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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tree Farmer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #502 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Tree Farmer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Tree Farmer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Forest and Conservation Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Under supervision, perform manual labor necessary to develop, maintain, or protect areas such as forests, forested areas, woodlands, wetlands, and rangelands through such activities as raising and transporting seedlings; combating insects, pests, and diseases harmful to plant life; and building structures to control water, erosion, and leaching of soil. Includes forester aides, seedling pullers, tree planters, and gatherers of nontimber forestry products such as pine straw.

Avg. Annual Salary $42,830
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.59
Available Jobs (US) 5,630
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Forest and Conservation Workers #45-4011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Forest and Conservation Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain tallies of trees examined and counted during tree marking or measuring efforts.

  • Provide assistance to forest survey crews by clearing site-lines, holding measuring tools, or setting stakes.

  • Sort tree seedlings, discarding substandard seedlings, according to standard charts or verbal instructions.

  • Operate skidders, bulldozers, or other prime movers to pull a variety of scarification or site preparation equipment over areas to be regenerated.

  • Check equipment to ensure that it is operating properly.

  • Maintain campsites or recreational areas, replenishing firewood or other supplies and cleaning kitchens or restrooms.

  • Perform fire protection or suppression duties, such as constructing fire breaks or disposing of brush.

  • Spray or inject vegetation with insecticides to kill insects or to protect against disease or with herbicides to reduce competing vegetation.

  • Explain or enforce regulations regarding camping, vehicle use, fires, use of buildings, or sanitation.

  • Thin or space trees, using power thinning saws.

  • Erect signs or fences, using posthole diggers, shovels, or other hand tools.

  • Prune or shear tree tops or limbs to control growth, increase density, or improve shape.

  • Select tree seedlings, prepare the ground, or plant the trees in reforestation areas, using manual planting tools.

  • Select or cut trees according to markings or sizes, types, or grades.

  • Fight forest fires or perform prescribed burning tasks under the direction of fire suppression officers or forestry technicians.

  • Identify diseased or undesirable trees and remove them, using power saws or hand saws.

  • Confer with other workers to discuss issues, such as safety, cutting heights, or work needs.

Technologies & Software

  • Database software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • IBM Lotus Notes
  • Taranis AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Blue River Technology AI
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Word processing software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Climate FieldView
  • Microsoft Access
  • John Deere AI
  • Microsoft Project
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Directional compasses
  • Measuring tapes
  • Power drills
  • Claw hammers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Spray guns
  • Electronic measuring devices
  • Loppers
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Weedeaters
  • Harvesting machines
  • Portable ladders
  • Dump trucks
  • Hard hats
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Epicormic knives
  • Planting drills
  • Dibblers
  • Hand saws
  • Chain saws
  • Backhoes
  • Riding mowers
  • Portable data collectors
  • Protective ear muffs
  • Geodetic ground global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Fire trucks
  • Two way radios
  • Fire plows
  • Personal computers
  • Herbicide sprayers
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Water pumps
  • Brush hogs
  • Pruning saws
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Mattocks
  • Motorboats
  • Spades