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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Asphalt Paver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #472 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Asphalt Paver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Asphalt Paver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate equipment used for applying concrete, asphalt, or other materials to road beds, parking lots, or airport runways and taxiways or for tamping gravel, dirt, or other materials. Includes concrete and asphalt paving machine operators, form tampers, tamping machine operators, and stone spreader operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,660
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.20
Available Jobs (US) 45,680
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators #47-2071
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Control traffic.

  • Set up forms and lay out guidelines for curbs, according to written specifications, using string, spray paint, and concrete or water mixes.

  • Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.

  • Coordinate truck dumping.

  • Operate oil distributors, loaders, chip spreaders, dump trucks, and snow plows.

  • Operate machines that clean or cut expansion joints in concrete or asphalt and that rout out cracks in pavement.

  • Install dies, cutters, and extensions to screeds onto machines, using hand tools.

  • Cut or break up pavement and drive guardrail posts, using machines equipped with interchangeable hammers.

  • Operate machines to spread, smooth, level, or steel-reinforce stone, concrete, or asphalt on road beds.

  • Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.

  • Control paving machines to push dump trucks and to maintain a constant flow of asphalt or other material into hoppers or screeds.

  • Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.

  • Drive machines onto truck trailers, and drive trucks to transport machines and material to and from job sites.

  • Inspect, clean, maintain, and repair equipment, using mechanics' hand tools, or report malfunctions to supervisors.

  • Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.

  • Place strips of material, such as cork, asphalt, or steel into joints, or place rolls of expansion-joint material on machines that automatically insert material.

  • Set up and tear down equipment.

  • Operate tamping machines or manually roll surfaces to compact earth fills, foundation forms, and finished road materials, according to grade specifications.

  • Shovel blacktop.

  • Drive and operate curbing machines to extrude concrete or asphalt curbing.

Technologies & Software

  • Procore AI
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Buildots AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Time report software
  • Database software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Word processing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Warehouse management system WMS
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Asphalt rakes
  • Pneumatic paving breakers
  • Cold planers
  • Self-propelled material transfer devices
  • Snowplows
  • Compactors
  • Vibrating concrete screeds
  • Robotic paving machines
  • Tamping machines
  • Liquid asphalt storage equipment
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Pavement marking machines
  • Dump trucks
  • Slip form machines
  • Manual rollers
  • Personal computers
  • Pneumatic rollers
  • Road heater-planers
  • Concrete saws
  • Rubber-track asphalt pavers
  • Respirators
  • Two way radios
  • Rolling machines
  • Asphalt paving machines
  • Motor graders
  • Power extendable screeds
  • Oil distributors
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Locking pliers
  • Flatbed truck trailers
  • Rubber-tired asphalt pavers
  • Asphalt mixing equipment
  • Asphalt distributor trucks
  • Paving finishing machines
  • Milling machines
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Windrow pickup machines
  • Automatic paving control systems
  • Hot mix material transfer devices
  • Straightedges
  • Wheel loaders
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Profiling equipment
  • Vibratory rollers
  • Transit levels
  • Jackhammers
  • Claw hammers
  • Concrete paving machines
  • Paving curbing machines
  • Nut drivers
  • Static rollers
  • Chip spreaders
  • Laser levels
  • String lines
  • Asphalt heating equipment
  • Surveying tapes
  • Cold in-place recyclers
  • Desktop computers