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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mail Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #599 of 702. Estimated risk: 94.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Mail Carrier” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

48%

“Mail Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 48% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Couriers and Messengers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pick up and deliver messages, documents, packages, and other items between offices or departments within an establishment or directly to other business concerns, traveling by foot, bicycle, motorcycle, automobile, or public conveyance.

Avg. Annual Salary $40,060
Avg. Hourly Wage $19.26
Available Jobs (US) 71,920
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Couriers and Messengers #43-5021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Couriers and Messengers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Use telephone to deliver verbal messages.

  • Load vehicles with listed goods, ensuring goods are loaded correctly and taking precautions with hazardous goods.

  • Deliver and pick up medical records, lab specimens, and medications to and from hospitals and other medical facilities.

  • Collect, seal, and stamp outgoing mail, using postage meters and envelope sealers.

  • Record information, such as items received and delivered and recipients' responses to messages.

  • Perform routine maintenance on delivery vehicles, such as monitoring fluid levels and replenishing fuel.

  • Plan and follow the most efficient routes for delivering goods.

  • Deliver messages and items, such as newspapers, documents, and packages, between establishment departments and to other establishments and private homes.

  • Check with home offices after completed deliveries to confirm deliveries and collections and to receive instructions for other deliveries.

  • Obtain signatures and payments, or arrange for recipients to make payments.

  • Walk, ride bicycles, drive vehicles, or use public conveyances to reach destinations to deliver messages or materials.

  • Sort items to be delivered according to the delivery route.

  • Unload and sort items collected along delivery routes.

  • Perform general office or clerical work, such as filing materials, operating duplicating machines, or running errands.

  • Receive messages or materials to be delivered, and information on recipients, such as names, addresses, telephone numbers, and delivery instructions, communicated via telephone, two-way radio, or in person.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Grammarly AI
  • Route mapping software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Otter.ai
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Napkin AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Notion AI
  • Zapier AI
  • Hard hats
  • Safety belts
  • Handheld radio frequency RF scanners
  • Tablet computers
  • Document shredders
  • Mopeds
  • High-reach forklifts
  • Passenger vans
  • Postage meters
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Hazardous material packaging
  • Copy machines
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Stamping equipment
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Mail addressing machines
  • Hydraulic lift tables
  • Envelope sealers
  • Computer data input scanners
  • Stepladders
  • Warehouse forklifts
  • Protective safety glasses
  • Pallet jacks
  • Lockboxes
  • Motorcycles
  • Wireless barcode scanners
  • Personal computers
  • Bank deposit bags
  • Mobile radios
  • Delivery trucks
  • Bicycles