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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Civil Defense Director” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #3 of 702. Estimated risk: 0.3%

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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Civil Defense Director” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

37%

“Civil Defense Director” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 37% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Emergency Management Directors, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Plan and direct disaster response or crisis management activities, provide disaster preparedness training, and prepare emergency plans and procedures for natural (e.g., hurricanes, floods, earthquakes), wartime, or technological (e.g., nuclear power plant emergencies or hazardous materials spills) disasters or hostage situations.

Avg. Annual Salary $97,700
Avg. Hourly Wage $46.97
Available Jobs (US) 12,570
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Emergency Management Directors #11-9161
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Emergency Management Directors”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop instructional materials for the public and make presentations to citizens' groups to provide information on emergency plans and their implementation processes.

  • Review emergency plans of individual organizations, such as medical facilities, to ensure their adequacy.

  • Develop and implement training procedures and strategies for radiological protection, detection, and decontamination.

  • Consult with officials of local and area governments, schools, hospitals, and other institutions to determine their needs and capabilities in the event of a natural disaster or other emergency.

  • Apply for federal funding for emergency-management-related needs, and administer and report on the progress of such grants.

  • Collaborate with other officials to prepare and analyze damage assessments following disasters or emergencies.

  • Attend meetings, conferences, and workshops related to emergency management to learn new information and to develop working relationships with other emergency management specialists.

  • Keep informed of activities or changes that could affect the likelihood of an emergency, response efforts, or plan implementation.

  • Develop and perform tests and evaluations of emergency management plans in accordance with state and federal regulations.

  • Study emergency plans used elsewhere to gather information for plan development.

  • Prepare emergency situation status reports that describe response and recovery efforts, needs, and preliminary damage assessments.

  • Train local groups in the preparation of long-term plans that are compatible with federal and state plans.

  • Inventory and distribute nuclear, biological, and chemical detection and contamination equipment, providing instruction in its maintenance and use.

  • Coordinate disaster response or crisis management activities, such as ordering evacuations, opening public shelters, and implementing special needs plans and programs.

  • Maintain and update all resource materials associated with emergency preparedness plans.

  • Provide communities with assistance in applying for federal funding for emergency management facilities, radiological instrumentation, and related items.

  • Keep informed of federal, state, and local regulations affecting emergency plans, and ensure that plans adhere to those regulations.

  • Develop and maintain liaisons with municipalities, county departments, and similar entities to facilitate plan development, response effort coordination, and exchanges of personnel and equipment.

  • Design and administer emergency or disaster preparedness training courses that teach people how to effectively respond to major emergencies and disasters.

  • Propose alteration of emergency response procedures, based on regulatory changes, technological changes, or knowledge gained from outcomes of previous emergency situations.

  • Prepare plans that outline operating procedures to be used in response to disasters or emergencies, such as hurricanes, nuclear accidents, and terrorist attacks, and in recovery from these events.

  • Inspect facilities and equipment, such as emergency management centers and communications equipment, to determine their operational and functional capabilities in emergency situations.

  • Conduct surveys to determine the types of emergency-related needs to be addressed in disaster planning, or provide technical support to others conducting such surveys.

Technologies & Software

  • Desktop publishing software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Sungard Assurance
  • Motion (AI Scheduler)
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Emergency Services Integrators ESi WebEOC
  • Statistical software
  • Alert Technologies OpsCenter
  • Digital Engineering Corporation E-MAPS
  • IBM Lotus Notes
  • MapInfo Professional
  • Federal Emergency Management Information System FEMIS
  • Napkin AI
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Graphics software
  • Perplexity AI
  • SoftRisk Technologies SoftRisk SQL
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Otter.ai
  • Fireflies.ai
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • McAfee
  • Notion AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Web browser software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Relational database software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • National Center for Crisis and Continuity Coordination NC4 E Team
  • Emergency Managers Weather Information Network EMWIN
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Desktop computers
  • Emergency alert notification systems
  • Hard hats
  • Radiation detectors
  • Chemical protective clothing
  • Personal computers
  • Two way radios
  • Protective hoods
  • Laptop computers
  • Safety gloves
  • Chemical protective boots