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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Asphalt Raker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #472 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Asphalt Raker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Asphalt Raker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate equipment used for applying concrete, asphalt, or other materials to road beds, parking lots, or airport runways and taxiways or for tamping gravel, dirt, or other materials. Includes concrete and asphalt paving machine operators, form tampers, tamping machine operators, and stone spreader operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,660
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.20
Available Jobs (US) 45,680
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators #47-2071
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Shovel blacktop.

  • Operate oil distributors, loaders, chip spreaders, dump trucks, and snow plows.

  • Operate machines to spread, smooth, level, or steel-reinforce stone, concrete, or asphalt on road beds.

  • Operate machines that clean or cut expansion joints in concrete or asphalt and that rout out cracks in pavement.

  • Coordinate truck dumping.

  • Control traffic.

  • Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.

  • Set up forms and lay out guidelines for curbs, according to written specifications, using string, spray paint, and concrete or water mixes.

  • Drive machines onto truck trailers, and drive trucks to transport machines and material to and from job sites.

  • Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.

  • Operate tamping machines or manually roll surfaces to compact earth fills, foundation forms, and finished road materials, according to grade specifications.

  • Install dies, cutters, and extensions to screeds onto machines, using hand tools.

  • Control paving machines to push dump trucks and to maintain a constant flow of asphalt or other material into hoppers or screeds.

  • Place strips of material, such as cork, asphalt, or steel into joints, or place rolls of expansion-joint material on machines that automatically insert material.

  • Cut or break up pavement and drive guardrail posts, using machines equipped with interchangeable hammers.

  • Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.

  • Drive and operate curbing machines to extrude concrete or asphalt curbing.

  • Set up and tear down equipment.

  • Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.

  • Inspect, clean, maintain, and repair equipment, using mechanics' hand tools, or report malfunctions to supervisors.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Email software
  • Procore AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Warehouse management system WMS
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Time report software
  • Database software
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Buildots AI
  • Robotic paving machines
  • Vibrating concrete screeds
  • Flatbed truck trailers
  • Respirators
  • Nut drivers
  • Vibratory rollers
  • Windrow pickup machines
  • Locking pliers
  • Asphalt distributor trucks
  • String lines
  • Self-propelled material transfer devices
  • Asphalt heating equipment
  • Chip spreaders
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Two way radios
  • Liquid asphalt storage equipment
  • Power extendable screeds
  • Surveying tapes
  • Slip form machines
  • Milling machines
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Concrete paving machines
  • Desktop computers
  • Pneumatic paving breakers
  • Asphalt mixing equipment
  • Pavement marking machines
  • Asphalt paving machines
  • Manual rollers
  • Static rollers
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Paving finishing machines
  • Straightedges
  • Transit levels
  • Road heater-planers
  • Personal computers
  • Wheel loaders
  • Laser levels
  • Hot mix material transfer devices
  • Cold in-place recyclers
  • Tamping machines
  • Oil distributors
  • Snowplows
  • Automatic paving control systems
  • Paving curbing machines
  • Pneumatic rollers
  • Motor graders
  • Profiling equipment
  • Cold planers
  • Claw hammers
  • Rubber-tired asphalt pavers
  • Rolling machines
  • Compactors
  • Rubber-track asphalt pavers
  • Jackhammers
  • Asphalt rakes
  • Dump trucks
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Concrete saws