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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Asphalt Screedman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #472 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Asphalt Screedman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Asphalt Screedman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate equipment used for applying concrete, asphalt, or other materials to road beds, parking lots, or airport runways and taxiways or for tamping gravel, dirt, or other materials. Includes concrete and asphalt paving machine operators, form tampers, tamping machine operators, and stone spreader operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,660
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.20
Available Jobs (US) 45,680
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators #47-2071
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.

  • Install dies, cutters, and extensions to screeds onto machines, using hand tools.

  • Cut or break up pavement and drive guardrail posts, using machines equipped with interchangeable hammers.

  • Set up and tear down equipment.

  • Drive and operate curbing machines to extrude concrete or asphalt curbing.

  • Coordinate truck dumping.

  • Control paving machines to push dump trucks and to maintain a constant flow of asphalt or other material into hoppers or screeds.

  • Operate tamping machines or manually roll surfaces to compact earth fills, foundation forms, and finished road materials, according to grade specifications.

  • Operate oil distributors, loaders, chip spreaders, dump trucks, and snow plows.

  • Drive machines onto truck trailers, and drive trucks to transport machines and material to and from job sites.

  • Operate machines that clean or cut expansion joints in concrete or asphalt and that rout out cracks in pavement.

  • Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.

  • Shovel blacktop.

  • Set up forms and lay out guidelines for curbs, according to written specifications, using string, spray paint, and concrete or water mixes.

  • Operate machines to spread, smooth, level, or steel-reinforce stone, concrete, or asphalt on road beds.

  • Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.

  • Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.

  • Inspect, clean, maintain, and repair equipment, using mechanics' hand tools, or report malfunctions to supervisors.

  • Control traffic.

  • Place strips of material, such as cork, asphalt, or steel into joints, or place rolls of expansion-joint material on machines that automatically insert material.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Warehouse management system WMS
  • Database software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Spreadsheet software
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Time report software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Buildots AI
  • Word processing software
  • Email software
  • Procore AI
  • Robotic paving machines
  • Nut drivers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Locking pliers
  • Liquid asphalt storage equipment
  • Dump trucks
  • Chip spreaders
  • Wheel loaders
  • Pneumatic paving breakers
  • Pneumatic rollers
  • Paving finishing machines
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Manual rollers
  • Rolling machines
  • Automatic paving control systems
  • Vibrating concrete screeds
  • Asphalt distributor trucks
  • Milling machines
  • Straightedges
  • Respirators
  • Personal computers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Tamping machines
  • Power extendable screeds
  • Slip form machines
  • Vibratory rollers
  • Road heater-planers
  • Pavement marking machines
  • Windrow pickup machines
  • Claw hammers
  • Static rollers
  • Profiling equipment
  • Asphalt heating equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Asphalt paving machines
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Self-propelled material transfer devices
  • Asphalt rakes
  • Rubber-tired asphalt pavers
  • Compactors
  • Two way radios
  • Rubber-track asphalt pavers
  • Flatbed truck trailers
  • Cold planers
  • Snowplows
  • Surveying tapes
  • Asphalt mixing equipment
  • Oil distributors
  • Motor graders
  • String lines
  • Laser levels
  • Transit levels
  • Cold in-place recyclers
  • Concrete paving machines
  • Paving curbing machines
  • Hot mix material transfer devices
  • Jackhammers
  • Concrete saws