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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Flagger” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #511 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Flagger” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Flagger” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Highway Maintenance Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Maintain highways, municipal and rural roads, airport runways, and rights-of-way. Duties include patching broken or eroded pavement and repairing guard rails, highway markers, and snow fences. May also mow or clear brush from along road, or plow snow from roadway.

Avg. Annual Salary $51,410
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.72
Available Jobs (US) 151,750
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Highway Maintenance Workers #47-4051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Highway Maintenance Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dump, spread, and tamp asphalt, using pneumatic tampers, to repair joints and patch broken pavement.

  • Apply poisons along roadsides and in animal burrows to eliminate unwanted roadside vegetation and rodents.

  • Flag motorists to warn them of obstacles or repair work ahead.

  • Set out signs and cones around work areas to divert traffic.

  • Erect, install, or repair guardrails, road shoulders, berms, highway markers, warning signals, and highway lighting, using hand tools and power tools.

  • Drive trucks to transport crews and equipment to work sites.

  • Haul and spread sand, gravel, and clay to fill washouts and repair road shoulders.

  • Remove litter and debris from roadways, including debris from rock and mud slides.

  • Measure and mark locations for installation of markers, using tape, string, or chalk.

  • Clean and clear debris from culverts, catch basins, drop inlets, ditches, and other drain structures.

  • Perform roadside landscaping work, such as clearing weeds and brush, and planting and trimming trees.

  • Drive heavy equipment and vehicles with adjustable attachments to sweep debris from paved surfaces, mow grass and weeds, remove snow and ice, and spread salt and sand.

  • Perform preventative maintenance on vehicles and heavy equipment.

  • Place and remove snow fences used to prevent the accumulation of drifting snow on highways.

  • Blend compounds to form adhesive mixtures used for marker installation.

  • Inspect markers to verify accurate installation.

  • Inspect, clean, and repair drainage systems, bridges, tunnels, and other structures.

  • Apply oil to road surfaces, using sprayers.

  • Paint traffic control lines and place pavement traffic messages, by hand or using machines.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Procore AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Word processing software
  • Pavement rollers
  • Flatbed trailers
  • Shovels
  • Draglines
  • Tractor disc attachments
  • Pull type pavers
  • Belly dump tractor trailers
  • Rotary snowplows
  • Side-mount rotary mowers
  • Tow brooms
  • Tar kettles
  • Laydown machines
  • Truck mounted excavators
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Computerized weed spray trucks
  • Front end loaders
  • Jackhammers
  • Wheeled hydraulic booms
  • Theodolites
  • Rakes
  • Self-propelled sweepers
  • Weedeaters
  • Swiss hammers
  • Rock drills
  • Laser printers
  • Generators
  • Side dozers
  • Mud jacks
  • Stump cutters
  • Impact wrenches
  • Truck mounted cranes
  • Screwdrivers
  • Circuit testing equipment
  • Athey loaders
  • Sandblasters
  • Truck-mounted pavement striping machines
  • Concrete paving vibrators
  • Concrete saws
  • Thermoplastic applicators
  • Measuring wheels
  • High-pressure hydraulic pumps
  • Sand spreaders
  • Patch rollers less than 9 tons
  • Air compressors
  • Pneumatic tampers
  • Power broom street sweepers
  • Aggregate spreaders
  • Multipurpose vacuum street sweepers
  • 30-ton clam buckets
  • Rock cutters
  • Two way radios
  • Four-wheel drive front end loaders
  • 8-ton dump trucks
  • 4-6 ton roller patchers
  • Medium pressure hydraulic pumps
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Towable barricades
  • Compactors
  • Push mowers
  • Low boys
  • Graders
  • Paint mixers
  • Two-wheel drive front end loaders
  • Power screeds
  • Platform trucks
  • Bulldozers
  • Self-propelled road wideners
  • Light trucks
  • 13000-23000 pound graders
  • Hole diggers/augers
  • Paint guns
  • Asphalt reclaimers
  • Machetes
  • Seeders
  • Snow blowers
  • Water pumps
  • Rear flail mowers
  • Cherry pickers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Catch basin vacuum cleaners
  • Sewer eels
  • 10-ton tandem-axle dump trucks
  • Oil heating burners
  • Cold planers
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Berm drag tractors
  • Chemical sprayers
  • Spades
  • Vans
  • Windrow loaders
  • Concrete mixers
  • Pothole excavation milling machines
  • Harrows
  • Gradalls
  • Digger derricks
  • Chain saws
  • Scaffolding
  • Paint transfer pumps
  • Bituminous pavers
  • Forklifts
  • Snoopers
  • Dump trucks
  • Ditchers
  • Tire chains
  • Chip spreaders
  • Transport trucks
  • Culvert cleaners
  • Snowplows
  • Pavement joint sealers
  • Rear brush hog mowers
  • Swinging stages
  • Gas transporters
  • Pavement grinders
  • Hammers
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Epoxy guns
  • Bush axes
  • Hydraulic excavators
  • Power saws
  • Bucket trucks
  • Truck low-bed trailer combos
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Tar distributors
  • Brush chippers
  • Picks
  • Water trucks
  • 10-ton crawlers
  • Scissor trucks
  • Pile drivers
  • Sewer cleaners
  • Concrete groovers
  • Heavy trucks
  • Hydraulic spreaders
  • Mounted pavement breakers
  • Graffiti removing lasers
  • Boom trucks
  • Pressure washers
  • Tanker trucks
  • Self-propelled cranes
  • Stone box spreaders