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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Upset Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #587 of 702. Estimated risk: 93.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Upset Operator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Upset Operator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up, operate, or tend forging machines to taper, shape, or form metal or plastic parts.

Avg. Annual Salary $50,900
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.47
Available Jobs (US) 8,760
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic #51-4022
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

Power Distributors and Dispatchers

AI Risk 59%
Robot Risk 40%

Prepress Technicians and Workers

AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 46%

Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders

AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 61%

Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers

AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 54%

Nuclear Power Reactor Operators

AI Risk 55%
Robot Risk 47%

Milling and Planing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

AI Risk 55%
Robot Risk 62%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Start machines to produce sample workpieces, and observe operations to detect machine malfunctions and to verify that machine setups conform to specifications.

  • Read work orders or blueprints to determine specified tolerances and sequences of operations for machine setup.

  • Select, align, and bolt positioning fixtures, stops, and specified dies to rams and anvils, forging rolls, or presses and hammers.

  • Turn handles or knobs to set pressures and depths of ram strokes and to synchronize machine operations.

  • Sharpen cutting tools and drill bits, using bench grinders.

  • Measure and inspect machined parts to ensure conformance to product specifications.

  • Confer with other workers about machine setups and operational specifications.

  • Position and move metal wires or workpieces through a series of dies that compress and shape stock to form die impressions.

  • Repair, maintain, and replace parts on dies.

  • Trim and compress finished forgings to specified tolerances.

  • Remove dies from machines when production runs are finished.

  • Install, adjust, and remove dies, synchronizing cams, forging hammers, and stop guides, using overhead cranes or other hoisting devices, and hand tools.

  • Set up, operate, or tend presses and forging machines to perform hot or cold forging by flattening, straightening, bending, cutting, piercing, or other operations to taper, shape, or form metal.

Technologies & Software

  • Grok (xAI)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Machine control software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Email software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mechanical forging presses
  • Protective ear plugs
  • Beam type torque wrenches
  • Magnifying glasses
  • Hydraulic forging presses
  • Hammer forging machinery
  • Band cutters
  • Electric overhead traveling EOT cranes
  • Disc grinders
  • Vernier calipers
  • Safety gloves
  • Turret punches
  • Digital micrometers
  • Pneumatic power drills
  • Tapered feeler gauges
  • Stationary drill presses
  • Sheet metal rolls
  • Precision rulers
  • Hydraulic roll forging machines
  • Bevel protractors
  • Power nibblers
  • Automatic roll forging machines
  • Radial gauges
  • Hydraulic trim presses
  • Layout squares
  • Hoisting devices
  • Metal band sawing machines
  • Drill presses
  • Automatic conveyors
  • Power sanders
  • Metal cutting routers
  • Gas furnaces
  • Flanging machines
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Straight tinners snips
  • Planishing hammers
  • Hydraulic drop forging hammers
  • Punch presses
  • Portable anvils
  • Forging dies
  • Power riveters
  • Hand mallets
  • Variable speed routers
  • Shears
  • Sheet metal press brakes
  • Forging tongs
  • Blanking presses
  • Protective shoes
  • Oil furnaces
  • Sheet metal shearing machines
  • Bench grinders
  • Safety goggles
  • Face shields

Alternative Job Titles