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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Track Machine Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #528 of 702. Estimated risk: 89.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

31%

“Track Machine Operator” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 31% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Track Machine Operator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Lay, repair, and maintain track for standard or narrow-gauge railroad equipment used in regular railroad service or in plant yards, quarries, sand and gravel pits, and mines. Includes ballast cleaning machine operators and railroad bed tamping machine operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $68,270
Avg. Hourly Wage $32.82
Available Jobs (US) 16,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators #47-4061
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Weld sections of track together, such as switch points and frogs.

  • Turn wheels of machines, using lever controls, to adjust guidelines for track alignments or grades, following specifications.

  • Dress and reshape worn or damaged railroad switch points or frogs, using portable power grinders.

  • Cut rails to specified lengths, using rail saws.

  • Paint railroad signs, such as speed limits or gate-crossing warnings.

  • Clean or make minor repairs to machines or equipment.

  • Operate single- or multiple-head spike pullers to pull old spikes from ties.

  • Clean, grade, or level ballast on railroad tracks.

  • Operate tie-adzing machines to cut ties and permit insertion of fishplates that hold rails.

  • Drill holes through rails, tie plates, or fishplates for insertion of bolts or spikes, using power drills.

  • Operate single- or multiple-head spike driving machines to drive spikes into ties and secure rails.

  • String and attach wire-guidelines machine to rails so that tracks or rails can be aligned or leveled.

  • Adjust controls of machines that spread, shape, raise, level, or align track, according to specifications.

  • Clean tracks or clear ice or snow from tracks or switch boxes.

  • Raise rails, using hydraulic jacks, to allow for tie removal and replacement.

  • Push controls to close grasping devices on track or rail sections so that they can be raised or moved.

  • Drive vehicles that automatically move and lay tracks or rails over sections of track to be constructed, repaired, or maintained.

  • Grind ends of new or worn rails to attain smooth joints, using portable grinders.

  • Repair or adjust track switches, using wrenches and replacement parts.

  • Lubricate machines, change oil, or fill hydraulic reservoirs to specified levels.

  • Spray ties, fishplates, or joints with oil to protect them from weathering.

  • Patrol assigned track sections so that damaged or broken track can be located and reported.

  • Operate track wrenches to tighten or loosen bolts at joints that hold ends of rails together.

  • Drive graders, tamping machines, brooms, or ballast spreading machines to redistribute gravel or ballast between rails.

  • Observe leveling indicator arms to verify levelness and alignment of tracks.

  • Engage mechanisms that lay tracks or rails to specified gauges.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Procore AI
  • Timekeeping software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Buildots AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Track chisels
  • Spike pullers
  • Shovels
  • Power washers
  • Forklifts
  • Dollies
  • Adjustable hand wrenches
  • Safety glasses
  • Handheld computers
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Rail saws
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Hydraulic jacks
  • Oxyacetylene torches
  • Backhoes
  • Gas-powered wrenches
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Precision tape measures
  • Rail benders
  • Protective ear plugs
  • Rail-mounted cranes
  • Tamping machines
  • Laptop computers
  • Picks
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Hard hats
  • Power grinders
  • Precision files
  • Safety gloves
  • Track-wrench machines
  • Claw bars
  • Pesticide sprayers
  • Rail drills
  • Grease guns
  • Hi-rail vehicles
  • Crowbars
  • Jackhammers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Dump trucks
  • Portable track loading fixtures
  • Welders
  • Light pickup trucks
  • Rail tongs
  • Vernier calipers
  • Grading equipment
  • Fall protection harnesses
  • Air drills
  • Air-powered wrenches
  • Rail profile grinders
  • Weed cutters