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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cosmetician” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #176 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Cosmetician” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

48%

“Cosmetician” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 48% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Provide beauty services, such as cutting, coloring, and styling hair, and massaging and treating scalp. May shampoo hair, apply makeup, dress wigs, remove hair, and provide nail and skincare services.

Avg. Annual Salary $43,460
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.89
Available Jobs (US) 295,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists #39-5012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Keep work stations clean and sanitize tools, such as scissors and combs.

  • Develop new styles and techniques.

  • Recommend and explain the use of cosmetics, lotions, and creams to soften and lubricate skin and enhance and restore natural appearance.

  • Massage and treat scalp for hygienic and remedial purposes, using hands, fingers, or vibrating equipment.

  • Shave, trim, and shape beards and moustaches.

  • Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

  • Bleach, dye, or tint hair, using applicator or brush.

  • Demonstrate and sell hair care products and cosmetics.

  • Order, display, and maintain supplies.

  • Administer therapeutic medication and advise patron to seek medical treatment for chronic or contagious scalp conditions.

  • Comb, brush, and spray hair or wigs to set style.

  • Apply water or setting, straightening or waving solutions to hair, and use curlers, rollers, hot combs and curling irons to press and curl hair.

  • Train or supervise other hairstylists, hairdressers, and assistants.

  • Schedule client appointments.

  • Attach wigs or hairpieces to model heads and dress wigs and hairpieces according to instructions, samples, sketches or photographs.

  • Shampoo, rinse, condition, and dry hair and scalp or hairpieces with water, liquid soap, or other solutions.

  • Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.

  • Give facials to patrons, using special compounds, such as lotions and creams.

  • Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.

  • Shape eyebrows and remove facial hair, using depilatory cream, tweezers, electrolysis or wax.

  • Clean, shape, and polish fingernails and toenails, using files and nail polish.

  • Cut, trim and shape hair or hairpieces, based on customers' instructions, hair type, and facial features, using clippers, scissors, trimmers and razors.

Technologies & Software

  • YouTube
  • Customer information databases
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Replika AI
  • Appointment scheduling software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Apple iOS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Facebook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Sale processing software
  • Cuticle scissors
  • Hot combs
  • Hair thinning scissors
  • Curling irons
  • Duckbill hair clamps
  • Heated hair curlers
  • Safety goggles
  • Nail cleaning brushes
  • Tint application brushes
  • Electronic cash registers
  • Desktop computers
  • Rat tail combs
  • Butterfly hair clamps
  • Color application combs
  • Hairstyling brushes
  • Hooded hair dryers
  • Hair clips
  • Fine-tooth combs
  • Fingernail clippers
  • Straight razors
  • Flat irons
  • Teasing combs
  • Nail files
  • Cuticle pushers
  • Nail buffers
  • Dye application brushes
  • Haircutting scissors
  • Laptop computers
  • Round brushes
  • Handheld electric hair clippers
  • Wide-tooth combs
  • Digital timers
  • Handheld hair dryers
  • Shampoo bowls
  • Detangling combs
  • Cuticle nippers
  • Hair pins