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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cosmetologist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #176 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Cosmetologist” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

48%

“Cosmetologist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 48% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Provide beauty services, such as cutting, coloring, and styling hair, and massaging and treating scalp. May shampoo hair, apply makeup, dress wigs, remove hair, and provide nail and skincare services.

Avg. Annual Salary $43,460
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.89
Available Jobs (US) 295,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists #39-5012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.

  • Train or supervise other hairstylists, hairdressers, and assistants.

  • Attach wigs or hairpieces to model heads and dress wigs and hairpieces according to instructions, samples, sketches or photographs.

  • Shampoo, rinse, condition, and dry hair and scalp or hairpieces with water, liquid soap, or other solutions.

  • Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

  • Bleach, dye, or tint hair, using applicator or brush.

  • Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.

  • Cut, trim and shape hair or hairpieces, based on customers' instructions, hair type, and facial features, using clippers, scissors, trimmers and razors.

  • Comb, brush, and spray hair or wigs to set style.

  • Recommend and explain the use of cosmetics, lotions, and creams to soften and lubricate skin and enhance and restore natural appearance.

  • Develop new styles and techniques.

  • Clean, shape, and polish fingernails and toenails, using files and nail polish.

  • Massage and treat scalp for hygienic and remedial purposes, using hands, fingers, or vibrating equipment.

  • Shape eyebrows and remove facial hair, using depilatory cream, tweezers, electrolysis or wax.

  • Demonstrate and sell hair care products and cosmetics.

  • Schedule client appointments.

  • Give facials to patrons, using special compounds, such as lotions and creams.

  • Keep work stations clean and sanitize tools, such as scissors and combs.

  • Administer therapeutic medication and advise patron to seek medical treatment for chronic or contagious scalp conditions.

  • Apply water or setting, straightening or waving solutions to hair, and use curlers, rollers, hot combs and curling irons to press and curl hair.

  • Shave, trim, and shape beards and moustaches.

  • Order, display, and maintain supplies.

Technologies & Software

  • Facebook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Word
  • Customer information databases
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Replika AI
  • YouTube
  • Apple iOS
  • Appointment scheduling software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Sale processing software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Detangling combs
  • Color application combs
  • Cuticle pushers
  • Hair thinning scissors
  • Fingernail clippers
  • Laptop computers
  • Straight razors
  • Heated hair curlers
  • Digital timers
  • Duckbill hair clamps
  • Curling irons
  • Nail files
  • Handheld hair dryers
  • Haircutting scissors
  • Handheld electric hair clippers
  • Round brushes
  • Fine-tooth combs
  • Shampoo bowls
  • Butterfly hair clamps
  • Safety goggles
  • Hot combs
  • Hairstyling brushes
  • Nail buffers
  • Cuticle nippers
  • Nail cleaning brushes
  • Hooded hair dryers
  • Cuticle scissors
  • Teasing combs
  • Electronic cash registers
  • Rat tail combs
  • Hair pins
  • Desktop computers
  • Hair clips
  • Flat irons
  • Tint application brushes
  • Wide-tooth combs
  • Dye application brushes