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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Forest Manager” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #43 of 702. Estimated risk: 0.8%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Forest Manager” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

45%

“Forest Manager” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 45% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Foresters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Manage public and private forested lands for economic, recreational, and conservation purposes. May inventory the type, amount, and location of standing timber, appraise the timber's worth, negotiate the purchase, and draw up contracts for procurement. May determine how to conserve wildlife habitats, creek beds, water quality, and soil stability, and how best to comply with environmental regulations. May devise plans for planting and growing new trees, monitor trees for healthy growth, and determine optimal harvesting schedules.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,670
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.90
Available Jobs (US) 9,650
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Foresters #19-1032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Foresters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Procure timber from private landowners.

  • Map forest area soils and vegetation to estimate the amount of standing timber and future value and growth.

  • Study different tree species' classification, life history, light and soil requirements, adaptation to new environmental conditions and resistance to disease and insects.

  • Plan and implement projects for conservation of wildlife habitats and soil and water quality.

  • Plan cutting programs and manage timber sales from harvested areas, assisting companies to achieve production goals.

  • Provide advice and recommendations, as a consultant on forestry issues, to private woodlot owners, firefighters, government agencies or to companies.

  • Contact local forest owners and gain permission to take inventory of the type, amount, and location of all standing timber on the property.

  • Plan and direct forest surveys and related studies and prepare reports and recommendations.

  • Plan and direct construction and maintenance of recreation facilities, fire towers, trails, roads and bridges, ensuring that they comply with guidelines and regulations set for forested public lands.

  • Perform inspections of forests or forest nurseries.

  • Develop new techniques for wood or residue use.

  • Choose and prepare sites for new trees, using controlled burning, bulldozers, or herbicides to clear weeds, brush, and logging debris.

  • Determine methods of cutting and removing timber with minimum waste and environmental damage.

  • Monitor forest-cleared lands to ensure that they are reclaimed to their most suitable end use.

  • Direct, and participate in, forest fire suppression.

  • Conduct public educational programs on forest care and conservation.

  • Plan and supervise forestry projects, such as determining the type, number and placement of trees to be planted, managing tree nurseries, thinning forest and monitoring growth of new seedlings.

  • Negotiate terms and conditions of agreements and contracts for forest harvesting, forest management and leasing of forest lands.

  • Subcontract with loggers or pulpwood cutters for tree removal and to aid in road layout.

  • Analyze effect of forest conditions on tree growth rates and tree species prevalence and the yield, duration, seed production, growth viability, and germination of different species.

  • Supervise activities of other forestry workers.

  • Monitor wildlife populations and assess the impacts of forest operations on population and habitats.

  • Monitor contract compliance and results of forestry activities to assure adherence to government regulations.

  • Establish short- and long-term plans for management of forest lands and forest resources.

  • Develop techniques for measuring and identifying trees.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Forest yield software
  • Scite AI
  • Trimble CENGEA
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Fountains Forestry TwoDog
  • Work scheduling software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Forest Metrix
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Global positioning system GPS software
  • Microsoft Word
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Elicit
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Forest vegetation simulators
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • SMART service management and route tracking software
  • Web browser software
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Mapping software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Stump grinders
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Hip chains
  • Tablet computers
  • Bucket trucks
  • Hand saws
  • Power pruners
  • Hand pruners
  • Pole pruners
  • Multipurpose skid steer loaders
  • Chainsaws
  • Brush chippers
  • Computer data input scanners
  • Handheld dataloggers
  • All-terrain vehicles ATV
  • Tree scale sticks
  • Weed sprayers
  • Personal computers
  • Navigational compasses
  • Forestry axes
  • Digital clinometers
  • Power loppers
  • Laptop computers
  • Steel measuring tapes
  • Computer laser printers
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Multipurpose front end loaders
  • Backpack sprayers