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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Trackman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #528 of 702. Estimated risk: 89.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

31%

“Trackman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 31% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Trackman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Lay, repair, and maintain track for standard or narrow-gauge railroad equipment used in regular railroad service or in plant yards, quarries, sand and gravel pits, and mines. Includes ballast cleaning machine operators and railroad bed tamping machine operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $68,270
Avg. Hourly Wage $32.82
Available Jobs (US) 16,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators #47-4061
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • String and attach wire-guidelines machine to rails so that tracks or rails can be aligned or leveled.

  • Drill holes through rails, tie plates, or fishplates for insertion of bolts or spikes, using power drills.

  • Patrol assigned track sections so that damaged or broken track can be located and reported.

  • Drive vehicles that automatically move and lay tracks or rails over sections of track to be constructed, repaired, or maintained.

  • Operate tie-adzing machines to cut ties and permit insertion of fishplates that hold rails.

  • Cut rails to specified lengths, using rail saws.

  • Raise rails, using hydraulic jacks, to allow for tie removal and replacement.

  • Observe leveling indicator arms to verify levelness and alignment of tracks.

  • Drive graders, tamping machines, brooms, or ballast spreading machines to redistribute gravel or ballast between rails.

  • Operate single- or multiple-head spike pullers to pull old spikes from ties.

  • Engage mechanisms that lay tracks or rails to specified gauges.

  • Dress and reshape worn or damaged railroad switch points or frogs, using portable power grinders.

  • Grind ends of new or worn rails to attain smooth joints, using portable grinders.

  • Operate single- or multiple-head spike driving machines to drive spikes into ties and secure rails.

  • Clean tracks or clear ice or snow from tracks or switch boxes.

  • Paint railroad signs, such as speed limits or gate-crossing warnings.

  • Adjust controls of machines that spread, shape, raise, level, or align track, according to specifications.

  • Lubricate machines, change oil, or fill hydraulic reservoirs to specified levels.

  • Operate track wrenches to tighten or loosen bolts at joints that hold ends of rails together.

  • Spray ties, fishplates, or joints with oil to protect them from weathering.

  • Clean or make minor repairs to machines or equipment.

  • Repair or adjust track switches, using wrenches and replacement parts.

  • Weld sections of track together, such as switch points and frogs.

  • Push controls to close grasping devices on track or rail sections so that they can be raised or moved.

  • Turn wheels of machines, using lever controls, to adjust guidelines for track alignments or grades, following specifications.

  • Clean, grade, or level ballast on railroad tracks.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Procore AI
  • Buildots AI
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Timekeeping software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Hard hats
  • Grease guns
  • Handheld computers
  • Backhoes
  • Forklifts
  • Hydraulic jacks
  • Rail-mounted cranes
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Weed cutters
  • Shovels
  • Picks
  • Power washers
  • Hi-rail vehicles
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Safety glasses
  • Crowbars
  • Air drills
  • Jackhammers
  • Grading equipment
  • Pesticide sprayers
  • Dollies
  • Light pickup trucks
  • Protective ear plugs
  • Rail profile grinders
  • Portable track loading fixtures
  • Safety gloves
  • Welders
  • Precision files
  • Adjustable hand wrenches
  • Gas-powered wrenches
  • Claw bars
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Dump trucks
  • Rail tongs
  • Rail saws
  • Track chisels
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Laptop computers
  • Air-powered wrenches
  • Tamping machines
  • Power grinders
  • Rail benders
  • Oxyacetylene torches
  • Vernier calipers
  • Spike pullers
  • Track-wrench machines
  • Precision tape measures
  • Rail drills
  • Fall protection harnesses