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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tool Maker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #53 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Tool Maker” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

35%

“Tool Maker” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 35% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Mechanical Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform engineering duties in planning and designing tools, engines, machines, and other mechanically functioning equipment. Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, and repair of equipment such as centralized heat, gas, water, and steam systems.

Avg. Annual Salary $110,080
Avg. Hourly Wage $52.92
Available Jobs (US) 286,760
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Mechanical Engineers #17-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Mechanical Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Design test control apparatus or equipment or develop procedures for testing products.

  • Select or install combined heat units, power units, cogeneration equipment, or trigeneration equipment that reduces energy use or pollution.

  • Calculate energy losses for buildings, using equipment such as computers, combustion analyzers, or pressure gauges.

  • Perform personnel functions, such as supervision of production workers, technicians, technologists, or other engineers.

  • Evaluate mechanical designs or prototypes for energy performance or environmental impact.

  • Write performance requirements for product development or engineering projects.

  • Establish or coordinate the maintenance or safety procedures, service schedule, or supply of materials required to maintain machines or equipment in the prescribed condition.

  • Solicit new business.

  • Research and analyze customer design proposals, specifications, manuals, or other data to evaluate the feasibility, cost, or maintenance requirements of designs or applications.

  • Recommend design modifications to eliminate machine or system malfunctions.

  • Provide technical customer service.

  • Assist drafters in developing the structural design of products, using drafting tools or computer-assisted drafting equipment or software.

  • Develop, coordinate, or monitor all aspects of production, including selection of manufacturing methods, fabrication, or operation of product designs.

  • Study industrial processes to maximize the efficiency of equipment applications, including equipment placement.

  • Design integrated mechanical or alternative systems, such as mechanical cooling systems with natural ventilation systems, to improve energy efficiency.

  • Recommend the use of utility or energy services that minimize carbon footprints.

  • Read and interpret blueprints, technical drawings, schematics, or computer-generated reports.

  • Confer with engineers or other personnel to implement operating procedures, resolve system malfunctions, or provide technical information.

  • Direct the installation, operation, maintenance, or repair of renewable energy equipment, such as heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) or water systems.

  • Provide feedback to design engineers on customer problems or needs.

  • Specify system components or direct modification of products to ensure conformance with engineering design, performance specifications, or environmental regulations.

  • Estimate costs or submit bids for engineering, construction, or extraction projects.

  • Apply engineering principles or practices to emerging fields, such as robotics, waste management, or biomedical engineering.

  • Develop or test models of alternate designs or processing methods to assess feasibility, sustainability, operating condition effects, potential new applications, or necessity of modification.

  • Conduct research that tests or analyzes the feasibility, design, operation, or performance of equipment, components, or systems.

  • Research, design, evaluate, install, operate, or maintain mechanical products, equipment, systems or processes to meet requirements.

  • Investigate equipment failures or difficulties to diagnose faulty operation and recommend remedial actions.

  • Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, or repair to ensure that machines or equipment are installed and functioning according to specifications.

Technologies & Software

  • Puppet
  • Zemax
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Life cycle cost software
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ReliaSoft BlockSim
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Autodesk AI
  • IBM Notes
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft SQL Server
  • R
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Microsoft Project
  • Failure assessment software
  • Video analysis software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GitHub Copilot
  • SAP software
  • Metrix Imageware Surfacer
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Minitab
  • MUMPS M
  • DeepSeek
  • Finite element method FEM software
  • ReliaSoft Weibull++ 6
  • Microsoft Access
  • Reliability analysis software
  • SmugMug Flickr
  • Modal analysis software
  • InnovMetric PolyWorks
  • Grid generation software
  • UGS I-DEAS
  • Rockwell Automation software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Cost estimating software
  • Blue Ridge Numerics CFDesign
  • Computer numerical control CNC software
  • Lambda Research OSLO
  • AutoCAD AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Ladder Logic
  • Chef
  • Statistical software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Dynamics
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • MAYA Nastran
  • G-code
  • Blink
  • Optical analysis software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Adobe ActionScript
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Failure mode and effects analysis FMEA software
  • Sigmetrix CETOL 6 Sigma
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Human machine interface HMI software
  • Computer aided design and drafting software CADD
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • SolidWorks COSMOSWorks
  • Computational fluid dynamics CFD software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • Verilog
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • Microsoft Visio
  • ReliaSoft Alta 6 Pro
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ANSYS simulation software
  • Design of experiments DOE software
  • Mesh generation software
  • Rapid prototyping software
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Mathsoft Mathcad
  • Perforce Helix software
  • C++
  • Accelerated life testing software
  • Intergraph Plant Design System PDS
  • Bentley MicroStation
  • Bill of materials software
  • Gemini Code Assist
  • ANSYS AI Simulation
  • Perl
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Teradata Database
  • Python
  • Hewlett-Packard HP Graphics Language HPGL
  • Motion analysis software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Statistical energy analysis SEA software
  • Reverse engineering software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • C
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Shell script
  • Data acquisition software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications VBA
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Multimeters
  • Vapor deposition tube furnaces
  • Chemical-mechanical polishing equipment
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Sputtering systems
  • Torsional converters
  • Force transducers
  • X ray radiographic systems
  • Velocity transducers
  • Function generators
  • Vibration isolators
  • Position transducers
  • Wire electrical discharge machines
  • Dynamometers
  • Aligners
  • Steppers
  • Anodic wafer bonding systems
  • Servohydraulic material testing machines
  • Subsonic wind tunnels
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Spin-coaters
  • Accelerometers
  • Surface profilometers
  • Torque transducers
  • Strain gauges
  • Wafer bonding systems
  • Personal computers
  • Oscilloscopes
  • Fused deposition modeling FDM machines
  • Scanning electron microscopes SEM
  • Flip-chip wafer bonding systems
  • Optical sensors
  • Cryogenic apparatus
  • Computed tomography CT systems
  • Plasma etchers
  • Interferometric microscopes
  • Digital particle image velocimeters
  • Pattern generators
  • Video editing equipment
  • Heat exchangers
  • Rapid thermal processing systems
  • Infrared thermography cameras
  • Air compressors
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Analog to digital converters
  • Laser digitizers
  • Acoustic emission AE sensors
  • Supersonic wind tunnels
  • Radio frequency sensors
  • Laser Doppler anemometers
  • Wafer dicing saws
  • Deep reactive ion etchers DRIE
  • Optical laser scanners
  • Pitot tubes
  • Precision positioning tables
  • Ellipsometers
  • Stylus profilometers
  • Scanning probe microscopes SPM
  • Wire bonders
  • Laser Doppler velocimeters LDV
  • Vibration testers
  • Fluorescence spectrometers
  • Contact testers
  • X ray tubes
  • Contact lithography equipment
  • Photoelastic testing machines
  • Multi-pen plotters
  • Interferometers
  • Nano indentation systems
  • Dynamic strain indicators
  • Environmental testing chambers
  • Digital to analog converters
  • Scanning tunneling microscopes STM
  • Projection lithography equipment
  • Vibration control systems
  • Evaporation systems

Alternative Job Titles