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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Certified Flagger” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #511 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Certified Flagger” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Certified Flagger” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Highway Maintenance Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Maintain highways, municipal and rural roads, airport runways, and rights-of-way. Duties include patching broken or eroded pavement and repairing guard rails, highway markers, and snow fences. May also mow or clear brush from along road, or plow snow from roadway.

Avg. Annual Salary $51,410
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.72
Available Jobs (US) 151,750
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Highway Maintenance Workers #47-4051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Highway Maintenance Workers”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

Construction and Building Inspectors

AI Risk 57%
Robot Risk 36%

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AI Risk 56%
Robot Risk 43%

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AI Risk 51%
Robot Risk 57%

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AI Risk 50%
Robot Risk 63%

Construction Laborers

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 56%

Solar Photovoltaic Installers

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 57%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Haul and spread sand, gravel, and clay to fill washouts and repair road shoulders.

  • Dump, spread, and tamp asphalt, using pneumatic tampers, to repair joints and patch broken pavement.

  • Blend compounds to form adhesive mixtures used for marker installation.

  • Clean and clear debris from culverts, catch basins, drop inlets, ditches, and other drain structures.

  • Erect, install, or repair guardrails, road shoulders, berms, highway markers, warning signals, and highway lighting, using hand tools and power tools.

  • Perform roadside landscaping work, such as clearing weeds and brush, and planting and trimming trees.

  • Apply oil to road surfaces, using sprayers.

  • Measure and mark locations for installation of markers, using tape, string, or chalk.

  • Inspect markers to verify accurate installation.

  • Drive heavy equipment and vehicles with adjustable attachments to sweep debris from paved surfaces, mow grass and weeds, remove snow and ice, and spread salt and sand.

  • Place and remove snow fences used to prevent the accumulation of drifting snow on highways.

  • Perform preventative maintenance on vehicles and heavy equipment.

  • Paint traffic control lines and place pavement traffic messages, by hand or using machines.

  • Remove litter and debris from roadways, including debris from rock and mud slides.

  • Drive trucks to transport crews and equipment to work sites.

  • Apply poisons along roadsides and in animal burrows to eliminate unwanted roadside vegetation and rodents.

  • Flag motorists to warn them of obstacles or repair work ahead.

  • Set out signs and cones around work areas to divert traffic.

  • Inspect, clean, and repair drainage systems, bridges, tunnels, and other structures.

Technologies & Software

  • Database software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Word processing software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Procore AI
  • Light trucks
  • Four-wheel drive front end loaders
  • Belly dump tractor trailers
  • Tow brooms
  • Swinging stages
  • Snoopers
  • Push mowers
  • Paint transfer pumps
  • Chip spreaders
  • Thermoplastic applicators
  • Vans
  • Chain saws
  • Rock cutters
  • Draglines
  • Digger derricks
  • Chemical sprayers
  • Boom trucks
  • Spades
  • Catch basin vacuum cleaners
  • Tar distributors
  • Self-propelled road wideners
  • Oil heating burners
  • Shovels
  • Hydraulic spreaders
  • Sewer eels
  • Heavy trucks
  • Computerized weed spray trucks
  • Asphalt reclaimers
  • Front end loaders
  • Hammers
  • Pavement rollers
  • Power saws
  • Water trucks
  • Low boys
  • Stump cutters
  • Paint guns
  • Weedeaters
  • Graffiti removing lasers
  • 30-ton clam buckets
  • Tractor disc attachments
  • Wheeled hydraulic booms
  • Windrow loaders
  • Patch rollers less than 9 tons
  • Forklifts
  • Aggregate spreaders
  • Sand spreaders
  • Cherry pickers
  • Dump trucks
  • Laser printers
  • Bituminous pavers
  • 8-ton dump trucks
  • Impact wrenches
  • Pile drivers
  • Truck-mounted pavement striping machines
  • Truck low-bed trailer combos
  • Self-propelled cranes
  • Hydraulic excavators
  • Scissor trucks
  • Stone box spreaders
  • Power broom street sweepers
  • Graders
  • Self-propelled sweepers
  • Truck mounted excavators
  • Tar kettles
  • Snowplows
  • Machetes
  • Bucket trucks
  • Screwdrivers
  • Scaffolding
  • Water pumps
  • Mud jacks
  • Concrete groovers
  • Circuit testing equipment
  • Concrete mixers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Rear flail mowers
  • Rakes
  • Power screeds
  • High-pressure hydraulic pumps
  • Platform trucks
  • Truck mounted cranes
  • Generators
  • Ditchers
  • Brush chippers
  • Pressure washers
  • 10-ton tandem-axle dump trucks
  • Snow blowers
  • Compactors
  • Measuring wheels
  • Berm drag tractors
  • Two way radios
  • Pneumatic tampers
  • 10-ton crawlers
  • Mounted pavement breakers
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Sandblasters
  • Gradalls
  • Hole diggers/augers
  • Culvert cleaners
  • Athey loaders
  • Bulldozers
  • Tanker trucks
  • Pavement grinders
  • Picks
  • Pavement joint sealers
  • Rotary snowplows
  • Harrows
  • Towable barricades
  • Gas transporters
  • Multipurpose vacuum street sweepers
  • Paint mixers
  • Air compressors
  • Concrete paving vibrators
  • Transport trucks
  • Theodolites
  • Medium pressure hydraulic pumps
  • Pull type pavers
  • Desktop computers
  • 4-6 ton roller patchers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Tire chains
  • Flatbed trailers
  • Swiss hammers
  • Sewer cleaners
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Bush axes
  • Side dozers
  • Epoxy guns
  • Cold planers
  • Laydown machines
  • Pothole excavation milling machines
  • Jackhammers
  • Rock drills
  • 13000-23000 pound graders
  • Seeders
  • Two-wheel drive front end loaders
  • Rear brush hog mowers
  • Side-mount rotary mowers
  • Concrete saws

Alternative Job Titles