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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cosmetician” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #176 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Cosmetician” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

48%

“Cosmetician” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 48% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Provide beauty services, such as cutting, coloring, and styling hair, and massaging and treating scalp. May shampoo hair, apply makeup, dress wigs, remove hair, and provide nail and skincare services.

Avg. Annual Salary $43,460
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.89
Available Jobs (US) 295,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists #39-5012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Attach wigs or hairpieces to model heads and dress wigs and hairpieces according to instructions, samples, sketches or photographs.

  • Shampoo, rinse, condition, and dry hair and scalp or hairpieces with water, liquid soap, or other solutions.

  • Recommend and explain the use of cosmetics, lotions, and creams to soften and lubricate skin and enhance and restore natural appearance.

  • Comb, brush, and spray hair or wigs to set style.

  • Bleach, dye, or tint hair, using applicator or brush.

  • Give facials to patrons, using special compounds, such as lotions and creams.

  • Cut, trim and shape hair or hairpieces, based on customers' instructions, hair type, and facial features, using clippers, scissors, trimmers and razors.

  • Administer therapeutic medication and advise patron to seek medical treatment for chronic or contagious scalp conditions.

  • Demonstrate and sell hair care products and cosmetics.

  • Develop new styles and techniques.

  • Order, display, and maintain supplies.

  • Apply water or setting, straightening or waving solutions to hair, and use curlers, rollers, hot combs and curling irons to press and curl hair.

  • Massage and treat scalp for hygienic and remedial purposes, using hands, fingers, or vibrating equipment.

  • Clean, shape, and polish fingernails and toenails, using files and nail polish.

  • Shave, trim, and shape beards and moustaches.

  • Schedule client appointments.

  • Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.

  • Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

  • Train or supervise other hairstylists, hairdressers, and assistants.

  • Shape eyebrows and remove facial hair, using depilatory cream, tweezers, electrolysis or wax.

  • Keep work stations clean and sanitize tools, such as scissors and combs.

  • Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • YouTube
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Appointment scheduling software
  • Apple iOS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Facebook
  • Customer information databases
  • Replika AI
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Sale processing software
  • Nail buffers
  • Flat irons
  • Cuticle pushers
  • Detangling combs
  • Nail cleaning brushes
  • Tint application brushes
  • Butterfly hair clamps
  • Rat tail combs
  • Hooded hair dryers
  • Dye application brushes
  • Teasing combs
  • Hair thinning scissors
  • Cuticle nippers
  • Duckbill hair clamps
  • Electronic cash registers
  • Laptop computers
  • Round brushes
  • Hair clips
  • Fingernail clippers
  • Straight razors
  • Fine-tooth combs
  • Hairstyling brushes
  • Heated hair curlers
  • Color application combs
  • Wide-tooth combs
  • Desktop computers
  • Cuticle scissors
  • Curling irons
  • Digital timers
  • Shampoo bowls
  • Hot combs
  • Nail files
  • Hair pins
  • Haircutting scissors
  • Handheld hair dryers
  • Handheld electric hair clippers
  • Safety goggles