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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Christmas Tree Grower” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #502 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Christmas Tree Grower” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Christmas Tree Grower” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Forest and Conservation Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Under supervision, perform manual labor necessary to develop, maintain, or protect areas such as forests, forested areas, woodlands, wetlands, and rangelands through such activities as raising and transporting seedlings; combating insects, pests, and diseases harmful to plant life; and building structures to control water, erosion, and leaching of soil. Includes forester aides, seedling pullers, tree planters, and gatherers of nontimber forestry products such as pine straw.

Avg. Annual Salary $42,830
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.59
Available Jobs (US) 5,630
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Forest and Conservation Workers #45-4011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Forest and Conservation Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Prune or shear tree tops or limbs to control growth, increase density, or improve shape.

  • Perform fire protection or suppression duties, such as constructing fire breaks or disposing of brush.

  • Explain or enforce regulations regarding camping, vehicle use, fires, use of buildings, or sanitation.

  • Spray or inject vegetation with insecticides to kill insects or to protect against disease or with herbicides to reduce competing vegetation.

  • Thin or space trees, using power thinning saws.

  • Erect signs or fences, using posthole diggers, shovels, or other hand tools.

  • Check equipment to ensure that it is operating properly.

  • Identify diseased or undesirable trees and remove them, using power saws or hand saws.

  • Sort tree seedlings, discarding substandard seedlings, according to standard charts or verbal instructions.

  • Fight forest fires or perform prescribed burning tasks under the direction of fire suppression officers or forestry technicians.

  • Provide assistance to forest survey crews by clearing site-lines, holding measuring tools, or setting stakes.

  • Maintain campsites or recreational areas, replenishing firewood or other supplies and cleaning kitchens or restrooms.

  • Operate skidders, bulldozers, or other prime movers to pull a variety of scarification or site preparation equipment over areas to be regenerated.

  • Select or cut trees according to markings or sizes, types, or grades.

  • Confer with other workers to discuss issues, such as safety, cutting heights, or work needs.

  • Maintain tallies of trees examined and counted during tree marking or measuring efforts.

  • Select tree seedlings, prepare the ground, or plant the trees in reforestation areas, using manual planting tools.

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  • Geographic information system GIS systems
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  • Claude (Anthropic)
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  • Blue River Technology AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • John Deere AI
  • Microsoft Windows
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  • Word processing software
  • Database software
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  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Project
  • Mattocks
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Electronic measuring devices
  • Portable ladders
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Epicormic knives
  • Geodetic ground global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Fire trucks
  • Dump trucks
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Weedeaters
  • Two way radios
  • Directional compasses
  • Measuring tapes
  • Hard hats
  • Spray guns
  • Portable data collectors
  • Claw hammers
  • Dibblers
  • Brush hogs
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Herbicide sprayers
  • Planting drills
  • Pruning saws
  • Personal computers
  • Spades
  • Backhoes
  • Riding mowers
  • Power drills
  • Fire plows
  • Chain saws
  • Hand saws
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Loppers
  • Motorboats
  • Harvesting machines
  • Protective ear muffs
  • Water pumps