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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tool Maker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #53 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Tool Maker” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

35%

“Tool Maker” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 35% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Mechanical Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform engineering duties in planning and designing tools, engines, machines, and other mechanically functioning equipment. Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, and repair of equipment such as centralized heat, gas, water, and steam systems.

Avg. Annual Salary $110,080
Avg. Hourly Wage $52.92
Available Jobs (US) 286,760
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Mechanical Engineers #17-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Mechanical Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, or repair to ensure that machines or equipment are installed and functioning according to specifications.

  • Solicit new business.

  • Direct the installation, operation, maintenance, or repair of renewable energy equipment, such as heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) or water systems.

  • Develop or test models of alternate designs or processing methods to assess feasibility, sustainability, operating condition effects, potential new applications, or necessity of modification.

  • Provide feedback to design engineers on customer problems or needs.

  • Recommend design modifications to eliminate machine or system malfunctions.

  • Evaluate mechanical designs or prototypes for energy performance or environmental impact.

  • Select or install combined heat units, power units, cogeneration equipment, or trigeneration equipment that reduces energy use or pollution.

  • Assist drafters in developing the structural design of products, using drafting tools or computer-assisted drafting equipment or software.

  • Establish or coordinate the maintenance or safety procedures, service schedule, or supply of materials required to maintain machines or equipment in the prescribed condition.

  • Investigate equipment failures or difficulties to diagnose faulty operation and recommend remedial actions.

  • Confer with engineers or other personnel to implement operating procedures, resolve system malfunctions, or provide technical information.

  • Calculate energy losses for buildings, using equipment such as computers, combustion analyzers, or pressure gauges.

  • Research and analyze customer design proposals, specifications, manuals, or other data to evaluate the feasibility, cost, or maintenance requirements of designs or applications.

  • Specify system components or direct modification of products to ensure conformance with engineering design, performance specifications, or environmental regulations.

  • Estimate costs or submit bids for engineering, construction, or extraction projects.

  • Develop, coordinate, or monitor all aspects of production, including selection of manufacturing methods, fabrication, or operation of product designs.

  • Study industrial processes to maximize the efficiency of equipment applications, including equipment placement.

  • Research, design, evaluate, install, operate, or maintain mechanical products, equipment, systems or processes to meet requirements.

  • Recommend the use of utility or energy services that minimize carbon footprints.

  • Provide technical customer service.

  • Perform personnel functions, such as supervision of production workers, technicians, technologists, or other engineers.

  • Write performance requirements for product development or engineering projects.

  • Design test control apparatus or equipment or develop procedures for testing products.

  • Read and interpret blueprints, technical drawings, schematics, or computer-generated reports.

  • Design integrated mechanical or alternative systems, such as mechanical cooling systems with natural ventilation systems, to improve energy efficiency.

  • Apply engineering principles or practices to emerging fields, such as robotics, waste management, or biomedical engineering.

  • Conduct research that tests or analyzes the feasibility, design, operation, or performance of equipment, components, or systems.

Technologies & Software

  • Computer aided design and drafting software CADD
  • Grid generation software
  • Finite element method FEM software
  • IBM Notes
  • Statistical energy analysis SEA software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Autodesk AI
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • Chef
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • R
  • Microsoft Access
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Verilog
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • SAP software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Motion analysis software
  • Human machine interface HMI software
  • Microsoft Dynamics
  • Video analysis software
  • Blink
  • Lambda Research OSLO
  • Perl
  • Microsoft SQL Server
  • Design of experiments DOE software
  • Failure assessment software
  • Mesh generation software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Adobe ActionScript
  • Data acquisition software
  • G-code
  • UGS I-DEAS
  • MUMPS M
  • Rockwell Automation software
  • SolidWorks COSMOSWorks
  • Gemini Code Assist
  • Accelerated life testing software
  • Perforce Helix software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computer numerical control CNC software
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • MAYA Nastran
  • Bentley MicroStation
  • ANSYS AI Simulation
  • Bill of materials software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Ladder Logic
  • Reverse engineering software
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Cost estimating software
  • InnovMetric PolyWorks
  • Microsoft Excel
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • ReliaSoft BlockSim
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Project
  • Rapid prototyping software
  • Metrix Imageware Surfacer
  • Minitab
  • Sigmetrix CETOL 6 Sigma
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications VBA
  • Optical analysis software
  • Statistical software
  • Shell script
  • C
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Puppet
  • Blue Ridge Numerics CFDesign
  • AutoCAD AI
  • Failure mode and effects analysis FMEA software
  • Hewlett-Packard HP Graphics Language HPGL
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • ReliaSoft Alta 6 Pro
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • GitHub Copilot
  • C++
  • Zemax
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Life cycle cost software
  • Modal analysis software
  • ReliaSoft Weibull++ 6
  • Computational fluid dynamics CFD software
  • SmugMug Flickr
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Reliability analysis software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mathsoft Mathcad
  • Intergraph Plant Design System PDS
  • DeepSeek
  • Teradata Database
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • ANSYS simulation software
  • Python
  • Strain gauges
  • Sputtering systems
  • Multi-pen plotters
  • Plasma etchers
  • Anodic wafer bonding systems
  • Scanning tunneling microscopes STM
  • Position transducers
  • Function generators
  • Air compressors
  • X ray tubes
  • Pitot tubes
  • Vibration testers
  • Wafer dicing saws
  • Wire bonders
  • Video editing equipment
  • Wafer bonding systems
  • Chemical-mechanical polishing equipment
  • Torsional converters
  • Aligners
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Digital to analog converters
  • Velocity transducers
  • Nano indentation systems
  • Dynamic strain indicators
  • Laser Doppler velocimeters LDV
  • Flip-chip wafer bonding systems
  • Acoustic emission AE sensors
  • Contact lithography equipment
  • Vibration isolators
  • Force transducers
  • Stylus profilometers
  • Precision positioning tables
  • Supersonic wind tunnels
  • Digital particle image velocimeters
  • Optical laser scanners
  • Ellipsometers
  • Scanning probe microscopes SPM
  • Scanning electron microscopes SEM
  • Optical sensors
  • Heat exchangers
  • Fused deposition modeling FDM machines
  • Deep reactive ion etchers DRIE
  • Infrared thermography cameras
  • Projection lithography equipment
  • Accelerometers
  • Interferometric microscopes
  • Multimeters
  • Environmental testing chambers
  • Contact testers
  • Analog to digital converters
  • Spin-coaters
  • Surface profilometers
  • Rapid thermal processing systems
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • X ray radiographic systems
  • Personal computers
  • Subsonic wind tunnels
  • Steppers
  • Oscilloscopes
  • Wire electrical discharge machines
  • Evaporation systems
  • Cryogenic apparatus
  • Radio frequency sensors
  • Computed tomography CT systems
  • Laser digitizers
  • Fluorescence spectrometers
  • Photoelastic testing machines
  • Vibration control systems
  • Dynamometers
  • Servohydraulic material testing machines
  • Vapor deposition tube furnaces
  • Torque transducers
  • Pattern generators
  • Laser Doppler anemometers
  • Interferometers
  • Spectrum analyzers

Alternative Job Titles