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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Forest Pathologist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #43 of 702. Estimated risk: 0.8%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Forest Pathologist” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

45%

“Forest Pathologist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 45% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Foresters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Manage public and private forested lands for economic, recreational, and conservation purposes. May inventory the type, amount, and location of standing timber, appraise the timber's worth, negotiate the purchase, and draw up contracts for procurement. May determine how to conserve wildlife habitats, creek beds, water quality, and soil stability, and how best to comply with environmental regulations. May devise plans for planting and growing new trees, monitor trees for healthy growth, and determine optimal harvesting schedules.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,670
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.90
Available Jobs (US) 9,650
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Foresters #19-1032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Foresters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor contract compliance and results of forestry activities to assure adherence to government regulations.

  • Develop new techniques for wood or residue use.

  • Contact local forest owners and gain permission to take inventory of the type, amount, and location of all standing timber on the property.

  • Map forest area soils and vegetation to estimate the amount of standing timber and future value and growth.

  • Choose and prepare sites for new trees, using controlled burning, bulldozers, or herbicides to clear weeds, brush, and logging debris.

  • Subcontract with loggers or pulpwood cutters for tree removal and to aid in road layout.

  • Conduct public educational programs on forest care and conservation.

  • Plan and implement projects for conservation of wildlife habitats and soil and water quality.

  • Analyze effect of forest conditions on tree growth rates and tree species prevalence and the yield, duration, seed production, growth viability, and germination of different species.

  • Plan and direct forest surveys and related studies and prepare reports and recommendations.

  • Establish short- and long-term plans for management of forest lands and forest resources.

  • Monitor forest-cleared lands to ensure that they are reclaimed to their most suitable end use.

  • Direct, and participate in, forest fire suppression.

  • Supervise activities of other forestry workers.

  • Plan and direct construction and maintenance of recreation facilities, fire towers, trails, roads and bridges, ensuring that they comply with guidelines and regulations set for forested public lands.

  • Plan and supervise forestry projects, such as determining the type, number and placement of trees to be planted, managing tree nurseries, thinning forest and monitoring growth of new seedlings.

  • Study different tree species' classification, life history, light and soil requirements, adaptation to new environmental conditions and resistance to disease and insects.

  • Perform inspections of forests or forest nurseries.

  • Plan cutting programs and manage timber sales from harvested areas, assisting companies to achieve production goals.

  • Monitor wildlife populations and assess the impacts of forest operations on population and habitats.

  • Determine methods of cutting and removing timber with minimum waste and environmental damage.

  • Provide advice and recommendations, as a consultant on forestry issues, to private woodlot owners, firefighters, government agencies or to companies.

  • Develop techniques for measuring and identifying trees.

  • Negotiate terms and conditions of agreements and contracts for forest harvesting, forest management and leasing of forest lands.

  • Procure timber from private landowners.

Technologies & Software

  • Mapping software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Global positioning system GPS software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Scite AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Forest Metrix
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Trimble CENGEA
  • Work scheduling software
  • SMART service management and route tracking software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • IBM Notes
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Consensus
  • Perplexity AI
  • Elicit
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Access
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Forest vegetation simulators
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Forest yield software
  • Fountains Forestry TwoDog
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Bucket trucks
  • Handheld dataloggers
  • Chainsaws
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Digital clinometers
  • Power pruners
  • All-terrain vehicles ATV
  • Steel measuring tapes
  • Multipurpose front end loaders
  • Hand pruners
  • Personal computers
  • Computer data input scanners
  • Weed sprayers
  • Computer laser printers
  • Tablet computers
  • Multipurpose skid steer loaders
  • Navigational compasses
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Hip chains
  • Brush chippers
  • Hand saws
  • Pole pruners
  • Laptop computers
  • Forestry axes
  • Tree scale sticks
  • Stump grinders
  • Power loppers