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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tool Maker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #53 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Tool Maker” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

35%

“Tool Maker” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 35% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Mechanical Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform engineering duties in planning and designing tools, engines, machines, and other mechanically functioning equipment. Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, and repair of equipment such as centralized heat, gas, water, and steam systems.

Avg. Annual Salary $110,080
Avg. Hourly Wage $52.92
Available Jobs (US) 286,760
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Mechanical Engineers #17-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Mechanical Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Solicit new business.

  • Develop, coordinate, or monitor all aspects of production, including selection of manufacturing methods, fabrication, or operation of product designs.

  • Establish or coordinate the maintenance or safety procedures, service schedule, or supply of materials required to maintain machines or equipment in the prescribed condition.

  • Calculate energy losses for buildings, using equipment such as computers, combustion analyzers, or pressure gauges.

  • Recommend the use of utility or energy services that minimize carbon footprints.

  • Apply engineering principles or practices to emerging fields, such as robotics, waste management, or biomedical engineering.

  • Estimate costs or submit bids for engineering, construction, or extraction projects.

  • Write performance requirements for product development or engineering projects.

  • Evaluate mechanical designs or prototypes for energy performance or environmental impact.

  • Study industrial processes to maximize the efficiency of equipment applications, including equipment placement.

  • Perform personnel functions, such as supervision of production workers, technicians, technologists, or other engineers.

  • Direct the installation, operation, maintenance, or repair of renewable energy equipment, such as heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) or water systems.

  • Provide feedback to design engineers on customer problems or needs.

  • Conduct research that tests or analyzes the feasibility, design, operation, or performance of equipment, components, or systems.

  • Recommend design modifications to eliminate machine or system malfunctions.

  • Design test control apparatus or equipment or develop procedures for testing products.

  • Research and analyze customer design proposals, specifications, manuals, or other data to evaluate the feasibility, cost, or maintenance requirements of designs or applications.

  • Design integrated mechanical or alternative systems, such as mechanical cooling systems with natural ventilation systems, to improve energy efficiency.

  • Read and interpret blueprints, technical drawings, schematics, or computer-generated reports.

  • Research, design, evaluate, install, operate, or maintain mechanical products, equipment, systems or processes to meet requirements.

  • Select or install combined heat units, power units, cogeneration equipment, or trigeneration equipment that reduces energy use or pollution.

  • Develop or test models of alternate designs or processing methods to assess feasibility, sustainability, operating condition effects, potential new applications, or necessity of modification.

  • Specify system components or direct modification of products to ensure conformance with engineering design, performance specifications, or environmental regulations.

  • Provide technical customer service.

  • Confer with engineers or other personnel to implement operating procedures, resolve system malfunctions, or provide technical information.

  • Investigate equipment failures or difficulties to diagnose faulty operation and recommend remedial actions.

  • Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, or repair to ensure that machines or equipment are installed and functioning according to specifications.

  • Assist drafters in developing the structural design of products, using drafting tools or computer-assisted drafting equipment or software.

Technologies & Software

  • Rockwell Automation software
  • Minitab
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • GitHub Copilot
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Access
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Intergraph Plant Design System PDS
  • Design of experiments DOE software
  • ANSYS AI Simulation
  • Sigmetrix CETOL 6 Sigma
  • Microsoft Project
  • Video analysis software
  • ReliaSoft Alta 6 Pro
  • R
  • Perl
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Mesh generation software
  • Autodesk AI
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • C++
  • C
  • InnovMetric PolyWorks
  • ReliaSoft Weibull++ 6
  • Failure assessment software
  • Metrix Imageware Surfacer
  • Teradata Database
  • Optical analysis software
  • Microsoft Dynamics
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Statistical software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Perforce Helix software
  • Cost estimating software
  • DeepSeek
  • Reliability analysis software
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Rapid prototyping software
  • Chef
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computer aided design and drafting software CADD
  • G-code
  • Bentley MicroStation
  • Adobe ActionScript
  • Puppet
  • Ladder Logic
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Mathsoft Mathcad
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Motion analysis software
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Accelerated life testing software
  • Gemini Code Assist
  • Blue Ridge Numerics CFDesign
  • Lambda Research OSLO
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications VBA
  • Human machine interface HMI software
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Zemax
  • Statistical energy analysis SEA software
  • Life cycle cost software
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Microsoft SQL Server
  • AutoCAD AI
  • Hewlett-Packard HP Graphics Language HPGL
  • Shell script
  • Verilog
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • SolidWorks COSMOSWorks
  • ReliaSoft BlockSim
  • SAP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • SmugMug Flickr
  • Perplexity AI
  • Computational fluid dynamics CFD software
  • ANSYS simulation software
  • Bill of materials software
  • Data acquisition software
  • Computer numerical control CNC software
  • UGS I-DEAS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • MUMPS M
  • Microsoft Word
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Finite element method FEM software
  • Grid generation software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Failure mode and effects analysis FMEA software
  • Reverse engineering software
  • Blink
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • MAYA Nastran
  • IBM Notes
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Python
  • Modal analysis software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Air compressors
  • Stylus profilometers
  • Sputtering systems
  • Wire bonders
  • Fused deposition modeling FDM machines
  • Multimeters
  • Cryogenic apparatus
  • Dynamic strain indicators
  • Dynamometers
  • Wafer bonding systems
  • Optical sensors
  • Personal computers
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Nano indentation systems
  • Wafer dicing saws
  • Projection lithography equipment
  • Deep reactive ion etchers DRIE
  • Interferometric microscopes
  • Force transducers
  • Supersonic wind tunnels
  • Vibration control systems
  • Torque transducers
  • Scanning probe microscopes SPM
  • Contact lithography equipment
  • Interferometers
  • Anodic wafer bonding systems
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Analog to digital converters
  • Chemical-mechanical polishing equipment
  • Scanning tunneling microscopes STM
  • Strain gauges
  • Precision positioning tables
  • Optical laser scanners
  • Digital to analog converters
  • Video editing equipment
  • Fluorescence spectrometers
  • Function generators
  • Wire electrical discharge machines
  • Torsional converters
  • Pattern generators
  • Velocity transducers
  • Rapid thermal processing systems
  • Vapor deposition tube furnaces
  • Acoustic emission AE sensors
  • Pitot tubes
  • Radio frequency sensors
  • Photoelastic testing machines
  • Laser digitizers
  • Heat exchangers
  • Position transducers
  • X ray tubes
  • Vibration testers
  • Accelerometers
  • Steppers
  • Servohydraulic material testing machines
  • Computed tomography CT systems
  • Laser Doppler anemometers
  • Flip-chip wafer bonding systems
  • Plasma etchers
  • Spin-coaters
  • Evaporation systems
  • Surface profilometers
  • Multi-pen plotters
  • Oscilloscopes
  • Aligners
  • Subsonic wind tunnels
  • Digital particle image velocimeters
  • Ellipsometers
  • Infrared thermography cameras
  • Scanning electron microscopes SEM
  • X ray radiographic systems
  • Laser Doppler velocimeters LDV
  • Contact testers
  • Vibration isolators
  • Environmental testing chambers

Alternative Job Titles