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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Soap Maker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #255 of 702. Estimated risk: 37.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

52%

“Soap Maker” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 52% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Soap Maker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate or tend heating equipment other than basic metal, plastic, or food processing equipment. Includes activities such as annealing glass, drying lumber, curing rubber, removing moisture from materials, or boiling soap.

Avg. Annual Salary $49,250
Avg. Hourly Wage $23.68
Available Jobs (US) 16,160
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders #51-9051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Stop equipment and clear blockages or jams, using fingers, wire, or hand tools.

  • Load equipment receptacles or conveyors with material to be processed, by hand or using hoists.

  • Record gauge readings, test results, and shift production in log books.

  • Transport materials and products to and from work areas, manually or using carts, handtrucks, or hoists.

  • Weigh or measure specified amounts of ingredients or materials for processing, using devices such as scales and calipers.

  • Clean, lubricate, and adjust equipment, using scrapers, solvents, air hoses, oil, and hand tools.

  • Monitor equipment operation, gauges, and panel lights to detect deviations from standards.

  • Melt or refine metal before casting, calculating required temperatures, and observe metal color, adjusting controls as necessary to maintain required temperatures.

  • Examine or test samples of processed substances, or collect samples for laboratory testing, to ensure conformance to specifications.

  • Feed fuel, such as coal and coke, into fireboxes or onto conveyors, and remove ashes from furnaces, using shovels and buckets.

  • Replace worn or defective equipment parts, using hand tools.

  • Confer with supervisors or other equipment operators to report equipment malfunctions or to resolve production problems.

  • Remove products from equipment, manually or using hoists, and prepare them for storage, shipment, or additional processing.

  • Read and interpret work orders and instructions to determine work assignments, process specifications, and production schedules.

  • Direct crane operators and crew members to load vessels with materials to be processed.

  • Calculate amounts of materials to be loaded into furnaces, adjusting amounts as necessary for specific conditions.

  • Press and adjust controls to activate, set, and regulate equipment according to specifications.

Technologies & Software

  • Machine operation software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • DeepSeek
  • Wheeled forklifts
  • Electric hoists
  • Electric moisture meters
  • Tracked overhead cranes
  • Moving carts
  • Cleaning scrapers
  • Continuous baking furnaces
  • Curing ovens
  • Table saws
  • Industrial air dryers
  • High-heat digital thermometers
  • Portable saws
  • Basket strainers
  • Hot air core drying ovens
  • Skid steers
  • Swing saws
  • Self-calculating balances
  • Glass kilns
  • Radial arm saws
  • Industrial production electric furnaces
  • Conveyor belts
  • Drying ovens
  • Handtrucks
  • Triple beam balances
  • Optical pyrometers
  • Natural gas powered boilers
  • Material shovels
  • Dielectric power loss moisture meters
  • Electronic top-loading balances
  • Digital micrometers
  • Resistance moisture meters
  • Digital bench scales
  • Digital hygrometers
  • Digital calipers

Alternative Job Titles