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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Urban Forester” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #43 of 702. Estimated risk: 0.8%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Urban Forester” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

45%

“Urban Forester” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 45% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Foresters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Manage public and private forested lands for economic, recreational, and conservation purposes. May inventory the type, amount, and location of standing timber, appraise the timber's worth, negotiate the purchase, and draw up contracts for procurement. May determine how to conserve wildlife habitats, creek beds, water quality, and soil stability, and how best to comply with environmental regulations. May devise plans for planting and growing new trees, monitor trees for healthy growth, and determine optimal harvesting schedules.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,670
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.90
Available Jobs (US) 9,650
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Foresters #19-1032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Foresters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Analyze effect of forest conditions on tree growth rates and tree species prevalence and the yield, duration, seed production, growth viability, and germination of different species.

  • Perform inspections of forests or forest nurseries.

  • Plan and direct forest surveys and related studies and prepare reports and recommendations.

  • Plan and direct construction and maintenance of recreation facilities, fire towers, trails, roads and bridges, ensuring that they comply with guidelines and regulations set for forested public lands.

  • Contact local forest owners and gain permission to take inventory of the type, amount, and location of all standing timber on the property.

  • Direct, and participate in, forest fire suppression.

  • Plan and supervise forestry projects, such as determining the type, number and placement of trees to be planted, managing tree nurseries, thinning forest and monitoring growth of new seedlings.

  • Plan and implement projects for conservation of wildlife habitats and soil and water quality.

  • Negotiate terms and conditions of agreements and contracts for forest harvesting, forest management and leasing of forest lands.

  • Determine methods of cutting and removing timber with minimum waste and environmental damage.

  • Provide advice and recommendations, as a consultant on forestry issues, to private woodlot owners, firefighters, government agencies or to companies.

  • Subcontract with loggers or pulpwood cutters for tree removal and to aid in road layout.

  • Develop techniques for measuring and identifying trees.

  • Develop new techniques for wood or residue use.

  • Monitor wildlife populations and assess the impacts of forest operations on population and habitats.

  • Conduct public educational programs on forest care and conservation.

  • Map forest area soils and vegetation to estimate the amount of standing timber and future value and growth.

  • Establish short- and long-term plans for management of forest lands and forest resources.

  • Supervise activities of other forestry workers.

  • Monitor forest-cleared lands to ensure that they are reclaimed to their most suitable end use.

  • Study different tree species' classification, life history, light and soil requirements, adaptation to new environmental conditions and resistance to disease and insects.

  • Monitor contract compliance and results of forestry activities to assure adherence to government regulations.

  • Procure timber from private landowners.

  • Plan cutting programs and manage timber sales from harvested areas, assisting companies to achieve production goals.

  • Choose and prepare sites for new trees, using controlled burning, bulldozers, or herbicides to clear weeds, brush, and logging debris.

Technologies & Software

  • IBM Notes
  • Forest Metrix
  • Forest yield software
  • Global positioning system GPS software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ESRI ArcView
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Forest vegetation simulators
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • SMART service management and route tracking software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Mapping software
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Perplexity AI
  • Fountains Forestry TwoDog
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Trimble CENGEA
  • Work scheduling software
  • Scite AI
  • Elicit
  • Digital clinometers
  • Brush chippers
  • Hand saws
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Pole pruners
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Computer laser printers
  • Multipurpose front end loaders
  • Personal computers
  • Chainsaws
  • Steel measuring tapes
  • Multipurpose skid steer loaders
  • Weed sprayers
  • Handheld dataloggers
  • Navigational compasses
  • Forestry axes
  • Tree scale sticks
  • Bucket trucks
  • Hip chains
  • Tablet computers
  • All-terrain vehicles ATV
  • Computer data input scanners
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Power pruners
  • Stump grinders
  • Hand pruners
  • Laptop computers
  • Power loppers