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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Soap Maker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #255 of 702. Estimated risk: 37.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

52%

“Soap Maker” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 52% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Soap Maker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate or tend heating equipment other than basic metal, plastic, or food processing equipment. Includes activities such as annealing glass, drying lumber, curing rubber, removing moisture from materials, or boiling soap.

Avg. Annual Salary $49,250
Avg. Hourly Wage $23.68
Available Jobs (US) 16,160
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders #51-9051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Direct crane operators and crew members to load vessels with materials to be processed.

  • Monitor equipment operation, gauges, and panel lights to detect deviations from standards.

  • Load equipment receptacles or conveyors with material to be processed, by hand or using hoists.

  • Melt or refine metal before casting, calculating required temperatures, and observe metal color, adjusting controls as necessary to maintain required temperatures.

  • Press and adjust controls to activate, set, and regulate equipment according to specifications.

  • Examine or test samples of processed substances, or collect samples for laboratory testing, to ensure conformance to specifications.

  • Stop equipment and clear blockages or jams, using fingers, wire, or hand tools.

  • Transport materials and products to and from work areas, manually or using carts, handtrucks, or hoists.

  • Replace worn or defective equipment parts, using hand tools.

  • Confer with supervisors or other equipment operators to report equipment malfunctions or to resolve production problems.

  • Weigh or measure specified amounts of ingredients or materials for processing, using devices such as scales and calipers.

  • Calculate amounts of materials to be loaded into furnaces, adjusting amounts as necessary for specific conditions.

  • Clean, lubricate, and adjust equipment, using scrapers, solvents, air hoses, oil, and hand tools.

  • Feed fuel, such as coal and coke, into fireboxes or onto conveyors, and remove ashes from furnaces, using shovels and buckets.

  • Record gauge readings, test results, and shift production in log books.

  • Read and interpret work orders and instructions to determine work assignments, process specifications, and production schedules.

  • Remove products from equipment, manually or using hoists, and prepare them for storage, shipment, or additional processing.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Machine operation software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Cleaning scrapers
  • Curing ovens
  • Continuous baking furnaces
  • Portable saws
  • Electric hoists
  • Resistance moisture meters
  • Drying ovens
  • Self-calculating balances
  • Basket strainers
  • Digital calipers
  • Triple beam balances
  • Industrial production electric furnaces
  • Industrial air dryers
  • Digital micrometers
  • High-heat digital thermometers
  • Optical pyrometers
  • Wheeled forklifts
  • Conveyor belts
  • Material shovels
  • Electronic top-loading balances
  • Digital bench scales
  • Glass kilns
  • Electric moisture meters
  • Table saws
  • Handtrucks
  • Tracked overhead cranes
  • Moving carts
  • Skid steers
  • Dielectric power loss moisture meters
  • Radial arm saws
  • Digital hygrometers
  • Hot air core drying ovens
  • Swing saws
  • Natural gas powered boilers

Alternative Job Titles