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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Weapons Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #53 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Weapons Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

35%

“Weapons Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 35% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Mechanical Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform engineering duties in planning and designing tools, engines, machines, and other mechanically functioning equipment. Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, and repair of equipment such as centralized heat, gas, water, and steam systems.

Avg. Annual Salary $110,080
Avg. Hourly Wage $52.92
Available Jobs (US) 286,760
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Mechanical Engineers #17-2141
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Mechanical Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop or test models of alternate designs or processing methods to assess feasibility, sustainability, operating condition effects, potential new applications, or necessity of modification.

  • Select or install combined heat units, power units, cogeneration equipment, or trigeneration equipment that reduces energy use or pollution.

  • Establish or coordinate the maintenance or safety procedures, service schedule, or supply of materials required to maintain machines or equipment in the prescribed condition.

  • Evaluate mechanical designs or prototypes for energy performance or environmental impact.

  • Perform personnel functions, such as supervision of production workers, technicians, technologists, or other engineers.

  • Solicit new business.

  • Direct the installation, operation, maintenance, or repair of renewable energy equipment, such as heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) or water systems.

  • Recommend the use of utility or energy services that minimize carbon footprints.

  • Confer with engineers or other personnel to implement operating procedures, resolve system malfunctions, or provide technical information.

  • Calculate energy losses for buildings, using equipment such as computers, combustion analyzers, or pressure gauges.

  • Design integrated mechanical or alternative systems, such as mechanical cooling systems with natural ventilation systems, to improve energy efficiency.

  • Recommend design modifications to eliminate machine or system malfunctions.

  • Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, or repair to ensure that machines or equipment are installed and functioning according to specifications.

  • Apply engineering principles or practices to emerging fields, such as robotics, waste management, or biomedical engineering.

  • Assist drafters in developing the structural design of products, using drafting tools or computer-assisted drafting equipment or software.

  • Provide feedback to design engineers on customer problems or needs.

  • Write performance requirements for product development or engineering projects.

  • Investigate equipment failures or difficulties to diagnose faulty operation and recommend remedial actions.

  • Conduct research that tests or analyzes the feasibility, design, operation, or performance of equipment, components, or systems.

  • Research and analyze customer design proposals, specifications, manuals, or other data to evaluate the feasibility, cost, or maintenance requirements of designs or applications.

  • Study industrial processes to maximize the efficiency of equipment applications, including equipment placement.

  • Develop, coordinate, or monitor all aspects of production, including selection of manufacturing methods, fabrication, or operation of product designs.

  • Estimate costs or submit bids for engineering, construction, or extraction projects.

  • Design test control apparatus or equipment or develop procedures for testing products.

  • Research, design, evaluate, install, operate, or maintain mechanical products, equipment, systems or processes to meet requirements.

  • Read and interpret blueprints, technical drawings, schematics, or computer-generated reports.

  • Specify system components or direct modification of products to ensure conformance with engineering design, performance specifications, or environmental regulations.

  • Provide technical customer service.

Technologies & Software

  • Perl
  • Puppet
  • Python
  • ReliaSoft Alta 6 Pro
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Failure mode and effects analysis FMEA software
  • C
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • Mathsoft Mathcad
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Hewlett-Packard HP Graphics Language HPGL
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computer numerical control CNC software
  • Motion analysis software
  • Bill of materials software
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft SQL Server
  • InnovMetric PolyWorks
  • Reliability analysis software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Project
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Design of experiments DOE software
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • C++
  • GitHub Copilot
  • AutoCAD AI
  • SAP software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Video analysis software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Finite element method FEM software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Gemini Code Assist
  • Reverse engineering software
  • Mesh generation software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • ReliaSoft BlockSim
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Rockwell Automation software
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Optical analysis software
  • MAYA Nastran
  • Grid generation software
  • Computer aided design and drafting software CADD
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computational fluid dynamics CFD software
  • Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications VBA
  • Cost estimating software
  • Ladder Logic
  • Statistical software
  • Human machine interface HMI software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • UGS I-DEAS
  • Zemax
  • Failure assessment software
  • Chef
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • MUMPS M
  • Autodesk AI
  • Blue Ridge Numerics CFDesign
  • Intergraph Plant Design System PDS
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • IBM Notes
  • Life cycle cost software
  • Verilog
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • G-code
  • Microsoft Dynamics
  • Shell script
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • SolidWorks COSMOSWorks
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Metrix Imageware Surfacer
  • Adobe ActionScript
  • ANSYS simulation software
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Statistical energy analysis SEA software
  • Microsoft Visual Basic
  • Rapid prototyping software
  • ANSYS AI Simulation
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ReliaSoft Weibull++ 6
  • Blink
  • Perplexity AI
  • Accelerated life testing software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • SmugMug Flickr
  • Sigmetrix CETOL 6 Sigma
  • Data acquisition software
  • Bentley MicroStation
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Lambda Research OSLO
  • R
  • Perforce Helix software
  • Minitab
  • Modal analysis software
  • Teradata Database
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Function generators
  • Contact lithography equipment
  • Chemical-mechanical polishing equipment
  • Nano indentation systems
  • Spin-coaters
  • Multi-pen plotters
  • Torsional converters
  • Optical laser scanners
  • Laser Doppler anemometers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Steppers
  • Vibration isolators
  • Multimeters
  • Optical sensors
  • Oscilloscopes
  • Aligners
  • Computed tomography CT systems
  • Position transducers
  • Stylus profilometers
  • Digital to analog converters
  • Anodic wafer bonding systems
  • Wire electrical discharge machines
  • Personal computers
  • Scanning probe microscopes SPM
  • Interferometers
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Heat exchangers
  • Contact testers
  • Supersonic wind tunnels
  • Video editing equipment
  • Velocity transducers
  • Laser Doppler velocimeters LDV
  • Sputtering systems
  • Wire bonders
  • Torque transducers
  • Deep reactive ion etchers DRIE
  • Projection lithography equipment
  • Evaporation systems
  • Acoustic emission AE sensors
  • X ray radiographic systems
  • Vibration control systems
  • Subsonic wind tunnels
  • Wafer bonding systems
  • Wafer dicing saws
  • Vapor deposition tube furnaces
  • Servohydraulic material testing machines
  • Fluorescence spectrometers
  • Cryogenic apparatus
  • Air compressors
  • Radio frequency sensors
  • Strain gauges
  • Dynamometers
  • Surface profilometers
  • Dynamic strain indicators
  • Fused deposition modeling FDM machines
  • Environmental testing chambers
  • Laser digitizers
  • Analog to digital converters
  • Precision positioning tables
  • Scanning electron microscopes SEM
  • Interferometric microscopes
  • Force transducers
  • Accelerometers
  • Vibration testers
  • Rapid thermal processing systems
  • Photoelastic testing machines
  • Pattern generators
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Flip-chip wafer bonding systems
  • Ellipsometers
  • Infrared thermography cameras
  • Digital particle image velocimeters
  • Plasma etchers
  • X ray tubes
  • Scanning tunneling microscopes STM

Alternative Job Titles