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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Asphalt Raker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #472 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Asphalt Raker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Asphalt Raker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate equipment used for applying concrete, asphalt, or other materials to road beds, parking lots, or airport runways and taxiways or for tamping gravel, dirt, or other materials. Includes concrete and asphalt paving machine operators, form tampers, tamping machine operators, and stone spreader operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,660
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.20
Available Jobs (US) 45,680
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators #47-2071
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.

  • Install dies, cutters, and extensions to screeds onto machines, using hand tools.

  • Inspect, clean, maintain, and repair equipment, using mechanics' hand tools, or report malfunctions to supervisors.

  • Operate oil distributors, loaders, chip spreaders, dump trucks, and snow plows.

  • Set up and tear down equipment.

  • Drive machines onto truck trailers, and drive trucks to transport machines and material to and from job sites.

  • Drive and operate curbing machines to extrude concrete or asphalt curbing.

  • Operate machines that clean or cut expansion joints in concrete or asphalt and that rout out cracks in pavement.

  • Set up forms and lay out guidelines for curbs, according to written specifications, using string, spray paint, and concrete or water mixes.

  • Operate machines to spread, smooth, level, or steel-reinforce stone, concrete, or asphalt on road beds.

  • Operate tamping machines or manually roll surfaces to compact earth fills, foundation forms, and finished road materials, according to grade specifications.

  • Cut or break up pavement and drive guardrail posts, using machines equipped with interchangeable hammers.

  • Control traffic.

  • Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.

  • Coordinate truck dumping.

  • Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.

  • Shovel blacktop.

  • Control paving machines to push dump trucks and to maintain a constant flow of asphalt or other material into hoppers or screeds.

  • Place strips of material, such as cork, asphalt, or steel into joints, or place rolls of expansion-joint material on machines that automatically insert material.

  • Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Warehouse management system WMS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Email software
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Database software
  • Time report software
  • Procore AI
  • Word processing software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Buildots AI
  • Asphalt heating equipment
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Power extendable screeds
  • Motor graders
  • Cold in-place recyclers
  • Claw hammers
  • Rubber-tired asphalt pavers
  • Static rollers
  • Automatic paving control systems
  • Road heater-planers
  • Concrete saws
  • Asphalt rakes
  • Paving finishing machines
  • String lines
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Self-propelled material transfer devices
  • Flatbed truck trailers
  • Transit levels
  • Profiling equipment
  • Pneumatic paving breakers
  • Vibratory rollers
  • Wheel loaders
  • Pneumatic rollers
  • Manual rollers
  • Snowplows
  • Pavement marking machines
  • Concrete paving machines
  • Surveying tapes
  • Nut drivers
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Slip form machines
  • Oil distributors
  • Desktop computers
  • Robotic paving machines
  • Rubber-track asphalt pavers
  • Compactors
  • Dump trucks
  • Milling machines
  • Asphalt mixing equipment
  • Jackhammers
  • Cold planers
  • Locking pliers
  • Paving curbing machines
  • Two way radios
  • Straightedges
  • Asphalt distributor trucks
  • Liquid asphalt storage equipment
  • Asphalt paving machines
  • Respirators
  • Tamping machines
  • Vibrating concrete screeds
  • Laser levels
  • Chip spreaders
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Personal computers
  • Rolling machines
  • Windrow pickup machines
  • Hot mix material transfer devices