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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Licensed Cosmetologist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #176 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Licensed Cosmetologist” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

48%

“Licensed Cosmetologist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 48% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Provide beauty services, such as cutting, coloring, and styling hair, and massaging and treating scalp. May shampoo hair, apply makeup, dress wigs, remove hair, and provide nail and skincare services.

Avg. Annual Salary $43,460
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.89
Available Jobs (US) 295,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists #39-5012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Apply water or setting, straightening or waving solutions to hair, and use curlers, rollers, hot combs and curling irons to press and curl hair.

  • Give facials to patrons, using special compounds, such as lotions and creams.

  • Shampoo, rinse, condition, and dry hair and scalp or hairpieces with water, liquid soap, or other solutions.

  • Demonstrate and sell hair care products and cosmetics.

  • Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

  • Massage and treat scalp for hygienic and remedial purposes, using hands, fingers, or vibrating equipment.

  • Shave, trim, and shape beards and moustaches.

  • Clean, shape, and polish fingernails and toenails, using files and nail polish.

  • Comb, brush, and spray hair or wigs to set style.

  • Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.

  • Shape eyebrows and remove facial hair, using depilatory cream, tweezers, electrolysis or wax.

  • Develop new styles and techniques.

  • Keep work stations clean and sanitize tools, such as scissors and combs.

  • Schedule client appointments.

  • Order, display, and maintain supplies.

  • Train or supervise other hairstylists, hairdressers, and assistants.

  • Administer therapeutic medication and advise patron to seek medical treatment for chronic or contagious scalp conditions.

  • Attach wigs or hairpieces to model heads and dress wigs and hairpieces according to instructions, samples, sketches or photographs.

  • Cut, trim and shape hair or hairpieces, based on customers' instructions, hair type, and facial features, using clippers, scissors, trimmers and razors.

  • Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.

  • Recommend and explain the use of cosmetics, lotions, and creams to soften and lubricate skin and enhance and restore natural appearance.

  • Bleach, dye, or tint hair, using applicator or brush.

Technologies & Software

  • Facebook
  • Sale processing software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • YouTube
  • Replika AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Apple iOS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Appointment scheduling software
  • Customer information databases
  • Microsoft Word
  • Hot combs
  • Butterfly hair clamps
  • Color application combs
  • Cuticle scissors
  • Nail buffers
  • Detangling combs
  • Nail cleaning brushes
  • Shampoo bowls
  • Duckbill hair clamps
  • Curling irons
  • Desktop computers
  • Teasing combs
  • Wide-tooth combs
  • Haircutting scissors
  • Handheld hair dryers
  • Electronic cash registers
  • Nail files
  • Cuticle pushers
  • Hair clips
  • Flat irons
  • Straight razors
  • Heated hair curlers
  • Hair pins
  • Round brushes
  • Laptop computers
  • Dye application brushes
  • Hairstyling brushes
  • Safety goggles
  • Cuticle nippers
  • Hooded hair dryers
  • Rat tail combs
  • Digital timers
  • Fingernail clippers
  • Tint application brushes
  • Fine-tooth combs
  • Handheld electric hair clippers
  • Hair thinning scissors