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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Caltrans Equipment Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #511 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Caltrans Equipment Operator” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Caltrans Equipment Operator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Highway Maintenance Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Maintain highways, municipal and rural roads, airport runways, and rights-of-way. Duties include patching broken or eroded pavement and repairing guard rails, highway markers, and snow fences. May also mow or clear brush from along road, or plow snow from roadway.

Avg. Annual Salary $51,410
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.72
Available Jobs (US) 151,750
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Highway Maintenance Workers #47-4051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Highway Maintenance Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect, clean, and repair drainage systems, bridges, tunnels, and other structures.

  • Blend compounds to form adhesive mixtures used for marker installation.

  • Dump, spread, and tamp asphalt, using pneumatic tampers, to repair joints and patch broken pavement.

  • Perform preventative maintenance on vehicles and heavy equipment.

  • Perform roadside landscaping work, such as clearing weeds and brush, and planting and trimming trees.

  • Erect, install, or repair guardrails, road shoulders, berms, highway markers, warning signals, and highway lighting, using hand tools and power tools.

  • Drive heavy equipment and vehicles with adjustable attachments to sweep debris from paved surfaces, mow grass and weeds, remove snow and ice, and spread salt and sand.

  • Apply poisons along roadsides and in animal burrows to eliminate unwanted roadside vegetation and rodents.

  • Apply oil to road surfaces, using sprayers.

  • Paint traffic control lines and place pavement traffic messages, by hand or using machines.

  • Place and remove snow fences used to prevent the accumulation of drifting snow on highways.

  • Clean and clear debris from culverts, catch basins, drop inlets, ditches, and other drain structures.

  • Flag motorists to warn them of obstacles or repair work ahead.

  • Set out signs and cones around work areas to divert traffic.

  • Measure and mark locations for installation of markers, using tape, string, or chalk.

  • Inspect markers to verify accurate installation.

  • Haul and spread sand, gravel, and clay to fill washouts and repair road shoulders.

  • Drive trucks to transport crews and equipment to work sites.

  • Remove litter and debris from roadways, including debris from rock and mud slides.

Technologies & Software

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  • Microsoft Office software
  • Database software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Laser printers
  • Platform trucks
  • Truck mounted cranes
  • Snow blowers
  • Self-propelled cranes
  • Belly dump tractor trailers
  • Tanker trucks
  • Sand spreaders
  • Truck low-bed trailer combos
  • Push mowers
  • Pavement rollers
  • Pothole excavation milling machines
  • Concrete paving vibrators
  • Pile drivers
  • Gradalls
  • Circuit testing equipment
  • Water pumps
  • Screwdrivers
  • Pressure washers
  • Medium pressure hydraulic pumps
  • Light trucks
  • Sewer cleaners
  • Graders
  • Asphalt reclaimers
  • Low boys
  • Laydown machines
  • Pavement joint sealers
  • Paint guns
  • Berm drag tractors
  • Tar distributors
  • Multipurpose vacuum street sweepers
  • Truck-mounted pavement striping machines
  • Side dozers
  • Heavy trucks
  • Aggregate spreaders
  • Epoxy guns
  • Front end loaders
  • Water trucks
  • Truck mounted excavators
  • Boom trucks
  • Athey loaders
  • Picks
  • Seeders
  • Bush axes
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Vans
  • Shovels
  • Gas transporters
  • Bucket trucks
  • Desktop computers
  • Transport trucks
  • Graffiti removing lasers
  • Thermoplastic applicators
  • Cold planers
  • Two way radios
  • Dump trucks
  • Catch basin vacuum cleaners
  • Brush chippers
  • Power broom street sweepers
  • Tire chains
  • Spades
  • 13000-23000 pound graders
  • Culvert cleaners
  • 4-6 ton roller patchers
  • Bulldozers
  • Paint mixers
  • Mounted pavement breakers
  • Patch rollers less than 9 tons
  • Tractor disc attachments
  • Concrete saws
  • Rock drills
  • Rakes
  • Side-mount rotary mowers
  • Machetes
  • Hydraulic spreaders
  • Cherry pickers
  • Hole diggers/augers
  • Pneumatic tampers
  • Harrows
  • 8-ton dump trucks
  • Scissor trucks
  • 10-ton crawlers
  • 30-ton clam buckets
  • Hammers
  • Rear brush hog mowers
  • Computerized weed spray trucks
  • Pull type pavers
  • Paint transfer pumps
  • Tar kettles
  • Compactors
  • Stump cutters
  • Mud jacks
  • Chip spreaders
  • Jackhammers
  • Power saws
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Theodolites
  • Tow brooms
  • Sewer eels
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Pavement grinders
  • Stone box spreaders
  • Self-propelled sweepers
  • Power screeds
  • Air compressors
  • Concrete groovers
  • Rear flail mowers
  • 10-ton tandem-axle dump trucks
  • Self-propelled road wideners
  • Four-wheel drive front end loaders
  • Rotary snowplows
  • Weedeaters
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Impact wrenches
  • High-pressure hydraulic pumps
  • Measuring wheels
  • Digger derricks
  • Hydraulic excavators
  • Ditchers
  • Windrow loaders
  • Towable barricades
  • Oil heating burners
  • Personal computers
  • Scaffolding
  • Flatbed trailers
  • Generators
  • Concrete mixers
  • Swinging stages
  • Snowplows
  • Forklifts
  • Sandblasters
  • Chemical sprayers
  • Two-wheel drive front end loaders
  • Wheeled hydraulic booms
  • Chain saws
  • Rock cutters
  • Bituminous pavers
  • Swiss hammers
  • Snoopers
  • Draglines