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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Christmas Tree Grader” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #502 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Christmas Tree Grader” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Christmas Tree Grader” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Forest and Conservation Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Under supervision, perform manual labor necessary to develop, maintain, or protect areas such as forests, forested areas, woodlands, wetlands, and rangelands through such activities as raising and transporting seedlings; combating insects, pests, and diseases harmful to plant life; and building structures to control water, erosion, and leaching of soil. Includes forester aides, seedling pullers, tree planters, and gatherers of nontimber forestry products such as pine straw.

Avg. Annual Salary $42,830
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.59
Available Jobs (US) 5,630
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Forest and Conservation Workers #45-4011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Forest and Conservation Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Select tree seedlings, prepare the ground, or plant the trees in reforestation areas, using manual planting tools.

  • Maintain tallies of trees examined and counted during tree marking or measuring efforts.

  • Identify diseased or undesirable trees and remove them, using power saws or hand saws.

  • Explain or enforce regulations regarding camping, vehicle use, fires, use of buildings, or sanitation.

  • Perform fire protection or suppression duties, such as constructing fire breaks or disposing of brush.

  • Maintain campsites or recreational areas, replenishing firewood or other supplies and cleaning kitchens or restrooms.

  • Confer with other workers to discuss issues, such as safety, cutting heights, or work needs.

  • Provide assistance to forest survey crews by clearing site-lines, holding measuring tools, or setting stakes.

  • Spray or inject vegetation with insecticides to kill insects or to protect against disease or with herbicides to reduce competing vegetation.

  • Fight forest fires or perform prescribed burning tasks under the direction of fire suppression officers or forestry technicians.

  • Prune or shear tree tops or limbs to control growth, increase density, or improve shape.

  • Thin or space trees, using power thinning saws.

  • Check equipment to ensure that it is operating properly.

  • Erect signs or fences, using posthole diggers, shovels, or other hand tools.

  • Select or cut trees according to markings or sizes, types, or grades.

  • Operate skidders, bulldozers, or other prime movers to pull a variety of scarification or site preparation equipment over areas to be regenerated.

  • Sort tree seedlings, discarding substandard seedlings, according to standard charts or verbal instructions.

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  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Taranis AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Database software
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Word processing software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Directional compasses
  • Electronic measuring devices
  • Hand saws
  • Brush hogs
  • Mattocks
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Weedeaters
  • Hard hats
  • Water pumps
  • Spades
  • Riding mowers
  • Geodetic ground global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Harvesting machines
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Dump trucks
  • Personal computers
  • Fire plows
  • Protective ear muffs
  • Measuring tapes
  • Chain saws
  • Portable data collectors
  • Motorboats
  • Portable ladders
  • Herbicide sprayers
  • Dibblers
  • Backhoes
  • Fire trucks
  • Planting drills
  • Pruning saws
  • Spray guns
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Two way radios
  • Loppers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Epicormic knives
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Power drills
  • Claw hammers