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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mail Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #599 of 702. Estimated risk: 94.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Mail Carrier” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

48%

“Mail Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 48% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Couriers and Messengers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pick up and deliver messages, documents, packages, and other items between offices or departments within an establishment or directly to other business concerns, traveling by foot, bicycle, motorcycle, automobile, or public conveyance.

Avg. Annual Salary $40,060
Avg. Hourly Wage $19.26
Available Jobs (US) 71,920
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Couriers and Messengers #43-5021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Couriers and Messengers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Deliver messages and items, such as newspapers, documents, and packages, between establishment departments and to other establishments and private homes.

  • Check with home offices after completed deliveries to confirm deliveries and collections and to receive instructions for other deliveries.

  • Record information, such as items received and delivered and recipients' responses to messages.

  • Walk, ride bicycles, drive vehicles, or use public conveyances to reach destinations to deliver messages or materials.

  • Load vehicles with listed goods, ensuring goods are loaded correctly and taking precautions with hazardous goods.

  • Sort items to be delivered according to the delivery route.

  • Unload and sort items collected along delivery routes.

  • Perform routine maintenance on delivery vehicles, such as monitoring fluid levels and replenishing fuel.

  • Obtain signatures and payments, or arrange for recipients to make payments.

  • Receive messages or materials to be delivered, and information on recipients, such as names, addresses, telephone numbers, and delivery instructions, communicated via telephone, two-way radio, or in person.

  • Collect, seal, and stamp outgoing mail, using postage meters and envelope sealers.

  • Plan and follow the most efficient routes for delivering goods.

  • Use telephone to deliver verbal messages.

  • Deliver and pick up medical records, lab specimens, and medications to and from hospitals and other medical facilities.

  • Perform general office or clerical work, such as filing materials, operating duplicating machines, or running errands.

Technologies & Software

  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Napkin AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Route mapping software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Perplexity AI
  • Otter.ai
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Notion AI
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Grammarly AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Zapier AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Personal computers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Copy machines
  • Hydraulic lift tables
  • Motorcycles
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Delivery trucks
  • Stamping equipment
  • Lockboxes
  • Passenger vans
  • Warehouse forklifts
  • Bank deposit bags
  • Bicycles
  • Stepladders
  • Document shredders
  • Protective safety glasses
  • Pallet jacks
  • Hard hats
  • Mobile radios
  • Postage meters
  • Mopeds
  • Safety belts
  • Handheld radio frequency RF scanners
  • Hazardous material packaging
  • Envelope sealers
  • High-reach forklifts
  • Wireless barcode scanners
  • Tablet computers
  • Mail addressing machines
  • Computer data input scanners