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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tree Sapper” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #502 of 702. Estimated risk: 87.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Tree Sapper” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Tree Sapper” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Forest and Conservation Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Under supervision, perform manual labor necessary to develop, maintain, or protect areas such as forests, forested areas, woodlands, wetlands, and rangelands through such activities as raising and transporting seedlings; combating insects, pests, and diseases harmful to plant life; and building structures to control water, erosion, and leaching of soil. Includes forester aides, seedling pullers, tree planters, and gatherers of nontimber forestry products such as pine straw.

Avg. Annual Salary $42,830
Avg. Hourly Wage $20.59
Available Jobs (US) 5,630
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Forest and Conservation Workers #45-4011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Forest and Conservation Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Select tree seedlings, prepare the ground, or plant the trees in reforestation areas, using manual planting tools.

  • Identify diseased or undesirable trees and remove them, using power saws or hand saws.

  • Erect signs or fences, using posthole diggers, shovels, or other hand tools.

  • Spray or inject vegetation with insecticides to kill insects or to protect against disease or with herbicides to reduce competing vegetation.

  • Maintain tallies of trees examined and counted during tree marking or measuring efforts.

  • Operate skidders, bulldozers, or other prime movers to pull a variety of scarification or site preparation equipment over areas to be regenerated.

  • Thin or space trees, using power thinning saws.

  • Select or cut trees according to markings or sizes, types, or grades.

  • Provide assistance to forest survey crews by clearing site-lines, holding measuring tools, or setting stakes.

  • Confer with other workers to discuss issues, such as safety, cutting heights, or work needs.

  • Maintain campsites or recreational areas, replenishing firewood or other supplies and cleaning kitchens or restrooms.

  • Fight forest fires or perform prescribed burning tasks under the direction of fire suppression officers or forestry technicians.

  • Explain or enforce regulations regarding camping, vehicle use, fires, use of buildings, or sanitation.

  • Prune or shear tree tops or limbs to control growth, increase density, or improve shape.

  • Perform fire protection or suppression duties, such as constructing fire breaks or disposing of brush.

  • Check equipment to ensure that it is operating properly.

  • Sort tree seedlings, discarding substandard seedlings, according to standard charts or verbal instructions.

Technologies & Software

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  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Word processing software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Taranis AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • IBM Lotus Notes
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Project
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • John Deere AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Motorboats
  • Directional compasses
  • Backhoes
  • Two way radios
  • Herbicide sprayers
  • Riding mowers
  • Water pumps
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Portable ladders
  • Chain saws
  • Fire trucks
  • Mattocks
  • Hand saws
  • Spades
  • Electronic measuring devices
  • Loppers
  • Fire plows
  • Backpack sprayers
  • Four wheel drive 4WD vehicles
  • Power drills
  • Weedeaters
  • Claw hammers
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Brush hogs
  • Harvesting machines
  • Epicormic knives
  • Portable data collectors
  • Pruning saws
  • Protective ear muffs
  • Measuring tapes
  • Planting drills
  • Personal computers
  • Spray guns
  • Dibblers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Hard hats
  • Geodetic ground global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Dump trucks