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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cosmetologist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #176 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Cosmetologist” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

48%

“Cosmetologist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 48% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Provide beauty services, such as cutting, coloring, and styling hair, and massaging and treating scalp. May shampoo hair, apply makeup, dress wigs, remove hair, and provide nail and skincare services.

Avg. Annual Salary $43,460
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.89
Available Jobs (US) 295,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists #39-5012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Clean, shape, and polish fingernails and toenails, using files and nail polish.

  • Recommend and explain the use of cosmetics, lotions, and creams to soften and lubricate skin and enhance and restore natural appearance.

  • Train or supervise other hairstylists, hairdressers, and assistants.

  • Bleach, dye, or tint hair, using applicator or brush.

  • Demonstrate and sell hair care products and cosmetics.

  • Schedule client appointments.

  • Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.

  • Keep work stations clean and sanitize tools, such as scissors and combs.

  • Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.

  • Cut, trim and shape hair or hairpieces, based on customers' instructions, hair type, and facial features, using clippers, scissors, trimmers and razors.

  • Apply water or setting, straightening or waving solutions to hair, and use curlers, rollers, hot combs and curling irons to press and curl hair.

  • Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

  • Shampoo, rinse, condition, and dry hair and scalp or hairpieces with water, liquid soap, or other solutions.

  • Attach wigs or hairpieces to model heads and dress wigs and hairpieces according to instructions, samples, sketches or photographs.

  • Give facials to patrons, using special compounds, such as lotions and creams.

  • Administer therapeutic medication and advise patron to seek medical treatment for chronic or contagious scalp conditions.

  • Develop new styles and techniques.

  • Shave, trim, and shape beards and moustaches.

  • Shape eyebrows and remove facial hair, using depilatory cream, tweezers, electrolysis or wax.

  • Order, display, and maintain supplies.

  • Massage and treat scalp for hygienic and remedial purposes, using hands, fingers, or vibrating equipment.

  • Comb, brush, and spray hair or wigs to set style.

Technologies & Software

  • Replika AI
  • Facebook
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • YouTube
  • Microsoft Word
  • Appointment scheduling software
  • Apple iOS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Customer information databases
  • Sale processing software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Tint application brushes
  • Hair thinning scissors
  • Laptop computers
  • Flat irons
  • Cuticle nippers
  • Safety goggles
  • Nail buffers
  • Hair pins
  • Hair clips
  • Electronic cash registers
  • Round brushes
  • Cuticle scissors
  • Wide-tooth combs
  • Nail cleaning brushes
  • Shampoo bowls
  • Desktop computers
  • Teasing combs
  • Fingernail clippers
  • Digital timers
  • Fine-tooth combs
  • Heated hair curlers
  • Handheld hair dryers
  • Straight razors
  • Hooded hair dryers
  • Handheld electric hair clippers
  • Curling irons
  • Haircutting scissors
  • Dye application brushes
  • Nail files
  • Cuticle pushers
  • Butterfly hair clamps
  • Rat tail combs
  • Hairstyling brushes
  • Detangling combs
  • Hot combs
  • Color application combs
  • Duckbill hair clamps