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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Box Chipper” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #502 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Box Chipper” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Box Chipper” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Forest and Conservation Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Under supervision, perform manual labor necessary to develop, maintain, or protect areas such as forests, forested areas, woodlands, wetlands, and rangelands through such activities as raising and transporting seedlings; combating insects, pests, and diseases harmful to plant life; and building structures to control water, erosion, and leaching of soil. Includes forester aides, seedling pullers, tree planters, and gatherers of nontimber forestry products such as pine straw.

Avg. Annual Salary $42,830
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.59
Available Jobs (US) 5,630
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Forest and Conservation Workers #45-4011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Forest and Conservation Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Sort tree seedlings, discarding substandard seedlings, according to standard charts or verbal instructions.

  • Maintain campsites or recreational areas, replenishing firewood or other supplies and cleaning kitchens or restrooms.

  • Erect signs or fences, using posthole diggers, shovels, or other hand tools.

  • Identify diseased or undesirable trees and remove them, using power saws or hand saws.

  • Operate skidders, bulldozers, or other prime movers to pull a variety of scarification or site preparation equipment over areas to be regenerated.

  • Check equipment to ensure that it is operating properly.

  • Select or cut trees according to markings or sizes, types, or grades.

  • Confer with other workers to discuss issues, such as safety, cutting heights, or work needs.

  • Provide assistance to forest survey crews by clearing site-lines, holding measuring tools, or setting stakes.

  • Perform fire protection or suppression duties, such as constructing fire breaks or disposing of brush.

  • Select tree seedlings, prepare the ground, or plant the trees in reforestation areas, using manual planting tools.

  • Spray or inject vegetation with insecticides to kill insects or to protect against disease or with herbicides to reduce competing vegetation.

  • Thin or space trees, using power thinning saws.

  • Maintain tallies of trees examined and counted during tree marking or measuring efforts.

  • Explain or enforce regulations regarding camping, vehicle use, fires, use of buildings, or sanitation.

  • Prune or shear tree tops or limbs to control growth, increase density, or improve shape.

  • Fight forest fires or perform prescribed burning tasks under the direction of fire suppression officers or forestry technicians.

Technologies & Software

  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Taranis AI
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Word
  • IBM Lotus Notes
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • DeepSeek
  • Blue River Technology AI
  • Microsoft Project
  • John Deere AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Word processing software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Climate FieldView
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Planting drills
  • Fire trucks
  • Herbicide sprayers
  • Spray guns
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Fire plows
  • Electronic measuring devices
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Measuring tapes
  • Harvesting machines
  • Portable ladders
  • Water pumps
  • Power drills
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Directional compasses
  • Loppers
  • Spades
  • Riding mowers
  • Weedeaters
  • Mattocks
  • Epicormic knives
  • Geodetic ground global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Dibblers
  • Backhoes
  • Hand saws
  • Claw hammers
  • Protective ear muffs
  • Pruning saws
  • Personal computers
  • Two way radios
  • Hard hats
  • Motorboats
  • Brush hogs
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Portable data collectors
  • Chain saws
  • Dump trucks