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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Licensed Cosmetologist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #176 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Licensed Cosmetologist” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

48%

“Licensed Cosmetologist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 48% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Provide beauty services, such as cutting, coloring, and styling hair, and massaging and treating scalp. May shampoo hair, apply makeup, dress wigs, remove hair, and provide nail and skincare services.

Avg. Annual Salary $43,460
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.89
Available Jobs (US) 295,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists #39-5012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Clean, shape, and polish fingernails and toenails, using files and nail polish.

  • Demonstrate and sell hair care products and cosmetics.

  • Train or supervise other hairstylists, hairdressers, and assistants.

  • Massage and treat scalp for hygienic and remedial purposes, using hands, fingers, or vibrating equipment.

  • Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.

  • Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.

  • Give facials to patrons, using special compounds, such as lotions and creams.

  • Bleach, dye, or tint hair, using applicator or brush.

  • Keep work stations clean and sanitize tools, such as scissors and combs.

  • Attach wigs or hairpieces to model heads and dress wigs and hairpieces according to instructions, samples, sketches or photographs.

  • Order, display, and maintain supplies.

  • Recommend and explain the use of cosmetics, lotions, and creams to soften and lubricate skin and enhance and restore natural appearance.

  • Shape eyebrows and remove facial hair, using depilatory cream, tweezers, electrolysis or wax.

  • Comb, brush, and spray hair or wigs to set style.

  • Develop new styles and techniques.

  • Schedule client appointments.

  • Shampoo, rinse, condition, and dry hair and scalp or hairpieces with water, liquid soap, or other solutions.

  • Administer therapeutic medication and advise patron to seek medical treatment for chronic or contagious scalp conditions.

  • Apply water or setting, straightening or waving solutions to hair, and use curlers, rollers, hot combs and curling irons to press and curl hair.

  • Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

  • Cut, trim and shape hair or hairpieces, based on customers' instructions, hair type, and facial features, using clippers, scissors, trimmers and razors.

  • Shave, trim, and shape beards and moustaches.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Apple iOS
  • Replika AI
  • Customer information databases
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Facebook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Sale processing software
  • YouTube
  • Appointment scheduling software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Fine-tooth combs
  • Nail files
  • Electronic cash registers
  • Safety goggles
  • Digital timers
  • Hairstyling brushes
  • Nail cleaning brushes
  • Dye application brushes
  • Flat irons
  • Cuticle nippers
  • Wide-tooth combs
  • Handheld hair dryers
  • Hair thinning scissors
  • Hooded hair dryers
  • Color application combs
  • Teasing combs
  • Shampoo bowls
  • Rat tail combs
  • Hot combs
  • Tint application brushes
  • Laptop computers
  • Haircutting scissors
  • Butterfly hair clamps
  • Cuticle scissors
  • Duckbill hair clamps
  • Straight razors
  • Cuticle pushers
  • Detangling combs
  • Hair clips
  • Desktop computers
  • Hair pins
  • Handheld electric hair clippers
  • Nail buffers
  • Curling irons
  • Round brushes
  • Fingernail clippers
  • Heated hair curlers