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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Caltrans Equipment Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #511 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Caltrans Equipment Operator” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Caltrans Equipment Operator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Highway Maintenance Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Maintain highways, municipal and rural roads, airport runways, and rights-of-way. Duties include patching broken or eroded pavement and repairing guard rails, highway markers, and snow fences. May also mow or clear brush from along road, or plow snow from roadway.

Avg. Annual Salary $51,410
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.72
Available Jobs (US) 151,750
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Highway Maintenance Workers #47-4051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Highway Maintenance Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Haul and spread sand, gravel, and clay to fill washouts and repair road shoulders.

  • Perform preventative maintenance on vehicles and heavy equipment.

  • Apply poisons along roadsides and in animal burrows to eliminate unwanted roadside vegetation and rodents.

  • Set out signs and cones around work areas to divert traffic.

  • Dump, spread, and tamp asphalt, using pneumatic tampers, to repair joints and patch broken pavement.

  • Paint traffic control lines and place pavement traffic messages, by hand or using machines.

  • Inspect, clean, and repair drainage systems, bridges, tunnels, and other structures.

  • Place and remove snow fences used to prevent the accumulation of drifting snow on highways.

  • Apply oil to road surfaces, using sprayers.

  • Measure and mark locations for installation of markers, using tape, string, or chalk.

  • Flag motorists to warn them of obstacles or repair work ahead.

  • Blend compounds to form adhesive mixtures used for marker installation.

  • Remove litter and debris from roadways, including debris from rock and mud slides.

  • Perform roadside landscaping work, such as clearing weeds and brush, and planting and trimming trees.

  • Drive trucks to transport crews and equipment to work sites.

  • Inspect markers to verify accurate installation.

  • Drive heavy equipment and vehicles with adjustable attachments to sweep debris from paved surfaces, mow grass and weeds, remove snow and ice, and spread salt and sand.

  • Erect, install, or repair guardrails, road shoulders, berms, highway markers, warning signals, and highway lighting, using hand tools and power tools.

  • Clean and clear debris from culverts, catch basins, drop inlets, ditches, and other drain structures.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Web browser software
  • Buildots AI
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Procore AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Word processing software
  • Stone box spreaders
  • High-pressure hydraulic pumps
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Picks
  • Graffiti removing lasers
  • Chemical sprayers
  • Asphalt reclaimers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Bush axes
  • Spades
  • Truck mounted cranes
  • Concrete saws
  • Self-propelled sweepers
  • Snow blowers
  • Hydraulic excavators
  • Pull type pavers
  • Pavement joint sealers
  • Power broom street sweepers
  • Windrow loaders
  • Draglines
  • Paint transfer pumps
  • Ditchers
  • Pavement grinders
  • 30-ton clam buckets
  • Patch rollers less than 9 tons
  • Light trucks
  • Push mowers
  • Transport trucks
  • Bulldozers
  • Tar kettles
  • Jackhammers
  • Rock cutters
  • Hole diggers/augers
  • Tractor disc attachments
  • Heavy trucks
  • Power saws
  • Multipurpose vacuum street sweepers
  • Self-propelled road wideners
  • Compactors
  • Tar distributors
  • Tire chains
  • Water pumps
  • Four-wheel drive front end loaders
  • Hammers
  • Medium pressure hydraulic pumps
  • Paint mixers
  • Weedeaters
  • Swiss hammers
  • Towable barricades
  • Machetes
  • Cherry pickers
  • Sewer cleaners
  • Front end loaders
  • Gradalls
  • Personal computers
  • Dump trucks
  • Sand spreaders
  • Truck low-bed trailer combos
  • 10-ton crawlers
  • Pressure washers
  • Scissor trucks
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Low boys
  • Paint guns
  • Swinging stages
  • Water trucks
  • Stump cutters
  • Digger derricks
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Bituminous pavers
  • Concrete groovers
  • Laydown machines
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Athey loaders
  • Pneumatic tampers
  • Gas transporters
  • Rakes
  • Flatbed trailers
  • Mounted pavement breakers
  • Sewer eels
  • Rear brush hog mowers
  • Wheeled hydraulic booms
  • Snowplows
  • 4-6 ton roller patchers
  • Truck mounted excavators
  • Rotary snowplows
  • Circuit testing equipment
  • Chip spreaders
  • Pothole excavation milling machines
  • Belly dump tractor trailers
  • Side-mount rotary mowers
  • Forklifts
  • Harrows
  • Side dozers
  • Cold planers
  • 10-ton tandem-axle dump trucks
  • Epoxy guns
  • Desktop computers
  • Bucket trucks
  • Culvert cleaners
  • Measuring wheels
  • Platform trucks
  • Mud jacks
  • Thermoplastic applicators
  • Two way radios
  • Hydraulic spreaders
  • Rock drills
  • Scaffolding
  • Two-wheel drive front end loaders
  • Tanker trucks
  • Self-propelled cranes
  • Air compressors
  • Truck-mounted pavement striping machines
  • Oil heating burners
  • Brush chippers
  • Sandblasters
  • Graders
  • Chain saws
  • Boom trucks
  • Vans
  • Power screeds
  • 8-ton dump trucks
  • Shovels
  • 13000-23000 pound graders
  • Berm drag tractors
  • Snoopers
  • Theodolites
  • Aggregate spreaders
  • Catch basin vacuum cleaners
  • Pavement rollers
  • Seeders
  • Computerized weed spray trucks
  • Concrete paving vibrators
  • Tow brooms
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Laser printers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Concrete mixers
  • Generators
  • Rear flail mowers
  • Pile drivers