chisels
  • Track-wrench machines