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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Asphalt Raker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #472 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Asphalt Raker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Asphalt Raker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate equipment used for applying concrete, asphalt, or other materials to road beds, parking lots, or airport runways and taxiways or for tamping gravel, dirt, or other materials. Includes concrete and asphalt paving machine operators, form tampers, tamping machine operators, and stone spreader operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,660
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.20
Available Jobs (US) 45,680
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators #47-2071
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.

  • Coordinate truck dumping.

  • Operate tamping machines or manually roll surfaces to compact earth fills, foundation forms, and finished road materials, according to grade specifications.

  • Install dies, cutters, and extensions to screeds onto machines, using hand tools.

  • Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.

  • Set up and tear down equipment.

  • Drive and operate curbing machines to extrude concrete or asphalt curbing.

  • Control traffic.

  • Operate machines to spread, smooth, level, or steel-reinforce stone, concrete, or asphalt on road beds.

  • Cut or break up pavement and drive guardrail posts, using machines equipped with interchangeable hammers.

  • Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.

  • Operate machines that clean or cut expansion joints in concrete or asphalt and that rout out cracks in pavement.

  • Control paving machines to push dump trucks and to maintain a constant flow of asphalt or other material into hoppers or screeds.

  • Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.

  • Drive machines onto truck trailers, and drive trucks to transport machines and material to and from job sites.

  • Place strips of material, such as cork, asphalt, or steel into joints, or place rolls of expansion-joint material on machines that automatically insert material.

  • Shovel blacktop.

  • Inspect, clean, maintain, and repair equipment, using mechanics' hand tools, or report malfunctions to supervisors.

  • Set up forms and lay out guidelines for curbs, according to written specifications, using string, spray paint, and concrete or water mixes.

  • Operate oil distributors, loaders, chip spreaders, dump trucks, and snow plows.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Database software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Buildots AI
  • Word processing software
  • Email software
  • Time report software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Procore AI
  • Warehouse management system WMS
  • Surveying tapes
  • Oil distributors
  • String lines
  • Concrete saws
  • Paving finishing machines
  • Laser levels
  • Cold planers
  • Automatic paving control systems
  • Straightedges
  • Locking pliers
  • Robotic paving machines
  • Dump trucks
  • Self-propelled material transfer devices
  • Windrow pickup machines
  • Desktop computers
  • Pavement marking machines
  • Respirators
  • Road heater-planers
  • Milling machines
  • Static rollers
  • Chip spreaders
  • Compactors
  • Cold in-place recyclers
  • Tamping machines
  • Slip form machines
  • Asphalt heating equipment
  • Manual rollers
  • Power extendable screeds
  • Pneumatic paving breakers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Concrete paving machines
  • Flatbed truck trailers
  • Asphalt distributor trucks
  • Personal computers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Hot mix material transfer devices
  • Jackhammers
  • Snowplows
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Wheel loaders
  • Asphalt paving machines
  • Paving curbing machines
  • Profiling equipment
  • Nut drivers
  • Motor graders
  • Liquid asphalt storage equipment
  • Asphalt rakes
  • Pneumatic rollers
  • Asphalt mixing equipment
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Rolling machines
  • Vibratory rollers
  • Rubber-tired asphalt pavers
  • Claw hammers
  • Two way radios
  • Rubber-track asphalt pavers
  • Transit levels
  • Vibrating concrete screeds