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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Extension Forester” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #43 of 702. Estimated risk: 0.8%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Extension Forester” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

45%

“Extension Forester” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 45% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Foresters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Manage public and private forested lands for economic, recreational, and conservation purposes. May inventory the type, amount, and location of standing timber, appraise the timber's worth, negotiate the purchase, and draw up contracts for procurement. May determine how to conserve wildlife habitats, creek beds, water quality, and soil stability, and how best to comply with environmental regulations. May devise plans for planting and growing new trees, monitor trees for healthy growth, and determine optimal harvesting schedules.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,670
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.90
Available Jobs (US) 9,650
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Foresters #19-1032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Foresters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor wildlife populations and assess the impacts of forest operations on population and habitats.

  • Subcontract with loggers or pulpwood cutters for tree removal and to aid in road layout.

  • Negotiate terms and conditions of agreements and contracts for forest harvesting, forest management and leasing of forest lands.

  • Determine methods of cutting and removing timber with minimum waste and environmental damage.

  • Study different tree species' classification, life history, light and soil requirements, adaptation to new environmental conditions and resistance to disease and insects.

  • Map forest area soils and vegetation to estimate the amount of standing timber and future value and growth.

  • Develop new techniques for wood or residue use.

  • Plan and direct forest surveys and related studies and prepare reports and recommendations.

  • Provide advice and recommendations, as a consultant on forestry issues, to private woodlot owners, firefighters, government agencies or to companies.

  • Plan cutting programs and manage timber sales from harvested areas, assisting companies to achieve production goals.

  • Analyze effect of forest conditions on tree growth rates and tree species prevalence and the yield, duration, seed production, growth viability, and germination of different species.

  • Procure timber from private landowners.

  • Choose and prepare sites for new trees, using controlled burning, bulldozers, or herbicides to clear weeds, brush, and logging debris.

  • Plan and direct construction and maintenance of recreation facilities, fire towers, trails, roads and bridges, ensuring that they comply with guidelines and regulations set for forested public lands.

  • Perform inspections of forests or forest nurseries.

  • Conduct public educational programs on forest care and conservation.

  • Plan and supervise forestry projects, such as determining the type, number and placement of trees to be planted, managing tree nurseries, thinning forest and monitoring growth of new seedlings.

  • Supervise activities of other forestry workers.

  • Direct, and participate in, forest fire suppression.

  • Plan and implement projects for conservation of wildlife habitats and soil and water quality.

  • Contact local forest owners and gain permission to take inventory of the type, amount, and location of all standing timber on the property.

  • Monitor contract compliance and results of forestry activities to assure adherence to government regulations.

  • Develop techniques for measuring and identifying trees.

  • Establish short- and long-term plans for management of forest lands and forest resources.

  • Monitor forest-cleared lands to ensure that they are reclaimed to their most suitable end use.

Technologies & Software

  • Work scheduling software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Consensus
  • Elicit
  • Scite AI
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • IBM Notes
  • Perplexity AI
  • Fountains Forestry TwoDog
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Forest Metrix
  • SMART service management and route tracking software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Web browser software
  • Forest vegetation simulators
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Mapping software
  • Global positioning system GPS software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Trimble CENGEA
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Forest yield software
  • Hip chains
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Personal computers
  • Multipurpose front end loaders
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Steel measuring tapes
  • Hand saws
  • Weed sprayers
  • Handheld dataloggers
  • Tablet computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital clinometers
  • Computer laser printers
  • Hand pruners
  • Bucket trucks
  • Forestry axes
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Chainsaws
  • Stump grinders
  • Computer data input scanners
  • Multipurpose skid steer loaders
  • Tree scale sticks
  • Power loppers
  • All-terrain vehicles ATV
  • Navigational compasses
  • Power pruners
  • Pole pruners
  • Brush chippers